Oklahoma City
Thunder
Stadium Chesapeake Energy Arena
49-33 Overall | WESTERN 6th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Northwest Division114.5111.1
Schedule
Postseason
Sun  4/14
@
Portland
L99-104
Tue  4/16
@
Portland
L94-114
Fri  4/19
vs
Portland
W120-108
Sun  4/21
vs
Portland
L98-111
Tue  4/23
@
Portland
L115-118
Regular season
Tue  4/2
vs
Los Angeles
W119-103
Fri  4/5
vs
Detroit
W123-110
Sun  4/7
@
Minnesota
W132-126
Tue  4/9
vs
Houston
W112-111
Wed  4/10
@
Milwaukee
W127-116
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

PLAYOFF FORECAST

The Thunder were projected to win 49 and be one of 7 potential teams with a legit shot to win the West. With Paul George heading to the Clippers the Thunder dropped to a projected #9 in the West with just 41 wins. But after trading Westbrook for Paul they are back up to 45 wins. Houston had the best record after the All-Star Break when Paul was healthy. They struggled when he was out. Paul may not be able to win the championship as the best player on a team, but he is the best POINT GUARD for a young team needed leadership. Of course, the +4 wins IS NOT worth $40 million a year so look for Paul to get traded and the Thunder to fall out of the playoff picture. They have a 20.2% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 6.5% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the West is 1.7%. While not mathematically eliminated they are winning the championship in under 0.1% of simulations.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The regular season went worse than expected. They won 49 games vs an expected win total of 51.2. They met expectations on the road. It was at home where they came up short. They went 22-19 on the road and were expected to win 22.3. They won 27 at home and were expected to win 29.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 54.5% (#25 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (114.5) than expected (114.4). On the road they average 114.5 (113.6 expected), and at home 114.5 ppg (115.2 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56 true FG% (#16 in League). They allow 111.1 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.4. They are allowing 112.5 (112.3 expected) on the road, and at home 109.6 ppg (108.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +2.2 per game (#6 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.1 per game (#2 in league). Worst in their past 7 games with a turnover margin of -0.9.

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Thunder in all of their games would be down -163 units. Against the spread, they have lost -90 units risking 110 to win 100 (42-39 ATS). The Thunder have lost ATS on the road, but at home they have turned a profit.

  • russell-westbrook-thunder.jpg
    cbs sports

    Westbrook-CP3 trade trades

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
12 Adams, Steven C7-026507/20/19936Pittsburgh
7 Bazley, Darius F6-920806/12/20000No College
30 Burton, Deonte SG6-524501/31/19941Marquette; Iowa State
6 Diallo, Hamidou SG6-519807/31/19981Kentucky
--- Dort, Luguentz G6-422204/19/19990Arizona State
23 Ferguson, Terrance SG6-719005/17/19982No College
8 Gallinari, Danilo SF6-1022508/08/198811No College
2 Gilgeous-Alexander, Shai PG6-618107/12/19981Kentucky
15 Grantham, Donte SF6-821503/19/19951Clemson
33 Muscala, Mike PF6-1124007/01/19916Bucknell
11 Nader, Abdel SF6-622509/25/19932Northern Illinois; Iowa State
3 Noel, Nerlens C6-1122004/10/19946Kentucky
54 Patterson, Patrick PF6-923003/14/19899Kentucky
--- Paul, Chris PG6-017505/06/198514Wake Forest
21 Roberson, Andre SG6-721012/04/19916Colorado
17 Schroder, Dennis PG6-117209/15/19936No College
0 Westbrook, Russell PG6-320011/12/198811UCLA