Buddy Hield: A Young Player on the Rise

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Buddy Hield had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He is the number #6 ranked shooting guard and the #34 ranked player overall. Avoiding serious injury and playing 82 games helps him maintain his value. Based on average fantasy points he is the #13 shooting guard. He was trending up for the season. In his first 27 games he averaged 27.7 FPs. He improved to 31.7 in his final 28 games. Given he still relatively young, he should be able to continue showing improvement next season. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. He averaged 30 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 51 fantasy points with a floor of 10 points.

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His three season trend show an increase of 86% in fantasy points per game.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points246116791323
FP Average302116.1
Regular Season GP828082
PTS20.713.510.6
REB5.03.83.3
AST2.51.91.5
STL0.71.10.5
BLK0.40.30.1
TO1.81.61.2
3P3.42.21.8
MIN31.925.323.0
USAGE25.324.321.9

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 95 fantasy points per week and had 9 weeks where he exceeded that by 20% and 8 'bad' weeks where he came up 20% short of his average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL95 FP per Week98
Week 173 (3 games 24.3 per game)-21.7
Week 270 (3 games 23.3 per game)-24.7
Week 3148 (4 games 37 per game)+53.3
Week 481 (3 games 27 per game)
Week 584 (3 games 28 per game)
Week 6108 (4 games 27 per game)
Week 747 (2 games 23.5 per game)-47.7
Week 884 (3 games 28 per game)
Week 9122 (4 games 30.5 per game)+27.3
Week 10146 (4 games 36.5 per game)+51.3
Week 1155 (3 games 18.3 per game)-39.7
Week 12119 (3 games 39.7 per game)+24.3
Week 1385 (4 games 21.2 per game)
Week 14104 (3 games 34.7 per game)
Week 15113 (4 games 28.2 per game)
Week 1672 (2 games 36 per game)-22.7
Week 17120 (4 games 30 per game)+25.3
Week 1834 (1 games)-60.7
Week 1975 (2 games 37.5 per game)-19.7
Week 20105 (3 games 35 per game)
Week 21110 (3 games 36.7 per game)
Week 22121 (4 games 30.2 per game)+26.3
Week 23125 (4 games 31.2 per game)+30.3
Week 24127 (4 games 31.8 per game)+32.3
Week 25118 (4 games 29.5 per game)+23.3
Week 2615 (1 games)-79.7

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 31.1 FD points and 34.1 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 19.2 and on FanDuel it was 17 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was 48.2 fantasy points and 44.5 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All31.1 ($6.8K)19 G, 20 B34.1 ($6.5K)16 G, 20 B
4/10 @POR14 ($7K)-17.116.8 ($7.1K)-17.3
4/7 NO26 ($7.1K)--28.8 ($6.8K)--
4/5 @UTA23 ($7.1K)-8.124.2 ($7.1K)-9.9
4/4 CLE39 ($7.7K)+7.938.5 ($6.9K)--
4/2 HOU37.5 ($7.5K)+6.440.2 ($6.9K)--
3/31 @SA38.5 ($7.3K)+7.440.8 ($7.2K)--
3/30 @HOU34.5--34.8--
3/28 @NO27.5 ($7.4K)--30 ($7.1K)--
3/26 @DAL31.5 ($7.5K)--32.8 ($7.2K)--
3/24 @LAL27.5 ($7.9K)--32 ($7.1K)--
3/23 PHO39 ($7.4K)+7.943.2 ($7.4K)+9.1
3/21 DAL43 ($7K)+11.945 ($7K)+10.9
3/19 BKN25.5 ($7K)--24 ($6.9K)-10.1
3/17 CHI35 ($6.7K)--33.8 ($7K)--
3/15 @PHI22 ($6.8K)-9.123.2 ($7.1K)-10.9
3/14 @BOS47.5 ($6.8K)+16.452 ($7.3K)+17.9
3/11 @WAS20 ($7.4K)-11.122.5 ($7.4K)-11.6
3/9 @NY28--30.5--
3/6 BOS37 ($8K)--40.5 ($7.2K)--
3/4 NY51.5 ($7.6K)+20.452.5 ($7K)+18.4
3/1 LAC35.5 ($7.3K)--38.8 ($6.8K)--
2/27 MIL50.5 ($6.9K)+19.451 ($6.4K)+16.9
2/25 @MIN30 ($7K)--33 ($6.6K)--
2/23 @OKC48 ($6.3K)+16.950.2 ($6.5K)+16.1
2/21 @GS30 ($6.3K)--32.8 ($6.4K)--
2/13 @DEN34.5 ($6.4K)--37.2 ($6.6K)--
2/10 PHO29--30.5--
2/8 MIA35.5 ($6.5K)--38.2 ($6.6K)--
2/6 HOU27 ($6.7K)--35.5 ($6.7K)--
2/4 SA32.5 ($6.6K)--36.5 ($6.7K)--
2/2 PHI45.5 ($6.5K)+14.450.5 ($6.7K)+16.4
1/30 ATL29.5 ($6.5K)--31.2 ($7.2K)--
1/27 @LAC32.5--33--
1/25 @MEM36 ($6K)--40.8 ($6.8K)--
1/22 @TOR27.5 ($6K)--29.2 ($6.9K)--
1/21 @BKN18.5 ($5.9K)-12.622.2-11.9
1/19 @DET50.5 ($6.4K)+19.455.8 ($6.6K)+21.7
1/17 @CHA32.5 ($6.4K)--33.8 ($6.1K)--
1/14 POR25 ($6.5K)--28.2 ($6.6K)--
1/12 CHA27.5 ($7.2K)--32 ($6.5K)--
1/10 DET19 ($7.2K)-12.121 ($6.7K)-13.1
1/8 @PHO18 ($7.4K)-13.123 ($7.4K)-11.1
1/7 ORL17.5 ($7.4K)-13.619.8 ($7.1K)-14.3
1/5 GS43 ($7.1K)+11.948.2 ($6.7K)+14.1
1/3 DEN36 ($7K)--38.5 ($6.3K)--
1/1 POR39 ($6.9K)+7.942.8 ($6.8K)+8.7
12/30 @LAL24 ($6.9K)-7.128.2 ($7.2K)--
12/27 LAL21 ($7.2K)-10.119.2 ($6.9K)-14.9
12/26 @LAC18.5 ($6.7K)-12.620.5 ($7.2K)-13.6
12/23 NO33.5 ($6.9K)--39 ($6.7K)--
12/21 MEM38.5 ($6.9K)+7.443.5 ($6.7K)+9.4
12/19 OKC53.5 ($6.4K)+22.456.5 ($6.2K)+22.4
12/17 @MIN23.5 ($6.4K)-7.626.2 ($6.2K)-7.9
12/16 @DAL33 ($6.3K)--36.5 ($6.1K)--
12/14 GS34 ($6.1K)--37.5 ($5.8K)--
12/12 MIN28.5 ($6.1K)--31 ($5.8K)--
12/10 @CHI25 ($6.1K)--28 ($6.6K)--
12/8 @IND23 ($6.3K)-8.126.5 ($6.3K)-7.6
12/7 @CLE37 ($6.2K)--39 ($6.2K)--
12/4 @PHO28.5 ($6K)--30.8 ($6K)--
12/1 IND27 ($6K)--30.2 ($5.7K)--
11/29 LAC17 ($6K)-14.119.5 ($5.7K)-14.6
11/25 UTA12.5 ($6.1K)-18.617 ($5.4K)-17.1
11/24 @GS40.5 ($6K)+9.444.2 ($5.5K)+10.1
11/21 @UTA20 ($6.6K)-11.124.2 ($5.6K)-9.9
11/19 OKC32 ($6.6K)--35.5 ($5.6K)--
11/17 @HOU34 ($6.6K)--37.2 ($5.9K)--
11/16 @MEM30.5 ($6.6K)--31 ($6.2K)--
11/12 SA27 ($7.3K)--27 ($6.6K)-7.1
11/10 LAL17 ($7.3K)-14.119.5 ($6.9K)-14.6
11/9 MIN27.5 ($7.4K)--34 ($6.7K)--
11/7 TOR34.5 ($7.7K)--36.5 ($6.5K)--
11/4 @MIL21.5--25--
11/1 @ATL47 ($8K)+15.949.2 ($6.4K)+15.1
10/30 @ORL41.5 ($6.6K)+10.446.2 ($5.5K)+12.1
10/29 @MIA44.5 ($6.4K)+13.447 ($5.5K)+12.9
10/26 WAS30 ($6.3K)--32.8 ($5.5K)--
10/24 MEM30 ($5.9K)--34.8 ($5.5K)--
10/23 @DEN9.5 ($6K)-21.612.2 ($5.6K)-21.9
10/21 @OKC23 ($6.5K)-8.126.2 ($5.7K)-7.9
10/19 @NO24.5 ($6.3K)-6.626.5 ($5.6K)-7.6
10/17 UTA28.5 ($5.5K)--30.5 ($5.3K)--