|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their championship odds are 200/1, 0.5% (#18 best). Their 0.2% chance is #16 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. They are a good bet to win the East at 80/1, 1.2%. Their sim chance is 1.4%. The Magic are averaging 39.9 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 42 wins. At -200 the Magic are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 58.5% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 3/2, 40%. They win the division in 26.3% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the East.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Their 42-40 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 45%. They were very good against the spread going 44-36-2 for (+440 profit). More of their games came in under (44) than went over (38). They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Cleveland Cavaliers. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): This is a below average shooting team with a true FG% of 54.9% (#23 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (107.3) than expected (106.6). On the road they average 105.3 (105.2 expected), and at home 109.3 ppg (108 expected).
DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55.2 true FG% (#12 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 58.7% in their last 7 games. They allow 106.6 pts per game vs an expected value of 108.2. They are allowing 106.5 (109.4 expected) on the road, and at home 106.7 ppg (106.9 expected).
REBOUNDING (ABOVE AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounding opponents by +0.7 per game (#11 in league).
TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.3 per game (#16 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Nikola Vucevic who is projected to be the #5 Center. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|2||Aminu, Al-Farouq||PF||6-8||220||09/21/1990||9||Wake Forest|
|24||Birch, Khem||PF||6-9||233||09/28/1992||2||Pittsburgh; Nevada-Las Vegas|
|11||Ennis III, James||SF||6-6||215||07/01/1990||5||Oxnard; Ventura Coll. CA (J.C.|
|10||Fournier, Evan||SG||6-7||205||10/29/1992||7||No College|
|35||Frazier Jr., Melvin||SG||6-5||215||08/30/1996||1||Tulane|
|1||Isaac, Jonathan||PF||6-11||230||10/03/1997||2||Florida State|
|25||Iwundu, Wes||SF||6-6||195||12/20/1994||2||Kansas State|
|13||Johnson, BJ||SF||6-7||200||12/21/1995||1||Syracuse; La Salle|