Denver Nuggets Finish the Season 54-28

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 50.6 wins. Their 54 actual wins was above expectation. They exceeded expectations at home. They went 20-21 on the road and were expected to win 21.2. They won 34 at home and were expected to win 29.4.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.5% (#17 in League). They average 110.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 111.9. On the road they average 107.2 (110 expected), and at home 114.1 ppg (113.8 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.2 true FG% (#13 in League). They allow 106.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 108.1. They are allowing 109.8 (109.7 expected) on the road, and at home 103.6 ppg (106.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.5 per game (#5 in league).

TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.2 per game (#12 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Nuggets in all of their games would be down -436 units. Against the spread, they have lost -200 units risking 110 to win 100 (42-40 ATS). The Nuggets have lost ATS on the road, but at home they have turned a profit.

Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U RecordPts/PosPA/PosPos+/-
All Games110.7 - 106.754-28, -43642-40, -20034-47 58% Under1.151.12+0.78
On Road107.2 - 109.820-21, -44717-24, -94015-25 62.5% Under1.111.14+0.8
At Home114.1 - 103.634-7, +63825-16, +74019-22 53.7% Under1.21.1+0.76
4/10 MIN99-95Win +11ATS Loss -12.5Under 218.51.091.02-2
4/9 @UTA108-118Loss -100ATS Loss +2Over 212.51.111.24+3
4/7 @POR108-115Loss -100Covered +8.5Over 2191.111.19+1
4/5 POR119-110Win +40Covered -6Over 216.51.321.18-3
4/3 SA113-85Win +50Covered -5Under 214.51.20.96+6
4/2 @GS102-116Loss -100ATS Loss +8.5Under 2200.951.13+5
3/31 WAS90-95Loss -100ATS Loss -10.5Under 227.50.930.97-1
3/29 @OKC115-105Win +170Covered +4.5Over 2181.291.13-4
3/28 @HOU85-112Loss -100ATS Loss +6Under 216.50.891.23+5
3/26 DET95-92Win +32ATS Loss -7.5Under 212.51.010.99+1
3/24 @IND88-124Loss -100ATS Loss -1.5Over 2100.91.3+2
3/22 @NY111-93Win +12Covered -11Under 2151.210.99-3
3/21 @WAS113-108Win +25ATS Loss -8.5Under 229.51.31.19-3
3/18 @BOS114-105Win +155Covered +4Under 2211.141.08+3
3/16 IND102-100Win +35ATS Loss -7Under 2141.161.130
3/14 DAL100-99Win +12ATS Loss -11.5Under 220.51.141.1-2
3/12 MIN133-107Win +16Covered -10Over 2271.411.15+1
3/8 @GS105-122Loss -100ATS Loss +6.5Under 2351.051.24+2
3/6 @LAL115-99Win +45Covered -5Under 231.51.251.02-5
3/4 @SA103-104Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 229.51.061.12+4
3/2 NO112-120Loss -100ATS Loss -13.5Under 2381.051.11-2
2/28 UTA104-111Loss -100ATS Loss -7.5Under 2251.031.16+6
2/26 OKC121-112Win +62Covered -3.5Under 2381.141.07+1
2/24 LAC123-96Win +20Covered -9Under 235.51.160.88-3
2/22 @DAL114-104Win +33Covered -7Under 2231.121.020
2/13 SAC120-118Win +29ATS Loss -7.5Over 232.51.151.15+2
2/11 MIA103-87Win +20Covered -9.5Under 212.51.080.92+2
2/8 @PHI110-117Loss -100ATS Loss +6.5Under 2291.11.19+2
2/6 @BKN130-135Loss -100ATS Loss -3Over 2261.241.25-3
2/4 @DET103-129Loss -100ATS Loss -2Over 2101.021.33+4
2/2 @MIN107-106Win +100Covered +1.5Under 221.51.251.15-7
2/1 HOU136-122Win +60Covered -3.5Over 223.51.571.36-3
1/30 @NO105-99Win +20ATS Loss -9Under 226.51.091.020
1/28 @MEM95-92Win +43ATS Loss -5.5Under 2051.020.99+1
1/26 PHI126-110Win +18Covered -10.5Over 227.51.241.1+2
1/25 PHO132-95Win +5Covered -15Over 2221.340.99+2
1/23 @UTA108-114Loss -100ATS Loss +4.5Over 216.51.141.18-2
1/19 CLE124-102Win +2Covered -18Over 2191.391.17+2
1/17 CHI135-105Win +6Covered -14Over 2141.421.17+5
1/15 GS111-142Loss -100ATS Loss +2Over 2281.181.52+1
1/13 POR116-113Win +51ATS Loss -5Over 216.51.251.19-2
1/12 @PHO93-102Loss -100ATS Loss -9Under 217.50.971.08+2
1/10 LAC121-100Win +43Covered -5.5Under 2261.281.02-4
1/8 @MIA103-99Win +107Covered +2Under 209.51.121.13+4
1/7 @HOU113-125Loss -100ATS Loss +1.5Over 2161.151.280
1/5 CHA123-110Win +20Covered -9.5Over 2191.271.16+2
1/3 @SAC117-113Win +60Covered -3.5Over 2271.221.21+2
1/1 NY115-108Win +8ATS Loss -13Over 2191.231.2+3
12/29 @PHO122-118Win +54ATS Loss -4.5Over 215.51.291.250
12/28 SA102-99Win +53ATS Loss -4.5Under 216.51.11.08+1
12/26 @SA103-111Loss -100ATS Loss +4Under 2161.061.13-1
12/22 @LAC111-132Loss -100ATS Loss +1Over 218.51.111.35+2
12/18 DAL126-118Win +50Covered -4.5Over 207.51.31.210
12/16 TOR95-86Win +65Covered -3Under 209.51.10.97-2
12/14 OKC109-98Win +115Covered +2Under 218.51.161.06+1
12/10 MEM105-99Win +62Covered -3Over 197.51.231.150
12/8 @ATL98-106Loss -100ATS Loss -5.5Under 223.50.931.01+1
12/7 @CHA107-113Loss -100ATS Loss +1.5Over 219.51.11.19+3
12/5 @ORL124-118Win +50Covered -4.5Over 206.51.241.21+3
12/3 @TOR106-103Win +235Covered +7Under 2191.061.05+2
11/30 @POR113-112Win +100Covered +1.5Over 2141.221.210
11/27 LAL117-85Win +66Covered -3Under 2191.240.90
11/24 @OKC105-98Win +210Covered +6Under 2171.050.980
11/23 ORL112-87Win +25Covered -8.5Under 210.51.170.94+3
11/21 @MIN103-101Win +91Covered PKUnder 220.51.121.06-4
11/19 @MIL98-104Loss -100ATS Loss +5.5Under 2241.011.1+2
11/17 @NO115-125Loss -100ATS Loss PKOver 227.51.151.26+1
11/15 ATL138-93Win +7Covered -14Over 222.51.320.9+1
11/13 HOU99-109Loss -100ATS Loss -4.5Under 2171.121.26+2
11/11 MIL114-121Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Over 2231.211.3+1
11/9 BKN110-112Loss -100ATS Loss -8.5Over 215.51.161.14-3
11/7 @MEM87-89Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Under 203.50.971.03+3
11/5 BOS115-107Win +83Covered -1.5Over 210.51.191.15+3
11/3 UTA103-88Win +53Covered -4.5Under 209.51.070.98+7
11/1 @CLE110-91Win +43Covered -5Under 218.51.241.04+1
10/31 @CHI108-107Win +26ATS Loss -8Under 220.51.061.08+3
10/29 NO116-111Win +20ATS Loss -9.5Under 2301.131.09+1
10/25 @LAL114-121Loss -100ATS Loss -1.5Push 2351.081.19+4
10/23 SAC126-112Win +12Covered -11.5Over 228.51.281.15+1
10/21 GS100-98Win +170Covered +4.5Under 228.51.051.01-2
10/20 PHO119-91Win +17Covered -10Under 224.51.160.93+5
10/17 @LAC107-98Win +74Covered -2.5Under 2241.11.02+1