PLAYOFF FORECAST

RJ Barrett, Julius Randle and Bobby Portis are all individually talented forwards and who wouldn't want to be rich, young and in New York City? They also added Taj Gibson and at the end of the day the Knicks improved a ton (from 18 to 26 wins) but are still an afterthought with 0% chance of making the playoffs. We do not project them to be a playoff team in '19-20.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 22.3 wins. Their 17 actual wins was below expectation. They came up short at home and on the road. They won 19.5% on the road which was much worse than expected (22.1%). They won 9 at home and were expected to win 13.3.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 52.9% (#30 in League). They average 104.6 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 106. On the road they average 103.2 (105.3 expected), and at home 105.9 ppg (106.7 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.8 true FG% (#22 in League). Team defense is trending up holding opponents to 52.1% in their last 7 games. They allow 113.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 113.4. They are allowing 113.8 (114.5 expected) on the road, and at home 113.8 ppg (112.3 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 2.7 per game (#25 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.8 per game (#20 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Knicks in all of their games would be down -1494 units. Against the spread, they have lost -1970 units risking 110 to win 100 (32-47 ATS). They are down against the spread at home and on the road.