Are 90% of Harden Owners Correctly Starting Him in Week 15?


If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week James Harden is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #1 while his projection (rest of week 14) rank is #9. When compared to other guards in week 15, Mike Conley (141.2 FP), Stephen Curry (111 FP), DeMar DeRozan (115.1 FP), Jrue Holiday (137.8 FP), and Kyrie Irving (108.8 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Harden but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 90% of leagues he is expected to produce 126.7 fantasy points (WK 15). It should be a very good week 15 as he is projected to be the #2 guard. Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing 4 games.

He is projected for 201 fantasy points in week 15 (#2 G) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
201 (#2) 
Points125 (#1) 
Rebounds28.8 (#2) 
Assists27.4 (#3) 
Steals7.8 (#2) 
Blocks3.4 (#2) 
3PT Made17 (#1) 
Turnovers19.6 (#1) 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, James Harden is valued behind Russell and above Fox but the projections rank James Harden over Russell in week 15.
  • Jan 21Jan 23Jan 25Jan 27
    52 FP @PHI53.9 FP @NY46.8 FP vs TOR47.7 FP vs ORL

    James Harden last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    1/16 vs BKN78 FP, 79 FD, 86 DK45 Min, 58 Pts, 10 Reb, 6 Ast, 65.7 TS%, 44% USG
    1/14 vs MEM68 FP, 73 FD, 78 DK34 Min, 57 Pts, 9 Reb, 2 Ast, 69.6 TS%, 61% USG
    1/13 @ORL71 FP, 73 FD, 75 DK43 Min, 38 Pts, 9 Reb, 12 Ast, 48.7 TS%, 45% USG
    1/11 vs CLE77 FP, 79 FD, 88 DK30 Min, 43 Pts, 10 Reb, 12 Ast, 74.5 TS%, 44% USG
    1/9 vs MIL59 FP, 62 FD, 71 DK41 Min, 42 Pts, 11 Reb, 6 Ast, 60.3 TS%, 44% USG

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    James Harden is projected to be the #2 rated player of 19 guards who are owned in 100% of leagues. If you sort these 19 players based on their actual fantasy production and then by their current start percentage, he is the #1 rated player. The projections expect his value to decrease slightly. He is projected for 1800 fantasy points in 38 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market values James Harden over Westbrook but the projections do not. While scoring is his strength he contributes enough in other areas to be considered a well-rounded guard.

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    1800 (#2) 
    Points1156 (#1) 
    Rebounds244 (#2) 
    247.1 (#6) 
    Steals70 (#2) 
    26 (#4) 
    3PT Made151 (#2) 
    Turnovers190 (#1) 

    Harden is not in the 1/18 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline FanDuel optimal lineup is DeMar DeRozan, and Joe Ingles is in the DraftKings optimal lineup.


    • 58 pts, 10 reb, 6 ast, 1 blk, 1 stl
    • FanDuel: $14000, 79 FPs (+$3609 value, +16.2 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $13000, 85.5 FPs (+$3997 value, +20.1 FPs)