|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|L / 2OT115-116|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The forecast for their next 6 games is not good. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 8 games where they are a clear underdog. The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 2-4 (33% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 9.9%. At #12 in the conference, they are behind the Wizards by 1.5 games. With a +0.32 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of improving their conference seed. They are in a battle with Bulls in the conference. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Bulls. There is only a 0.47 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games. Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Knicks are the 11th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Knicks are playing 8 games, traveling 5720 miles crossing 2 time zones. They rank #15 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F
[NOTE: Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis] Even at 4-13 the Knicks are just slightly behind their money line projected win total of 6 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 2 good wins but they also have 2 bad losses. They have come up especially short at home. Their 2-5 home record is -12% lower than their expected win percentage. Losers of 5 in a row they have a 44.8% chance of seeing that extend to 7 straight. In simulations where the Knicks played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 38% of the time (#26 in the league). Their peak rank was #19 in the league back on 11/10.
STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 52.9% (#29 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (107.8) than expected (106.4). On the road they average 108.6 (106.8 expected), and at home 106.7 ppg (105.9 expected).
DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 58.4 true FG% (#30 in League). They allow 114.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 111.7. They are allowing 117.8 (114 expected) on the road, and at home 110.3 ppg (108.5 expected).
REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.4 per game (#16 in league). However, the team has recently outrebounded opponents by 1.4.
TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1 per game (#13 in league). Worst in their past 7 games with a turnover margin of -0.7.
The New York Knicks' next game is on November 20. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
Before the season, the Knicks were projected to win 32.6 games (average per simulation), and their projected win total has been up and down this season. On 10/16 their projected win total was 26.4 before increasing to 39.2 on 11/5. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down to 28.5 wins. Before the start of their 5 game losing streak they were projected for 38.7 wins. The playoffs are not likely with their 0.6% chance and a projected #12 finish in the conference.
Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Hard
Knicks' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|31||Baker, Ron||SG||6-4||220||03/30/1993||2||Wichita State|
|21||Dotson, Damyean||SG||6-6||210||05/06/1994||1||Oregon; Houston|
|3||Hardaway Jr., Tim||G||6-6||205||03/16/1992||5||Michigan|
|8||Hezonja, Mario||SF||6-8||225||02/25/1995||3||No College|
|4||Hicks, Isaiah||PF||6-9||230||07/24/1994||1||North Carolina|
|5||Lee, Courtney||SG||6-5||215||10/03/1985||10||Western Kentucky|
|1||Mudiay, Emmanuel||PG||6-5||200||03/05/1996||3||No College|
|11||Ntilikina, Frank||PG||6-6||200||07/28/1998||1||No College|
|6||Porzingis, Kristaps||PF||7-3||240||08/02/1995||3||No College|
|26||Robinson, Mitchell||C||7-1||240||04/01/1998||0||Western Kentucky|