NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The forecast for their next 5 games is not good. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 8 games where they are a clear underdog. The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 1-4 (36% chance). Their chances of winning 3 or more are 15.6%. At #15 in the conference, they are behind the Cavaliers by 3 games. With a -0.3 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Knicks are the 13th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Knicks are playing 7 games, traveling 341 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #29 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
MAR 18
LIKELY LOSS
18% @TOR
341 miles
MAR 20
LIKELY LOSS
27% UTA
--
MAR 22
LIKELY LOSS
28% DEN
--
MAR 24
CLOSE GAME
47% LAC
--
MAR 28
LIKELY LOSS
30% TOR
--
MAR 30
LIKELY LOSS
27% MIA
--
APR 1
CLOSE GAME
42% CHI
--
APR 3
LIKELY LOSS
18% @ORL
943 miles
APR 5
LIKELY LOSS
14% @HOU
1421 miles
APR 7
CLOSE GAME
46% WAS
--

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 14-56 Knicks 'should have' 19 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 12 good wins vs 9 bad losses. They have come up especially short at home. Their 7-26 home record is -13% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (3-8, 27%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. In the pre-season, the Knicks were expected to be a below average team (#21) in power rank, and they have managed to be even worse. In simulations where the Knicks played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 27.1% of the time (#29 in the league). Their peak rank was #19 in the league back on 11/10.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 52.8% (#30 in League). They average 105.3 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 106.4. On the road they average 104 (105.7 expected), and at home 106.7 ppg (107.3 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.9 true FG% (#24 in League). They allow 113.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 113.7. They are allowing 114 (114.7 expected) on the road, and at home 113.5 ppg (112.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 2.3 per game (#24 in league). However, the team has recently outrebounded opponents by 6.

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.3 per game (#17 in league).

Sportsline has a free pick on the New York Knicks' next game. They are +13.5 underdogs and are not expected to cover. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Knicks were projected to win 32.6 games (average per simulation), and their projected win total has been up and down this season. On 11/5 their projected win total was up to 39.2 before dropping to 16.6 on 3/17. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down significantly to 17.4 wins.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #14 Easiest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 52% #2 Toughest

Knicks' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.