Portland
Trail Blazers
Stadium Moda Center
4-6 Overall | WESTERN 10th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Northwest Division114.1114.6
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  11/2
vs
Philadelphia
L128-129
Mon  11/4
@
Golden State
L118-127
Thu  11/7
@
Los Angeles
L101-107
Fri  11/8
vs
Brooklyn
L115-119
Sun  11/10
vs
Atlanta
W / OT124-113
Tue  11/12
@
Sacramento
NBAt10:00pm
Wed  11/13
vs
Toronto
TSN10:00pm
Sat  11/16
@
San Antonio
8:30pm
Mon  11/18
@
Houston
NBAt8:00pm
Tue  11/19
@
New Orleans
NBAt8:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Portland has dropped from a projected 4 Seed immediately at the end of the last season to a 7 seed as the Clippers, Lakers, Jazz have leap frogged them. Their odds to win it all are 40/1, 2.4% (#10). They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 1.5% chance is #13 in the league. In simulations, they win the West 3.2% of the time and are not a good value at 20/1, 4.8%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 46.5 games. The Trail Blazers are averaging 45.3 wins per sim. At -275 the Trail Blazers are a good value to make the playoffs with a 78.3% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 6/1, 14.3%. They win the division in 12.4% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They overachieved last season. Their game odds projected to 46.9 wins. Their 53-29 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. They were very good against the spread going 45-36-1 for (+540 profit). They went over 43 times and came in under 37 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Denver Nuggets. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.3% (#11 in League). The team shooting has declined to 52% in their last 7 games. They average 114.6 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 112. On the road they average 111.1 (111 expected), and at home 118.2 ppg (112.9 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55.2 true FG% (#10 in League). They allow 110.5 pts per game vs an expected value of 109.7. They are allowing 111.1 (111.3 expected) on the road, and at home 109.8 ppg (108.1 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.8 per game (#4 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.1 per game (#23 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Damian Lillard who is projected to be the #5 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
24 Bazemore, Kent SG6-419507/01/19897Old Dominion
4 Brown, Moses C7-224510/13/19990UCLA
33 Collins, Zach PF6-1123211/19/19972Gonzaga
16 Gasol, Pau PF7-125007/06/198018No College
44 Hezonja, Mario SF6-820102/25/19954No College
6 Hoard, Jaylen SF6-921003/03/19990Wake Forest
5 Hood, Rodney SF6-820810/20/19925Mississippi State; Duke
17 Labissiere, Skal PF6-1021603/18/19963Kentucky
0 Lillard, Damian PG6-219507/15/19907Weber State
9 Little, Nassir SF6-522002/11/20000North Carolina
3 McCollum, CJ SG6-319709/19/19916Lehigh
27 Nurkic, Jusuf C7-029008/23/19945No College
1 Simons, Anfernee SG6-318106/08/19991No College
43 Tolliver, Anthony PF6-824006/01/198511Creighton
2 Trent Jr., Gary SG6-520901/18/19991Duke
21 Whiteside, Hassan C7-023506/13/19897Marshall