Sixers Move Back Without Butler and Redick and Move Back Up With Horford

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PLAYOFF FORECAST

Philadelphia was projected to be a 55 win team if they were able to bring back their roster from last season. Without Redick and Jimmy Butler they slip to a 50 win team. By getting Al Horford they move back up to a 53 win team. Not as good as they could have been but a lot better than they were for a few minutes. They have a 74.5% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 43.2% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the East is 23%. They have 10.7% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 49.5 wins. Their 51 actual wins was above expectation. Their strength was at home. Their 75.6% home win percentage was better than expected (70.1%). They won 48.8% on the road which was as expected (50.5%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 57.2% (#6 in League). The team shooting has declined to 54.1% in their last 7 games. They average 115.2 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 114.7. On the road they average 112.1 (113.1 expected), and at home 118.2 ppg (116.4 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 54.8 true FG% (#6 in League). They allow 112.5 pts per game vs an expected value of 111.4. They are allowing 114.8 (113 expected) on the road, and at home 110.2 ppg (109.8 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +4.8 per game (#2 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -2.4 per game (#30 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the 76ers in all of their games would be down -91 units. Against the spread, they have lost -1040 units risking 110 to win 100 (38-44 ATS).

Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U RecordPts/PosPA/PosPos+/-
All Games115.2 - 112.551-31, -9138-44, -104043-39 52.4% Over1.161.12-0.63
On Road112.1 - 114.820-21, -13117-24, -94021-20 51.2% Over1.121.14-0.6
At Home118.2 - 110.231-10, +5221-20, -10022-19 53.7% Over1.191.11-0.66
4/10 CHI125-109Win +40Covered -6Over 218.51.351.14-3
4/9 @MIA99-122Loss -100ATS Loss +6.5Over 2190.951.22+4
4/6 @CHI116-96Win +16Covered -10Under 2271.221.04+3
4/4 MIL122-128Loss -100ATS Loss +4Over 231.51.141.17-2
4/3 @ATL122-130Loss -100ATS Loss -4.5Over 239.51.251.3-2
4/1 @DAL102-122Loss -100ATS Loss -5Over 219.50.991.2+1
3/30 @MIN118-109Win +52Covered -4.5Under 229.51.241.11-3
3/28 BKN123-110Win +31Covered -7Over 231.51.251.07-4
3/25 @ORL98-119Loss -100ATS Loss +2Under 2191.091.36+2
3/23 @ATL127-129Loss -100ATS Loss -7.5Over 2361.231.2-5
3/20 BOS118-115Win +59ATS Loss -3.5Over 2241.231.19-1
3/19 @CHA118-114Win +100Covered +1Over 223.51.241.17-2
3/17 @MIL130-125Win +222Covered +5.5Over 2301.221.21+4
3/15 SAC123-114Win +19ATS Loss -10.5Over 2331.251.160
3/12 CLE106-99Win +5ATS Loss -15Under 223.51.091.01-1
3/10 IND106-89Win +38Covered -6Under 217.51.10.92-1
3/8 @HOU91-107Loss -100ATS Loss +7.5Under 230.50.941.10
3/6 @CHI107-108Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Under 2301.121.1-2
3/5 ORL114-106Win +54Covered -4Under 2221.21.1-1
3/2 GS117-120Loss -100Covered +5Under 2381.111.19+5
2/28 @OKC108-104Win +155Covered +4Under 2391.071.05+2
2/25 @NO111-110Win +74ATS Loss -2.5Under 240.51.021.010
2/23 POR115-130Loss -100ATS Loss -1.5Over 2301.161.310
2/21 MIA106-102Win +42ATS Loss -5.5Under 2201.11.04-2
2/13 @NY126-111Win +16Covered -10Over 222.51.241.05-4
2/12 BOS109-112Loss -100ATS Loss -6.5Under 2251.161.24+3
2/10 LAL143-120Win +36Covered -7Over 2351.41.15-2
2/8 DEN117-110Win +36Covered -6.5Under 2291.191.1-2
2/5 TOR107-119Loss -100ATS Loss -2.5Under 230.51.11.26+3
2/2 @SAC108-115Loss -100ATS Loss -3Under 232.51.091.12-3
1/31 @GS113-104Win +295Covered +8Under 240.51.161.070
1/29 @LAL121-105Win +33Covered -7.5Under 2301.21.040
1/26 @DEN110-126Loss -100ATS Loss +10.5Over 227.51.11.24-2
1/23 SA122-120Win +62ATS Loss -3.5Over 2251.311.27-1
1/21 HOU121-93Win +54Covered -4.5Under 2341.190.94+2
1/19 OKC115-117Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Under 2351.161.180
1/17 @IND120-96Win +136Covered +3Under 224.51.260.98-3
1/15 MIN149-107Win +40Covered -6Over 2341.431.04+1
1/13 @NY108-105Win +25ATS Loss -8.5Under 2291.081.07+2
1/11 ATL121-123Loss -100ATS Loss -10Over 2331.231.3+4
1/9 @WAS106-123Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Over 227.51.041.24+3
1/8 WAS132-115Win +28Covered -8Over 2271.311.16+2
1/5 DAL106-100Win +33ATS Loss -7Under 226.51.111-4
1/2 @PHO132-127Win +51Covered -4.5Over 2281.291.17-6
1/1 @LAC119-113Win +80Covered -1.5Under 236.51.191.1-2
12/30 @POR95-129Loss -100ATS Loss +1Over 2230.91.24+2
12/27 @UTA114-97Win +170Covered +4.5Under 219.51.210.99-4
12/25 @BOS114-121Loss -100ATS Loss +5Over 2241.031.12+2
12/22 TOR126-101Win +53Covered -4.5Over 2201.220.95-3
12/19 NY131-109Win +10Covered -12.5Over 2281.381.1-4
12/17 @SA96-123Loss -100ATS Loss +1.5Under 224.51.011.33+2
12/16 @CLE128-105Win +22Covered -9Over 218.51.361.08-4
12/14 IND101-113Loss -100ATS Loss -3Under 218.51.061.16-3
12/12 BKN124-127Loss -100ATS Loss -6Over 224.51.231.3+3
12/10 DET116-102Win +11Covered -11.5Under 2191.21.08+2
12/7 @DET117-111Win +100Covered +1.5Over 220.51.181.11-1
12/5 @TOR102-113Loss -100ATS Loss +6.5Under 2291.021.140
12/2 MEM103-95Win +38Covered -6.5Under 2121.070.990
11/30 WAS123-98Win +23Covered -8.5Under 233.51.190.950
11/28 NY117-91Win +10Covered -12.5Under 2281.190.91-2
11/25 @BKN127-125Win +50ATS Loss -4.5Over 2261.31.27-1
11/23 CLE112-121Loss -100ATS Loss -13Over 217.51.261.34-2
11/21 NO121-120Win +59ATS Loss -3.5Over 237.51.11.16+7
11/19 PHO119-114Win +12ATS Loss -11Over 219.51.141.12+3
11/17 @CHA122-119Win +125Covered +2.5Over 225.51.061.030
11/16 UTA113-107Win +69Covered -2.5Over 216.51.151.04-5
11/14 @ORL106-111Loss -100ATS Loss -6Under 2181.141.22+2
11/12 @MIA124-114Win +122Covered +2.5Over 224.51.31.21+1
11/10 @MEM106-112Loss -100ATS Loss +5Over 2111.031.1+1
11/9 CHA133-132Win +43ATS Loss -5.5Over 2271.21.17-2
11/7 @IND100-94Win +125Covered +2.5Under 2161.030.95-3
11/4 @BKN97-122Loss -100ATS Loss -4Under 22411.19-6
11/3 DET109-99Win +30Covered -7.5Under 2211.080.93-5
11/1 LAC122-113Win +44Covered -5.5Over 2291.161.07-1
10/30 @TOR112-129Loss -100ATS Loss +6Over 227.51.061.220
10/29 ATL113-92Win +12Covered -11Under 230.51.070.9+4
10/27 CHA105-103Win +44ATS Loss -5.5Under 228.51.081.02-4
10/24 @MIL108-123Loss -100ATS Loss +5Over 228.50.991.1-3
10/23 @DET132-133Loss -100ATS Loss -1Over 215.51.211.2-2
10/20 ORL116-115Win +8ATS Loss -12.5Over 217.51.271.2-4
10/18 CHI127-108Win +9Covered -12.5Over 2211.220.99-5
10/16 @BOS87-105Loss -100ATS Loss +5Under 211.50.841.04+2