NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Suns next 6 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They are the clear underdog in 9 out of the 6 games, and just one game where they are expected to be competitive. The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 2-4 (34% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 12.7%. With a -0.86 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Suns are the 3rd most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Suns are playing 7 games, traveling 7931 miles crossing 8 time zones. They rank #4 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
JAN 19
CLOSE GAME
43% @CHA
1781 miles
JAN 20**
LIKELY LOSS
17% @MIN
940 miles
JAN 22
CLOSE GAME
42% MIN
--
JAN 24
CLOSE GAME
42% POR
--
JAN 25**
LIKELY LOSS
30% @DEN
586 miles
JAN 27
CLOSE GAME
38% @LAL
359 miles
JAN 29
LIKELY LOSS
22% @SA
850 miles
FEB 2
CLOSE GAME
46% ATL
--
FEB 4
CLOSE GAME
42% HOU
--
FEB 6
LIKELY LOSS
26% @UTA
507 miles

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

[NOTE: Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis] Even at 11-35 the Suns are just slightly behind their money line projected win total of 13 wins. They have won 18% of their road games and were expected to win 21%. At home they have a 29% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 33%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (2-9, 18%) is under their expected 30% win percentage. In simulations where the Suns played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 32.6% of the time (#27 in the league). They have moved up from #30 in the league back on 6/20.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): This is a below average shooting team with a true FG% of 54.9% (#20 in League). They average 106 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 106.5. On the road they average 105.9 (105.8 expected), and at home 106 ppg (107.2 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 58 true FG% (#29 in League). They allow 114.5 pts per game vs an expected value of 113.9. They are allowing 117.3 (115 expected) on the road, and at home 112 ppg (112.9 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 5.1 per game (#28 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.1 per game (#14 in league). Better in their last 7 games with a turnover margin of 1.7.

The Phoenix Suns' next game is on January 19. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

Before the season, the Suns were projected to win 17.6 games (average per simulation), and their projected win total has been up and down this season. On 6/20 their projected win total was 17.3 before increasing to 30.9 on 10/20. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is up significantly to 22.5 wins.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #14 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 54% #4 Toughest

Suns' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.