SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Without Kawhi Leonard the Raptors dropped to under 47 wins per simulation and the 4th spot in the East. Their chance of repeating were right around 14 percent with Kawhi Leonard. That dropped by nearly 11 percentage points after Kawhi left. Their championship odds are 100/1, 1% (#14 best). They are a good bet to win the championship (2.2 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the East at 25/1, 3.8%. Their sim chance is 6.9%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 46.5 games. The Raptors are averaging 46 wins per sim. At -450 the Raptors are a good value to make the playoffs with a 96.1% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/1, 12.5%. They win the division in 8.9% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the East.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 58-24 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 67%. They were not good against the spread going 37-44-1 (-1140 loss). They went over 45 times and came in under 35 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the New Orleans Pelicans. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 57.6% (#5 in League). They average 114.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.4. On the road they average 113.7 (111.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.4 true FG% (#3 in League). They allow 108.4 pts per game vs an expected value of 107.9. They are allowing 109.1 (109 expected) on the road, and at home 107.6 ppg (106.8 expected).

REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.5 per game (#17 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.5 per game (#7 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Kyle Lowry who is projected to be the #13 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.