SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

They are one of 4 teams with 40/1, 2.4% odds to win the championship. If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Jazz would be a good betting value. Their 2.4% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #7 in the league. They are a good bet to win the West at 20/1, 4.8%. Their sim chance is 5.4%. They are projected to win 52 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 53.5. They are making the playoffs. Their chances of winning the division stand at 21%. They were a -2000 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 45.9% at 5/4, 44.4%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 64 games, their expected win percentage is 66% based on the money line odds. They are coming up short of expectations at 41-23. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (306 units). They are not good against the spread (29-33-2) for a -730 loss. Their over-under record is 33-31. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Oklahoma City Thunder. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 58.7% (#2 in League). They average 111.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 110.8. On the road they average 110.8 (109.2 expected), and at home 112.6 ppg (112.4 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 54.8 true FG% (#6 in League). They allow 106.5 pts per game vs an expected value of 105.7. They are allowing 108.1 (107 expected) on the road, and at home 104.8 ppg (104.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +2.5 per game (#5 in league). However, the team has recently been outrebounded by 0.9.

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -2.8 per game (#29 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Donovan Mitchell who is projected to be the #13 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.