LA Clippers Are #1 In the West with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George

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PLAYOFF FORECAST

With their massive move to get Kawhi and PG the Clippers are now #1 in the West with nearly 55 wins per simulation. This assumes Kawhi sits around 15 games as part of load management. Their championship percentage leads the league. They have a 75.3% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 49.1% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the West is 30.3%. They have 19.9% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 48 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +5.6 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went better than expected. They exceeded expectations on both the road and at home. They went 22-19 on the road and were expected to win 17.8. Their 63.4% home win percentage was better than expected (60%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 57.5% (#5 in League). They average 115.1 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.8. On the road they average 112.4 (112.3 expected), and at home 117.9 ppg (115.2 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56 true FG% (#17 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 61.2% in their last 7 games. They allow 114.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 113.2. They are allowing 114 (114.5 expected) on the road, and at home 114.6 ppg (111.9 expected).

REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.7 per game (#18 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -1 per game (#22 in league). Better in their last 7 games with a turnover margin of 1.3.

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Clippers in all of their games would have earned a +779 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +440 profit risking 110 to win 100 (44-36 ATS). They are profitable against the spread at home and on the road.

Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U RecordPts/PosPA/PosPos+/-
All Games115.1 - 114.348-34, +77944-36, +44044-36 55% Over1.151.14-0.17
On Road112.4 - 114.022-19, +74922-17, +33017-24 58.5% Under1.131.15+0.59
At Home117.9 - 114.626-15, -822-19, +11027-12 69.2% Over1.181.13-0.93
4/10 UTA143-137Win +30ATS Loss -8Over 2251.251.18-1
4/7 @GS104-131Loss -100ATS Loss +11.5Under 237.51.021.34+4
4/5 LAL117-122Loss -100ATS Loss -11.5Over 2281.121.18+1
4/3 HOU103-135Loss -100ATS Loss +2.5Over 2291.071.36-3
3/31 MEM113-96Win +19Covered -10Under 2241.120.95-1
3/30 CLE132-108Win +25Covered -8.5Over 228.51.391.11-2
3/28 @MIL118-128Loss -100ATS Push +10Over 231.51.171.3+2
3/26 @MIN122-111Win +69Covered -3Over 229.51.21.07-2
3/24 @NY124-113Win +24Covered -8.5Over 223.51.311.20
3/22 @CLE110-108Win +36ATS Loss -6.5Under 226.51.191.12-4
3/19 IND115-109Win +47Covered -5.5Over 2191.151.10
3/17 BKN119-116Win +44ATS Loss -5.5Over 230.51.171.1-4
3/15 CHI128-121Win +25ATS Loss -9Over 229.51.251.23+4
3/12 POR104-125Loss -100ATS Loss +4Under 231.51.171.28-8
3/11 BOS140-115Win +110Covered +2Over 227.51.381.14+1
3/8 OKC118-110Win +79Covered -2Under 2371.161.04-4
3/4 @LAL113-105Win +135Covered +3.5Under 2361.211.03-9
3/3 NY128-107Win +17Covered -10Over 2261.191.04+5
3/1 @SAC116-109Win +140Covered +3Under 2381.191.09-2
2/27 @UTA105-111Loss -100Covered +10Under 2271.031.07-2
2/25 DAL121-112Win +60Covered -3.5Over 2301.211.19+6
2/24 @DEN96-123Loss -100ATS Loss +9Under 235.50.881.16+3
2/22 @MEM112-106Win +68Covered -3Over 2171.071.04+3
2/13 PHO134-107Win +30Covered -7.5Over 232.51.381.06-4
2/11 @MIN120-130Loss -100ATS Loss +3.5Over 232.51.221.330
2/9 @BOS123-112Win +575Covered +11.5Over 228.51.141.06+3
2/7 @IND92-116Loss -100ATS Loss +6.5Under 2210.931.160
2/5 @CHA117-115Win +143Covered +3Over 223.51.251.22-1
2/3 @TOR103-121Loss -100ATS Loss +9.5Under 225.511.19+2
2/2 @DET111-101Win +120Covered +2Under 215.51.181.06-1
1/31 LAL120-123Loss -100ATS Loss +2Over 2321.121.1-5
1/28 ATL118-123Loss -100ATS Loss -6Over 233.51.231.26-1
1/27 SAC122-108Win +62Covered -3.5Push 2301.211.09+1
1/25 @CHI106-101Win +50Covered -4.5Under 222.51.041.02+2
1/23 @MIA111-99Win +180Covered +5.5Under 215.51.231.090
1/22 @DAL98-106Loss -100ATS Loss +3Under 223.51.061.15+1
1/20 @SA103-95Win +375Covered +9.5Under 220.51.050.99+3
1/18 GS94-112Loss -100ATS Loss +7.5Under 2420.921.11+1
1/16 UTA109-129Loss -100ATS Loss -1Over 224.51.081.25-2
1/14 NO117-121Loss -100ATS Loss +1.5Under 2401.171.16-4
1/12 DET104-109Loss -100ATS Loss -7Under 2221.111.17+1
1/10 @DEN100-121Loss -100ATS Loss +5.5Under 2261.021.28+4
1/8 CHA128-109Win +36Covered -6.5Over 231.51.271.09+1
1/6 ORL106-96Win +36Covered -6.5Under 220.51.110.99-2
1/4 @PHO121-111Win +50Covered -4.5Under 2351.231.17+3
1/1 PHI113-119Loss -100ATS Loss +1.5Under 236.51.11.19+2
12/29 SA111-122Loss -100ATS Loss -3Over 2271.061.18+1
12/28 @LAL118-107Win +33Covered -7Under 229.51.1110
12/26 SAC127-118Win +50Covered -5Over 238.51.271.1-7
12/23 @GS127-129Loss -100Covered +11Over 233.51.291.33+2
12/22 DEN132-111Win +92Covered -1Over 218.51.351.11-2
12/20 DAL125-121Win +62Covered -3.5Over 222.51.331.24-4
12/17 POR127-131Loss -100ATS Loss -1.5Over 217.51.291.3-2
12/15 @OKC104-110Loss -100ATS Push +6Under 2271.031.12+2
12/13 @SA87-125Loss -100ATS Loss +3Under 221.50.921.35+2
12/11 TOR99-123Loss -100ATS Loss +3Over 219.51.061.3-1
12/10 @PHO123-119Win +21ATS Loss -9.5Over 222.51.191.150
12/8 MIA98-121Loss -100ATS Loss -9Push 2190.971.190
12/5 @MEM86-96Loss -100ATS Loss +2Under 209.50.931-3
12/3 @NO129-126Win +105Covered +1.5Over 234.51.331.33+2
12/2 @DAL110-114Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Under 2251.071.13+1
11/29 @SAC133-121Win +74Covered -2Over 2361.341.23+1
11/28 PHO115-99Win +12Covered -11.5Under 229.51.160.97-3
11/25 @POR104-100Win +150Covered +4Under 2271.111.07+1
11/23 MEM112-107Win +54Covered -4.5Over 2101.071.01-1
11/20 @WAS118-125Loss -100ATS Loss -1Over 2331.151.23+1
11/19 @ATL127-119Win +36Covered -6.5Over 232.51.161.15+6
11/17 @BKN127-119Win +50Covered -4Over 2221.271.25+5
11/15 SA116-111Win +37ATS Loss -6.5Over 2171.171.11-1
11/12 GS121-116Win +145Covered +3.5Over 226.51.11.1+5
11/10 MIL128-126Win +160Covered +4Over 233.51.131.12+1
11/8 @POR105-116Loss -100ATS Loss +5Under 225.51.121.19-3
11/5 MIN120-109Win +44Covered -5.5Under 2331.291.12-4
11/2 @ORL120-95Win +60Covered -3.5Under 219.51.210.99+3
11/1 @PHI113-122Loss -100ATS Loss +5.5Over 2291.071.16+1
10/30 @OKC110-128Loss -100ATS Loss +2Over 2271.031.17-3
10/28 WAS136-104Win +62Covered -3.5Over 2291.30.99-1
10/26 @HOU133-113Win +155Covered +4Over 217.51.311.110
10/23 @NO109-116Loss -100ATS Loss +6Under 238.51.071.13-1
10/21 HOU115-112Win +87Covered -1Over 2221.181.150
10/19 OKC108-92Win +67Covered -3Under 2141.120.94-1
10/17 DEN98-107Loss -100ATS Loss +2.5Under 2241.021.1-1