|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
If Harrison Barnes was able to make wide open shots in clutch situations the Warriors would have never lost to the Cavaliers and probably would not have signed KD and who knows how the world would look today. The Kings were projected to win 37 games without Harrison Barnes. They have a 0.6% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 0.1% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the West is 0%. While not mathematically eliminated they are winning the championship in under 0.1% of simulations.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP
Their 39 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +3.4 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went better than expected. Their strength was at home. They went 15-26 on the road and were expected to win 14.6. They won 24 at home and were expected to win 20.9.
STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): This is a below average shooting team with a true FG% of 55.4% (#20 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (114.2) than expected (113.1). On the road they average 113.4 (111.6 expected), and at home 114.9 ppg (114.7 expected).
DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.9 true FG% (#23 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 61.9% in their last 7 games. They allow 115.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 115.3. They are allowing 117.1 (116.2 expected) on the road, and at home 113.5 ppg (114.4 expected).
REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 2.6 per game (#24 in league).
TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.4 per game (#1 in league).
TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG
Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Kings in all of their games would have earned a +131 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +650 profit risking 110 to win 100 (45-35 ATS). The Kings have lost ATS on the road, but at home they have turned a profit.
|35||Bagley III, Marvin||PF||6-11||234||03/14/1999||1||Duke|
|40||Barnes, Harrison||SF||6-8||225||05/30/1992||7||North Carolina|
|88||Bjelica, Nemanja||PF||6-10||234||05/09/1988||4||No College|
|8||Bogdanovic, Bogdan||SG||6-6||205||08/18/1992||2||No College|
|---||Dedmon, DeWayne||C||7-0||245||08/12/1989||6||Antelope Valley Coll. CA (J.C.|
|22||Holmes, Richaun||SF||6-10||235||10/15/1993||4||Moraine Valley CC IL; Bowling|
|9||Johnson, B.J.||SF||6-7||200||12/21/1995||1||Syracuse; La Salle|