|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
San Antonio has not made any major moves but should get key young players back healthy. They were only projected to win 41 games which is #9 in the West. They have an 8% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 2% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the West is 0.5%. While not mathematically eliminated they are winning the championship in under 0.1% of simulations.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP
The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 45.5 wins. Their 48 actual wins was above expectation. They exceeded expectations at home. They went 16-25 on the road and were expected to win 19.2. They won 32 at home and were expected to win 26.3.
STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 57% (#7 in League). The team shooting has declined to 54.2% in their last 7 games. They average 111.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 110.8. On the road they average 110.5 (109.6 expected), and at home 112.8 ppg (112 expected).
DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.7 true FG% (#15 in League). They allow 110 pts per game vs an expected value of 109. They are allowing 114 (110.7 expected) on the road, and at home 106 ppg (107.4 expected).
REBOUNDING (ABOVE AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounding opponents by +0.8 per game (#10 in league).
TURNOVERS (AVERAGE): Their turnover margin is zero (#14 in league). Better in their last 7 games with a turnover margin of 0.7.
TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG
Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Spurs in all of their games would be down -1434 units. Against the spread, they have delivered a +120 profit risking 110 to win 100 (43-38 ATS). The Spurs have lost ATS on the road, but at home they have turned a profit.
|18||Belinelli, Marco||SG||6-5||210||03/25/1986||12||No College|
|77||Carroll, DeMarre||SF||6-8||215||07/27/1986||10||Vanderbilt; Missouri|
|---||Eubanks, Drew||PF||6-10||245||0||Oregon State|
|11||Forbes, Bryn||SG||6-3||190||07/23/1993||3||Cleveland State; Michigan State|
|8||Mills, Patty||PG||6-0||180||08/11/1988||10||St. Mary's (CA)|
|1||Walker IV, Lonnie||SG||6-5||205||12/14/1998||1||Miami (Fla.)|
|---||Weatherspoon, Quinndary||SG||6-4||207||09/10/1996||0||Mississippi State|
|4||White, Derrick||PG||6-4||190||07/02/1994||2||Colorado-Colorado Springs; Col|