Orlando
Magic
Stadium Amway Center
8-8 Overall | EASTERN 7th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Southeast Division106.0109.1
Schedule
Regular season
Fri  11/2
vs
Los Angeles
L95-120
Sun  11/4
@
San Antonio
W117-110
Mon  11/5
vs
Cleveland
W102-100
Wed  11/7
vs
Detroit
L96-103
Fri  11/9
vs
Washington
W117-108
Sun  11/11
@
New York
W115-89
Mon  11/12
@
Washington
L109-117
Wed  11/14
vs
Philadelphia
W111-106
Sat  11/17
vs
Los Angeles
W130-117
Sun  11/18
vs
New York
6:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Magic are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 3% chance of making the playoffs. On 11/8 they had a 0.2% chance before increasing to 24% on 11/15. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 20.2%. They have a 5.4% chance of winning their division. They have a very slim chance (

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Easy

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #12 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 49% #14 Easiest

Magic's Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B

[NOTE: Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis] At 7-8 the Magic are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 5.5 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 6 good wins vs 2 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 3-3 road record is +27% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-6, 45%) is better than their expected 40% win percentage. In simulations where the Magic played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 42.1% of the time (#24 in the league). They have moved up from #29 in the league back on 7/9.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 53.2% (#28 in League). The team has improved to 57.7% in their last 7 games. They average 104.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 105.6. On the road they average 106.7 (103.2 expected), and at home 102.9 ppg (107.2 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.2 true FG% (#20 in League). Even though they allow a high shooting %, they actually allow fewer points (108.5) than expected (109.9). They are allowing 105.8 (111.6 expected) on the road, and at home 110.3 ppg (108.8 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 4.5 per game (#26 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.1 per game (#4 in league).

NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Magic next 6 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 8 games where they are a clear underdog. The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 2-4 (35% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 7.5%. At #8 in the conference, they are behind the Hornets by half a game. With a -1.35 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are ahead of the Nets by half a game. With a -0.58 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they may find the gap between them closing. Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Magic are the 11th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Magic are playing 8 games, traveling 19262 miles crossing 24 time zones. They rank #2 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

NOV 17
LIKELY LOSS
30% LAL
--
NOV 18**
CLOSE GAME
52% NY
--
NOV 20
LIKELY LOSS
26% TOR
--
NOV 23
LIKELY LOSS
31% @DEN
1552 miles
NOV 25
LIKELY LOSS
33% @LAL
2201 miles
NOV 26**
LIKELY LOSS
17% @GS
338 miles
NOV 28
LIKELY LOSS
32% @POR
2528 miles
NOV 30
CLOSE GAME
62% @PHO
1844 miles
DEC 4
CLOSE GAME
44% @MIA
204 miles
DEC 5**
CLOSE GAME
41% DEN
204 miles

Sportsline has a free pick on the Orlando Magic's next game. They are +4.5 underdogs and are not expected to cover. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
14 Augustin, D.J. PG6-018311/10/198710Texas
5 Bamba, Mo C7-022105/12/19980Texas
24 Birch, Khem C6-923309/28/19921Pittsburgh; Nevada-Las Vegas
13 Briscoe, Isaiah PG6-321504/13/19960Kentucky
3 Caupain, Troy PG6-421011/29/19950Cincinnati
10 Fournier, Evan SG6-720510/29/19926No College
35 Frazier, Melvin SG6-620008/30/19960Tulane
00 Gordon, Aaron PF6-922009/16/19954Arizona
22 Grant, Jerian PG6-420510/09/19923Notre Dame
1 Isaac, Jonathan PF6-1021010/03/19971Florida State
25 Iwundu, Wesley SF6-719512/20/19941Kansas State
11 Jefferson, Amile PF6-922205/07/19930Duke
2 Martin, Jarell PF6-1023905/24/19943Louisiana State
21 Mozgov, Timofey C7-127507/16/19868No College
31 Ross, Terrence SG6-720602/05/19916Washington
17 Simmons, Jonathon SF6-619509/14/19893Paris JC TX; Midland Coll. TX
9 Vucevic, Nikola C7-026010/24/19907USC