SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Wizards are not contenders to win the championship at 1000/1, 0.1%. They are one of 8 teams with these odds (#23 in the league). They do not win the championship in any simulations. They are not a good value to win the East either at 400/1, 0.2%. The Wizards are averaging 32 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 27.5 games. At +800 the Wizards are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 4.2% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 100/1, 1%. They win the division in 1% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the East.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 32-50 record last season was very disappointing. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 38.3-43.7. They were not good against the spread going 38-44 (-1040 loss). They went over 50 times and came in under 32 times. In their next game vs the Mavericks they are only winning 22% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.7% (#9 in League). The team shooting has declined to 53.3% in their last 7 games. They average 114 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113. On the road they average 111.6 (112 expected), and at home 116.4 ppg (113.9 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 58.2 true FG% (#28 in League). They allow 116.9 pts per game vs an expected value of 114. They are allowing 119.2 (115.8 expected) on the road, and at home 114.7 ppg (112.2 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 4.8 per game (#29 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.3 per game (#8 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Bradley Beal who is projected to be the #3 Guard. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.