SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

If Harrison Barnes was able to make wide open shots in clutch situations the Warriors would have never lost to the Cavaliers and probably would not have signed KD and who knows how the world would look today. The Kings were projected to win more game without Barnes. There are 3 teams who have 200/1, 0.5% odds to win the championship. They do not win the championship in any simulations. They are not a good value to win the West either at 120/1, 0.8%. The Kings are averaging 33.3 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 38 wins. At +400 the Kings are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 2.2% chance. They have less than 1% chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 39-43 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 43%. They were very good against the spread going 45-35-2 for (+650 profit). They went over 40 times and came in under 40 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Phoenix Suns. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): This is a below average shooting team with a true FG% of 55.2% (#20 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (114.2) than expected (113.1). On the road they average 113.4 (111.6 expected), and at home 114.9 ppg (114.7 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.7 true FG% (#22 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 61.9% in their last 7 games. They allow 115.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 115.3. They are allowing 117.1 (116.2 expected) on the road, and at home 113.5 ppg (114.4 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 2.3 per game (#24 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.3 per game (#1 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by De'Aaron Fox who is projected to be the #16 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.