Lakers Slip Behind Clippers with Kawhi… But Still a Top 4 Contender

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PLAYOFF FORECAST

The Anthony Davis trade vaulted them to the top of the West. But Utah's bold moves and Kawhi's move to the Clippers put them back to #3. By acquiring Danny Green and re-signing Javale McGee they should be a solid defensive team and managed to hold onto the 2nd spot in the West. They have a 71.9% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 46.1% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the West is 27.9%. They have 18.7% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The regular season went worse than expected. They won 37 games vs an expected win total of 38.9. They met expectations at home, it was on the road that they struggled. They went 15-26 on the road and were expected to win 17.3. They won 22 at home and were expected to win 21.6.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): This is a below average shooting team with a true FG% of 55.4% (#18 in League). They average 111.8 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.4. On the road they average 112.5 (112.4 expected), and at home 111 ppg (114.4 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55.2 true FG% (#11 in League). They allow 113.5 pts per game vs an expected value of 114.3. They are allowing 115.8 (115 expected) on the road, and at home 111.2 ppg (113.6 expected).

REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.3 per game (#15 in league). However, the team has recently outrebounded opponents by 5.4.

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.7 per game (#28 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Lakers in all of their games would be down -87 units. Against the spread, they have lost -1560 units risking 110 to win 100 (35-46 ATS). They are down against the spread at home and on the road.

Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U RecordPts/PosPA/PosPos+/-
All Games111.8 - 113.537-45, -8735-46, -156032-49 60.5% Under1.11.13+0.79
On Road112.5 - 115.815-26, +13918-23, -73020-21 51.2% Under1.11.14+0.75
At Home111.0 - 111.222-19, -8717-23, -83012-28 70% Under1.11.11+0.83
4/9 POR101-104Loss -100Covered +9.5Under 225.51.041.08+1
4/7 UTA113-109Win +600Covered +12Over 216.51.21.17+1
4/5 @LAC122-117Win +550Covered +11.5Over 2281.181.12-1
4/4 GS90-108Loss -100ATS Loss +13.5Under 2270.851.07+5
4/2 @OKC103-119Loss -100ATS Loss +12.5Under 2261.021.170
3/31 @NO130-102Win +135Covered +3Over 2311.230.96-1
3/29 CHA129-115Win +115Covered +2Over 229.51.371.2-1
3/27 @UTA100-115Loss -100Covered +16Under 2191.011.18+2
3/26 WAS124-106Win +71Covered -2.5Under 2371.241.02-4
3/24 SAC111-106Win +100Covered +1Under 231.51.091.05+1
3/22 BKN106-111Loss -100ATS Loss +2.5Under 232.51.031.09+1
3/19 @MIL101-115Loss -100ATS Loss +11Under 228.50.981.13+1
3/17 @NY123-124Loss -100ATS Loss -5Over 2211.231.27+2
3/15 @DET97-111Loss -100ATS Loss +12.5Under 2161.011.18+2
3/14 @TOR98-111Loss -100ATS Loss +7Under 230.50.931.07+2
3/12 @CHI123-107Win +76Covered -2Over 225.51.251.1+1
3/9 BOS107-120Loss -100ATS Loss +7Over 220.51.081.18-3
3/6 DEN99-115Loss -100ATS Loss +5Under 231.51.021.25+5
3/4 LAC105-113Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Under 2361.031.21+9
3/2 @PHO109-118Loss -100ATS Loss -7Under 2351.131.3+5
3/1 MIL120-131Loss -100ATS Loss +5.5Over 2401.191.32+1
2/27 NO125-119Win +34ATS Loss -6.5Over 239.51.191.1-3
2/25 @MEM105-110Loss -100ATS Loss -5Under 2221.041.12+3
2/23 @NO115-128Loss -100ATS Loss -6.5Over 233.51.091.2-2
2/21 HOU111-106Win +125Covered +3Under 2331.11.06+1
2/12 @ATL113-117Loss -100ATS Loss -6Under 239.51.061.04-6
2/10 @PHI120-143Loss -100ATS Loss +7Over 2351.151.4+2
2/7 @BOS129-128Win +330Covered +9Over 228.51.311.34+3
2/5 @IND94-136Loss -100ATS Loss -2.5Over 218.50.961.4+1
2/2 @GS101-115Loss -100Covered +15Under 23411.17+3
1/31 @LAC123-120Win +74Covered -2Over 2321.11.12+5
1/29 PHI105-121Loss -100ATS Loss +7.5Under 2301.041.20
1/27 PHO116-102Win +30Covered -7.5Under 227.51.221.06-1
1/24 MIN105-120Loss -100ATS Loss -2Under 2311.061.210
1/21 GS111-130Loss -100ATS Loss +13Over 2331.071.31+4
1/19 @HOU134-138Loss -100Covered +7Over 229.51.261.24-4
1/17 @OKC138-128Win +410Covered +10Over 2261.231.11-2
1/15 CHI107-100Win +33ATS Push -7Under 2161.11.02-2
1/13 CLE95-101Loss -100ATS Loss -10.5Under 2210.981.06+2
1/11 @UTA95-113Loss -100ATS Loss +8.5Under 214.50.91.06-1
1/9 DET113-100Win +77Covered -1Under 2161.241.11+1
1/7 @DAL107-97Win +285Covered +8Under 222.51.031+7
1/6 @MIN86-108Loss -100ATS Loss +8Under 224.50.831.08+4
1/4 NY112-119Loss -100ATS Loss -5.5Over 222.51.051.13+1
1/2 OKC100-107Loss -100ATS Loss +5.5Under 2290.930.99-1
12/30 SAC121-114Win +83Covered -1.5Over 2321.161.14+4
12/28 LAC107-118Loss -100ATS Loss +7Under 229.511.110
12/27 @SAC116-117Loss -100Covered +4.5Over 2301.141.13-2
12/25 @GS127-101Win +350Covered +9Under 233.51.290.97-5
12/23 MEM99-107Loss -100ATS Loss -5Under 210.51.091.16-1
12/21 NO112-104Win +43Covered -5Under 234.51.091.010
12/18 @BKN110-115Loss -100ATS Loss -2Under 227.51.081.130
12/16 @WAS110-128Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Over 231.51.011.190
12/15 @CHA128-100Win +81Covered -1.5Over 227.51.240.96-1
12/13 @HOU111-126Loss -100ATS Loss +6Over 2261.191.350
12/10 MIA108-105Win +44ATS Loss -5.5Under 2221.141.06-4
12/8 @MEM111-88Win +115Covered +2Under 2091.130.94+4
12/7 @SA120-133Loss -100ATS Loss PKOver 2241.171.3+1
12/5 SA121-113Win +25Covered -7.5Over 2251.161.13+5
12/2 PHO120-96Win +12Covered -11.5Under 2211.140.94+4
11/30 DAL114-103Win +56Covered -4Under 2231.10.990
11/29 IND104-96Win +45Covered -5Under 2201.050.95-2
11/27 @DEN85-117Loss -100ATS Loss +3Under 2190.91.240
11/25 ORL104-108Loss -100ATS Loss -7.5Under 217.51.031.09+2
11/23 UTA90-83Win +70Covered -2.5Under 2200.890.830
11/21 @CLE109-105Win +21ATS Loss -9Under 2221.151.13+2
11/18 @MIA113-97Win +86Covered -1Under 224.51.191.06+4
11/17 @ORL117-130Loss -100ATS Loss -4Over 222.51.141.29+2
11/14 POR126-117Win +68Covered -2.5Over 2231.231.150
11/11 ATL107-106Win +14ATS Loss -10.5Under 2381.041.030
11/10 @SAC101-86Win +41Covered -5.5Under 2371.020.84-3
11/7 MIN114-110Win +40ATS Loss -5.5Under 2391.171.16+2
11/4 TOR107-121Loss -100ATS Loss -1.5Under 235.51.041.23+4
11/3 @POR114-110Win +141Covered +3.5Under 2361.11.03-4
10/31 DAL114-113Win +28ATS Loss -7.5Under 234.51.111.1-1
10/29 @MIN120-124Loss -100ATS Loss -1.5Over 2401.121.23+6
10/27 @SA106-110Loss -100ATS Loss -1Under 2311.061.12+1
10/25 DEN121-114Win +100Covered +1.5Push 2351.191.08-4
10/24 @PHO131-113Win +44Covered -5.5Over 2381.271.14+4
10/22 SA142-143Loss -100ATS Loss -1.5Over 225.51.231.32+7
10/20 HOU115-124Loss -100ATS Loss +3.5Over 2381.11.15-3
10/18 @POR119-128Loss -100ATS Loss +3Over 2241.11.16-2