headshot
Paul
George
College Fresno State
Team Oklahoma City Thunder
13SF
6'9"Height
220Weight
28Age
7Exp
Paul George's Fantasy Scouting Report

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

George is projected for 41.9 FanDuel points and is fairly ranked. At $10700 he is expected to be the #1 small forward. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $10.1K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 44.5 FPs, a value reached in 50 of 86 games (58%). The combined 'cover percentage' for small forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 46%.

  • 4/23 MATCHUP: OKC @ POR, OKC Vegas Line Expectation 107.8 Points (#6 most points for the day)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 41.9 Fantasy Points (#1), 25.1 pts (#1), 7.5 reb (#1), 3.6 ast (#1), 1.8 stl (#1), 0.4 blk (#5), 3.3 3pt (#1), 2.7 turnovers (#1 most)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: George is projected for 45 DraftKings points and is fairly ranked. At $9000 he is expected to be the #1 small forward. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, George is worth $9K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 45.1 FPs, a value reached in 55 of 86 games (64%). The combined 'cover percentage' for small forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 50%.

George is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Paul George Is the #6 ranked fantasy player this season and the most valuable small forward. His elite ranking is helped by his higher games played (77). Based on average fantasy points he is the #2 small forward. He showed an upward trajectory as the season went on. He averaged 40.9 FPs in his first 25 games and 45.2 FP in his final 26 games. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. Our projected ceiling for George when he 'goes off' is 79 fantasy points (his average is 44.4FPs) with a floor of 18 points.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He was sble to improve his fantasy production significantly this season. His fantasy average improved by 30%. His usage rate is trending up.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 132 fantasy points per week and had 9 weeks where he exceeded that by 20% and 6 'bad' weeks where he came up 20% short of his average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 47.6 points and on DraftKings it was 50.6 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 34.8 and on FanDuel it was 31.5 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On Draftkings it was 65 and on FanDuel it was 61 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGMINFGFGAFGP3PT3PTA3PTPFTFTAFTPPTSPPG
2018OKC772841707161443.829275738.645354083.9215928.04
2017OKC792891576134043.024460940.133841182.2173421.95
2016IND752689622134846.119549639.333637489.8177523.67
2015IND812819605144941.821056637.145452886.0187423.14
2014IND691184936.792240.981172.7538.83
2013IND802898577136242.418250036.440146486.4173721.71
2012IND792972493117641.917046936.222127480.7137717.43
2011IND66195828163944.09023438.514618280.279812.09
2010IND61126517939545.34113829.77710176.24767.80
Career (9 Seasons)604204244058937243.31433379137.82434288584.41198319.84
YEARTEAMGMINTRBRPGASTAPGSTSPGBKBPGTO
2018OKC7728416288.163184.131702.21340.44205
2017OKC7928914475.662633.331612.04390.49212
2016IND7526894926.562513.351191.59270.36220
2015IND8128195636.953294.061521.88290.36265
2014IND691223.6761.0050.8310.1712
2013IND8028985426.782833.541511.89220.28224
2012IND7929726037.633274.141431.81510.65233
2011IND6619583705.611582.391081.64380.58117
2010IND6112652243.67651.07621.02260.4370
Career (9 Seasons)6042042438916.4420003.3110711.772670.441558
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
October Games62095112319553241402113415325.5
November Games1552512028647131546312269331434122.7
December Games1450314629651118881041255432443130.8
January Games1452913329557129911121075336241429.6
February Games10397107243541408291845421235035
March Games1452511428349142901121204921736726.2
April Games4154368815421617301814110325.8
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
Wins46166743993318243029033737520511224135029.3
Losses311174268681110327163203253113581080926.1
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
Home Games3914163507781543672062483161668420106027.2
Road Games3814263578361383902472923121528614109928.9
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
Before All-Star Game562034529116921853732939344823212826160528.7
After All-Star Game21808178445742201241471808642855426.4
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
Starting Forward772841707161429275745354062831817034215928
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
AT&T Center - San Antonio, TX, USA1471125375781303030
American Airlines Center - Dallas, TX, USA27520456201014186405628
AmericanAirlines Arena - Miami, FL, USA135142310165675204343
Amway Center - Orlando, FL, USA1391424257964303737
Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN1361023611101265203636
Barclays Center - Brooklyn, NY, USA13715276131114154014747
Capital One Arena - Washington, DC, USA129612461147201717
Chesapeake Energy Arena - Oklahoma City, O3914163507781543672062483161668420106027.2
FedExForum - Memphis, TN, USA139102951556123103030
Golden 1 Center - Sacramento, CA, USA275245182214152110017035
Little Caesars Arena - Detroit, MI, USA1317182811104201717
Madison Square Garden - New York, NY, USA131918499944103131
Moda Center - Portland, OR, USA28017466182934228406934.5
ORACLE Arena - Oakland, CA, USA27319468236111110605226
Pepsi Center - Denver, CO, USA28019486201314139705728.5
Quicken Loans Arena - Cleveland, OH, USA139716133472201818
STAPLES Center - Los Angeles, CA, USA310027728311014187607224
Scotiabank Arena - Toronto, Ontario, Canad1419175105565212828
Smoothie King Center - New Orleans, LA, US2782046624771811325326.5
Spectrum Center - Charlotte, NC, USA13942001034103431111
State Farm Arena - Atlanta, GA, USA1376185127783502424
TD Garden - Boston, MA, USA1391127516101244113737
Talking Stick Resort Arena - Phoenix, AZ,1409223101111112333232
Target Center - Minneapolis, MN, USA27616478271214128405226
Toyota Center - Houston, TX, USA279224710231922255407336.5
United Center - Chicago, IL, USA136616295657401919
Vivint Smart Home Arena - Salt Lake City,275173351318222510825728.5
Wells Fargo Center - Philadelphia, PA, USA14082049111165303131
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
vs. Atlanta26512328201212136704422
vs. Boston27518497261620125215929.5
vs. Brooklyn27424459191518247237236
vs. Charlotte277124132034179643015
vs. Chicago26714356199101311704321.5
vs. Cleveland26315292545116223618
vs. Dallas414635861338222833910110526.2
vs. Denver416037911133212633169310626.5
vs. Detroit267184261555188404723.5
vs. Golden State31102871123513222412708127
vs. Houston4156389317482733451414012030
vs. Indiana275224810241315106306733.5
vs. L.A. Clippers413632801434222933153310025
vs. L.A. Lakers31163265103191317151218327.7
vs. Memphis270174511281213177505728.5
vs. Miami2742341142714151610427437
vs. Milwaukee138122181246133303636
vs. Minnesota415236951646222733125011027.5
vs. New Orleans41533481164415183526839924.8
vs. New York25922409201313119316633
vs. Orlando27523508202225147607638
vs. Philadelphia14082049111165303131
vs. Phoenix31062956132816172313658729
vs. Portland4161429317375160422211115238
vs. San Antonio28116425141113195504824
vs. Sacramento414638881340242540173111328.2
vs. Toronto27615318209121111314723.5
vs. Utah4156427415323440372013213333.2
vs. Washington265133071345812403718.5
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
Regular Season Games772841707161429275745354062831817034215928
All-Star Games1267146120024302020
Overall772841707161429275745354062831817034215928
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
10/16@L108-1003792341258225405327
10/19@L108-923872731133784203620
10/21vsL131-1203310183966662304529
10/25vsL101-953672221068681103522
10/28vsW 117-110309154812445322323
10/30vsW 128-1103491835111411124024332
NOVEMBERSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
11/01@W111-10739420010349103432111
11/02@W134-111296124611447203017
11/05vsW 122-1163761741077468401123
11/07@W95-86397161334672203318
11/08vsW 98-80357213113510116601120
11/10@L111-963882139128136205320
11/12vsW 118-10136111961044786004332
11/14vsW 128-10329132251144675210335
11/17@W110-10040922310111110112335232
11/19@L117-1133792441455893013427
11/21@W123-9535102341113795203525
11/23vsW 109-1043782131000476213119
11/24vsL105-984082136577113231524
11/28vsW 100-83258131211244025518
11/30vsW 124-109296143855553203420
DECEMBERSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
12/03@W110-8331718281110104200017
12/05@W114-112371527613111412154012247
12/07@L114-112366162956557403119
12/10vsW 122-11330810561012333402331
12/12@L118-1143791737449115214425
12/14@L109-984012243656252103232
12/15vsW 110-1043711195968676110433
12/17vsW 121-963181941044684303124
12/19@W132-1133815274891010127005343
12/22@W107-10640152551081013146513143
12/23vsL114-112391124366611123103331
12/25@L113-10938102549449142304428
12/30@L105-103371224311912250203436
12/31vsW 122-102337212667241400522
JANUARYSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
01/02@W107-10034152921157242401337
01/04@W111-109371023591214882103137
01/06vsL116-98367183734345202220
01/08vsL119-1173892451347691002527
01/10@L154-1474711253757781302030
01/12vsW 122-11234517276611114202118
01/15@L142-1263761851277583503224
01/17vsL138-1284491951246578303227
01/19@W117-11540820491111665301231
01/21@W127-109319184999444100431
01/22vsW 123-114381021361315684513236
01/24vsW 122-11638818610148117112223
01/27vsW 118-1123812218124611133305336
01/29@W126-1173914242579464300337
FEBRUARYSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
02/01@W118-102351423101656775202243
02/03@L134-1293911275161012444112237
02/05vsW 132-122369266151516783305539
02/07vsW 117-953271661377554404227
02/09@W117-11241122261415189113102545
02/11vsW 120-111431526813911111210202447
02/14@L131-12241112931733776113328
02/22vsW 148-14750173151366897100345
02/23vsL119-11638419294412135003114
02/26@L121-1124072431488787603325
MARCHSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
03/05@L131-1203882541457452101225
03/07@W129-1214372319172012146303232
03/08@L118-110285163924561005615
03/11@W98-89352803101211114315414
03/13vsW 108-96379183644793222225
03/14@L108-1063610236111012665205336
03/16vsL110-883892541271111132102229
03/18vsL116-1073991841199895225131
03/20vsL123-1143561431047556103619
03/22@W116-1094191751055465212328
03/25@L115-1033910295155610123102330
03/27vsW 107-9939122541333441102231
03/29vsL115-1054010222735894004125
03/31vsL106-10339820512677112213127
APRILSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
04/02vsW 119-103388173800565512119
04/05vsW 123-1103611244744684204130
04/07@W132-1263882241377676300527
04/09vsW 112-1114292541456893402427