|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|W / OT117-110|
|W / OT138-132|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Adding Zion Williamson had a massive impact on their projected win total. Before the draft they were projected for just 25 wins. But even a 9 win improvement only improved them from 14th best in the conference to 13th. By adding one of the best pure shooters in the league in JJ Redick they jumped 4 more wins. It comes down to Zion Williamson. If he is a 18 pt, 9 reb "very good" rookie they win 38. But if he is an instant 23 pt, 10 reb, all defense player as a rookie they could definitely be in the playoffs. There are 4 teams who have 100/1, 1% odds to win the championship. While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the championship is under 0.1 percent. In simulations, they win the West 0.4% of the time and are not a good value at 60/1, 1.6%. The Pelicans are averaging 39.8 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 39 games. At +250 the Pelicans are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 26.5% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 14/1, 6.7%. They win the division in 2.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the West.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Their 33-49 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 46%. They were not good against the spread going 38-43-1 (-930 loss). They went over 45 times and came in under 37 times. Based on computer simulations they only have a 35% chance to beat the Raptors in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.1% (#12 in League). They average 115.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 114.6. On the road they average 115.8 (113.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115.2 expected).
DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.6 true FG% (#21 in League). They allow 116.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 116. They are allowing 117.5 (117.7 expected) on the road, and at home 116 ppg (114.3 expected).
REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They are outrebounding opponents by 1.1 per game (#9 in league).
TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.4 per game (#27 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jrue Holiday who is projected to be the #9 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|0||Alexander-Walker, Nickeil||SG||6-5||205||09/12/1998||0||Virginia Tech|
|45||Cheatham, Zylan||SF||6-5||220||11/17/1995||0||San Diego State; Arizona State|
|22||Favors, Derrick||C||6-9||265||07/15/1991||9||Georgia Tech|
|5||Gray, Josh||PG||6-0||180||09/09/1993||1||Texas Tech; Odessa Coll. TX (J|
|20||Melli, Nicolo||PF||6-9||236||01/26/1991||0||No College|
|34||Williams, Kenrich||SG||6-6||210||12/02/1994||1||New Mexico JC; Texas Christian|