|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|W / OT124-113|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Portland has dropped from a projected 4 Seed immediately at the end of the last season to a 7 seed as the Clippers, Lakers, Jazz have leap frogged them. Their odds to win it all are 40/1, 2.4% (#10). They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 1.5% chance is #13 in the league. In simulations, they win the West 3.2% of the time and are not a good value at 20/1, 4.8%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 46.5 games. The Trail Blazers are averaging 45.3 wins per sim. At -275 the Trail Blazers are a good value to make the playoffs with a 78.3% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 6/1, 14.3%. They win the division in 12.4% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the West.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
They overachieved last season. Their game odds projected to 46.9 wins. Their 53-29 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. They were very good against the spread going 45-36-1 for (+540 profit). They went over 43 times and came in under 37 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Denver Nuggets. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.3% (#11 in League). The team shooting has declined to 52% in their last 7 games. They average 114.6 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 112. On the road they average 111.1 (111 expected), and at home 118.2 ppg (112.9 expected).
DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55.2 true FG% (#10 in League). They allow 110.5 pts per game vs an expected value of 109.7. They are allowing 111.1 (111.3 expected) on the road, and at home 109.8 ppg (108.1 expected).
REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.8 per game (#4 in league).
TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.1 per game (#23 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Damian Lillard who is projected to be the #5 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|24||Bazemore, Kent||SG||6-4||195||07/01/1989||7||Old Dominion|
|16||Gasol, Pau||PF||7-1||250||07/06/1980||18||No College|
|44||Hezonja, Mario||SF||6-8||201||02/25/1995||4||No College|
|6||Hoard, Jaylen||SF||6-9||210||03/03/1999||0||Wake Forest|
|5||Hood, Rodney||SF||6-8||208||10/20/1992||5||Mississippi State; Duke|
|0||Lillard, Damian||PG||6-2||195||07/15/1990||7||Weber State|
|9||Little, Nassir||SF||6-5||220||02/11/2000||0||North Carolina|
|27||Nurkic, Jusuf||C||7-0||290||08/23/1994||5||No College|
|1||Simons, Anfernee||SG||6-3||181||06/08/1999||1||No College|
|2||Trent Jr., Gary||SG||6-5||209||01/18/1999||1||Duke|