PLAYOFF FORECAST

The Jazz jumped from a projected 7th best conference record to the best after upgrading to Mike Conley. By adding one of the best shooters, who is also pretty clutch, in Bojan Bogdanovic and a very solid underrated big man in Ed Davis the Jazz are now #1 in the West. But after the Clippers' got Kawhi and Paul George and the Lakers got Danny Green and re-signed Javale McGee the Jazz are now at #3 in the West. They have a 49.9% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 21.4% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the West is 8.8%. They have 3.8% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 53.7 wins. Their 50 actual wins was below expectation. They didn't meet expectations on the road and at home. They went 21-20 on the road and were expected to win 23.4. They won 29 at home and were expected to win 30.4.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.8% (#8 in League). The team shooting has declined to 53% in their last 7 games. They average 111.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 110.8. On the road they average 110.8 (109.2 expected), and at home 112.6 ppg (112.4 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.3 true FG% (#3 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 56.8% in their last 7 games. They allow 106.5 pts per game vs an expected value of 105.7. They are allowing 108.1 (107 expected) on the road, and at home 104.8 ppg (104.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.7 per game (#4 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.3 per game (#25 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Jazz in all of their games would be down -622 units. Against the spread, they have delivered a +330 profit risking 110 to win 100 (44-37 ATS). They are profitable against the spread at home and on the road.