|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-
[NOTE: Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis] At 8-6 the Kings are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 4 wins. They have greatly exceeded their expected win percentage on the road and at home. Their 4-3 road record is +31% better than expected. Their 4-3 home record is +23% better. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (7-4, 64%) is better than their expected 33% win percentage. In simulations where the Kings played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40.7% of the time (#25 in the league). They have moved up from #29 in the league back on 10/28.
STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.2% (#11 in League). They average 114.5 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 110.3. On the road they average 122.4 (109.8 expected), and at home 106.6 ppg (110.8 expected).
DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.8 true FG% (#15 in League). They allow 115.5 pts per game vs an expected value of 116.8. They are allowing 123.7 (117.8 expected) on the road, and at home 107.3 ppg (115.9 expected).
REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 4.4 per game (#25 in league).
TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.4 per game (#4 in league).
Stream Sacramento games with SlingTV
NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The Kings next 6 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 2 games where they are favored by >55% of the simulations, 3 more 'toss up' games, and 5 games where they are a clear underdog. The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 2-4 (33% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 12.4%. At #8 in the conference, they are fighting with the Lakers for positioning. With a -0.77 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are ahead of the Spurs by half a game. With a -0.51 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they may find the gap between them closing. Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Kings are the 9th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Kings are playing 7 games, traveling 6179 miles crossing 8 time zones. They rank #11 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The Sacramento Kings' next game is on November 16. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
Before the season, the Kings were projected to win 28 games (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 10/21 their projected win total was 21.8 before increasing to 35.5 on 11/10. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is up to 34.7 wins. They will be fighting for a playoff spot (currently projected to finish #8 in the conference) and have a 2% chance of making the playoffs. They have a very slim chance (
Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Hard
Kings' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (Guards, Forwards, Centers). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|35||Bagley III, Marvin||PF||6-11||234||03/14/1999||0||Duke|
|88||Bjelica, Nemanja||PF||6-10||234||05/09/1988||3||No College|
|8||Bogdanovic, Bogdan||SG||6-6||205||08/18/1992||1||No College|
|25||Jackson, Justin||SF||6-8||210||03/25/1995||1||North Carolina|
|41||Koufos, Kosta||C||7-0||245||02/24/1989||10||Ohio State|
|10||Mason III, Frank||PG||5-11||190||04/03/1994||1||Kansas|
|50||Randolph, Zach||PF||6-9||250||07/16/1981||17||Michigan State|
|9||Shumpert, Iman||SG||6-5||215||06/26/1990||7||Georgia Tech|