|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
Without Kawhi Leonard the Raptors dropped to under 47 wins per simulation and the 5th spot in the East. Their chance of repeating were right around 14 percent with Kawhi Leonard. That dropped by nearly 13 percentage points after Kawhi left. They have a 38.3% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 13.3% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the East is 4.4%. They have 1.3% chance of winning the championship.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP
Their 58 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +2.8 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went better than expected. They won more games than expected at home and on the road. They went 26-15 on the road and were expected to win 24.4. They won 32 at home and were expected to win 30.8.
STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 57.5% (#4 in League). They average 114.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.4. On the road they average 113.7 (111.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115 expected).
DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.3 true FG% (#2 in League). They allow 108.4 pts per game vs an expected value of 107.9. They are allowing 109.1 (109 expected) on the road, and at home 107.6 ppg (106.8 expected).
REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.4 per game (#17 in league).
TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.5 per game (#7 in league).
TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG
Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Raptors in all of their games would have earned a +325 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have lost -1140 units risking 110 to win 100 (37-44 ATS). They are down against the spread at home and on the road.
|25||Boucher, Chris||PF||6-10||200||01/11/1993||2||New Mexico JC; Oregon|
|33||Gasol, Marc||C||7-1||255||01/29/1985||11||No College|
|---||Hernandez, Dewan||PF||6-10||233||12/09/1996||0||Miami (Fla.)|
|9||Ibaka, Serge||PF||6-10||235||09/18/1989||10||No College|
|1||McCaw, Patrick||SG||6-7||185||10/25/1995||3||Nevada-Las Vegas|
|13||Miller, Malcolm||SF||6-7||210||03/06/1993||2||Holy Cross|
|43||Siakam, Pascal||PF||6-9||230||04/02/1994||3||New Mexico State|
|---||Thomas, Matt||G||6-5||190||08/04/1994||0||Iowa State|
|23||VanVleet, Fred||PG||6-0||195||02/25/1994||3||Wichita State|