Sacramento
Kings
Stadium Golden 1 Center
39-43 Overall | WESTERN 9th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Pacific Division114.2115.3
Schedule
Regular season
Tue  4/2
vs
Houston
L105-130
Thu  4/4
vs
Cleveland
W117-104
Fri  4/5
@
Utah
L98-119
Sun  4/7
vs
New Orleans
L129-133
Wed  4/10
@
Portland
L131-136
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

PLAYOFF FORECAST

If Harrison Barnes was able to make wide open shots in clutch situations the Warriors would have never lost to the Cavaliers and probably would not have signed KD and who knows how the world would look today. The Kings were projected to win 37 games without Harrison Barnes. They have a 0.6% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 0.1% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the West is 0%. While not mathematically eliminated they are winning the championship in under 0.1% of simulations.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 39 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +3.4 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went better than expected. Their strength was at home. They went 15-26 on the road and were expected to win 14.6. They won 24 at home and were expected to win 20.9.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): This is a below average shooting team with a true FG% of 55.4% (#20 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (114.2) than expected (113.1). On the road they average 113.4 (111.6 expected), and at home 114.9 ppg (114.7 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.9 true FG% (#23 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 61.9% in their last 7 games. They allow 115.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 115.3. They are allowing 117.1 (116.2 expected) on the road, and at home 113.5 ppg (114.4 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 2.6 per game (#24 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.4 per game (#1 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Kings in all of their games would have earned a +131 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +650 profit risking 110 to win 100 (45-35 ATS). The Kings have lost ATS on the road, but at home they have turned a profit.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
0 Ariza, Trevor SG6-821506/30/198515UCLA
35 Bagley III, Marvin PF6-1123403/14/19991Duke
40 Barnes, Harrison SF6-822505/30/19927North Carolina
88 Bjelica, Nemanja PF6-1023405/09/19884No College
8 Bogdanovic, Bogdan SG6-620508/18/19922No College
--- Dedmon, DeWayne C7-024508/12/19896Antelope Valley Coll. CA (J.C.
3 Ferrell, Yogi PG6-018005/09/19933Indiana
5 Fox, De'Aaron PG6-317512/20/19972Kentucky
32 Gabriel, Wenyen PF6-920503/26/19971Kentucky
20 Giles, Harry PF6-1024004/22/19982Duke
--- Guy, Kyle SG6-116708/11/19970Virginia
24 Hield, Buddy SG6-421412/17/19923Oklahoma
22 Holmes, Richaun SF6-1023510/15/19934Moraine Valley CC IL; Bowling
--- James, Justin SG6-719001/24/19970Wyoming
9 Johnson, B.J. SF6-720012/21/19951Syracuse; La Salle
9 Joseph, Cory PG6-319308/20/19918Texas
41 Lydon, Tyler PF6-1022504/09/19962Syracuse
50 Swanigan, Caleb PF6-925004/18/19972Purdue