New Orleans
Pelicans
Stadium Smoothie King Center
28-36 Overall | WESTERN 10th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Southwest Division116.2117.0
Schedule
Regular season
Sun  3/1
vs
Los Angeles
L114-122
Tue  3/3
vs
Minnesota
L134-139
Wed  3/4
@
Dallas
L / OT123-127
Fri  3/6
vs
Miami
W110-104
Sun  3/8
@
Minnesota
W120-107
Wed  3/11
@
Sacramento
POSTPONED
Fri  3/13
@
Utah
POSTPONED
Sat  3/14
@
Los Angeles
POSTPONED
Mon  3/16
vs
Atlanta
POSTPONED
Wed  3/18
vs
San Antonio
POSTPONED
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Adding Zion Williamson had a massive impact on their projected win total. Before the draft they were projected for just 25 wins. But even a 9 win improvement only improved them from 14th best in the conference to 13th. By adding one of the best pure shooters in the league in JJ Redick they jumped 4 more wins. It comes down to Zion Williamson. If he is a 18 pt, 9 reb "very good" rookie they win 38. But if he is an instant 23 pt, 10 reb, all defense player as a rookie they could definitely be in the playoffs. There are 4 teams who have 100/1, 1% odds to win the championship. While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the championship is under 0.1 percent. In simulations, they win the West 0.4% of the time and are not a good value at 60/1, 1.6%. The Pelicans are averaging 39.8 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 39 games. At +250 the Pelicans are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 26.5% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 14/1, 6.7%. They win the division in 2.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 33-49 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 46%. They were not good against the spread going 38-43-1 (-930 loss). They went over 45 times and came in under 37 times. Based on computer simulations they only have a 35% chance to beat the Raptors in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.1% (#12 in League). They average 115.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 114.6. On the road they average 115.8 (113.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115.2 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.6 true FG% (#21 in League). They allow 116.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 116. They are allowing 117.5 (117.7 expected) on the road, and at home 116 ppg (114.3 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They are outrebounding opponents by 1.1 per game (#9 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.4 per game (#27 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jrue Holiday who is projected to be the #9 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
0 Alexander-Walker, Nickeil SG6-520509/12/19980Virginia Tech
2 Ball, Lonzo PG6-619010/27/19972UCLA
45 Cheatham, Zylan SF6-522011/17/19950San Diego State; Arizona State
22 Favors, Derrick C6-926507/15/19919Georgia Tech
5 Gray, Josh PG6-018009/09/19931Texas Tech; Odessa Coll. TX (J
3 Hart, Josh SF6-521503/06/19952Villanova
10 Hayes, Jaxson C6-1122005/23/20000Texas
11 Holiday, Jrue PG6-320506/12/199010UCLA
14 Ingram, Brandon SF6-719009/02/19973Duke
15 Jackson, Frank PG6-320505/04/19981Duke
20 Melli, Nicolo PF6-923601/26/19910No College
21 Miller, Darius SF6-622503/21/19905Kentucky
55 Moore, E'Twaun SG6-319102/25/19898Purdue
9 Okafor, Jahlil C6-1027012/15/19954Duke
4 Redick, JJ SG6-320006/24/198413Duke
34 Williams, Kenrich SF6-621012/02/19941New Mexico JC; Texas Christian
1 Williamson, Zion SF6-628407/06/20000Duke