Oklahoma City
Thunder
Stadium Chesapeake Energy Arena
49-33 Overall | WESTERN 6th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Northwest Division114.5111.1
Schedule
Preseason
Tue  10/8
vs
Dallas
8:00pm
Mon  10/14
@
Dallas
8:30pm
Wed  10/16
vs
Memphis
8:00pm
Regular season
Wed  10/23
@
Utah
9:00pm
Fri  10/25
vs
Washington
8:00pm
Sun  10/27
vs
Golden State
3:30pm
Mon  10/28
@
Houston
8:00pm
Wed  10/30
vs
Portland
8:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Thunder are not contenders to win the championship at 1000/1, 0.1%. They are one of 8 teams with these odds (#23 in the league). They do not win the championship in any simulations. They are not a good value to win the West either at 600/1, 0.2%. The Thunder are averaging 34.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 31.5 games. At +900 the Thunder are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 3.9% chance. They have less than 1% chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 62% of their games last season so their 49-33 met expectations. They went 42-39-1 against the spread (-90 loss). They went over 39 times and came in under 41 times. In their next game vs the Jazz they are only winning 28% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 54.8% (#24 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (114.5) than expected (114.4). On the road they average 114.5 (113.6 expected), and at home 114.5 ppg (115.2 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.9 true FG% (#16 in League). They allow 111.1 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.4. They are allowing 112.5 (112.3 expected) on the road, and at home 109.6 ppg (108.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +2.2 per game (#6 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.1 per game (#2 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Danilo Gallinari who is projected to be the #14 Forward. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
12 Adams, Steven C7-026507/20/19936Pittsburgh
7 Bazley, Darius SF6-920806/12/20000No College
30 Burton, Deonte SG6-524501/31/19941Marquette; Iowa State
6 Diallo, Hamidou SG6-519807/31/19981Kentucky
5 Dort, Luguentz SG6-422204/19/19990Arizona State
23 Ferguson, Terrance SG6-719005/17/19982No College
8 Gallinari, Danilo SF6-1022508/08/198811No College
2 Gilgeous-Alexander, Shai PG6-618107/12/19981Kentucky
22 Hall, Devon SG6-521507/07/19950Virginia
33 Muscala, Mike PF6-1124007/01/19916Bucknell
11 Nader, Abdel SF6-622509/25/19932Northern Illinois; Iowa State
9 Noel, Nerlens C6-1122004/10/19946Kentucky
13 Patton, Justin C7-024106/14/19972Creighton
3 Paul, Chris PG6-017505/06/198514Wake Forest
21 Roberson, Andre SG6-721012/04/19916Colorado
17 Schroder, Dennis PG6-117209/15/19936No College