Blake Griffin Is (Not) a Must Start in Week 15?

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among forwards for the rest of week 14 is #1, which is better than his market rank of #6. When compared to other forwards in week 15 instead of Griffin consider these better options at lower start percentages: Paul George (154.2 FP), Kawhi Leonard (156 FP), Giannis Antetokounmpo (139.3 FP), Aaron Gordon (120.3 FP), and Ben Simmons (125 FP). Starting in 97% of leagues he is expected to produce 156 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #3 forward of the week, but he is projected to be the #8 forward. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 38.9 short of expectations.

Lower Start%B. Griffin WK 15Higher Start%
P. George (154 FP)117 FPK. Durant (117 FP)
K. Leonard (156 FP)#3 Forward 
G. Antetokounmpo (139 FP) 
 
A. Gordon (120 FP) 
 
B. Simmons (125 FP) 
 

He is projected for 117 fantasy points in week 15 (#9 F) in 3 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
117 (#9) 
Points 
72 (#7) 
Rebounds 
 
21.4 (#31)
Assists 
15.4 (#6) 
Steals 
 
2.7 (#39)
Blocks 
 
1.3 (#62)
3PT Made 
 
6.4 (#18)
Turnovers10.6 (#2) 
 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Blake Griffin is valued behind Durant and above Harris but the projections rank Blake Griffin over Durant in week 15.
  • Jan 21Jan 23Jan 25
    38.7 FP @WAS39.9 FP @NO38.4 FP @DAL

    Blake Griffin last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/16 vs ORL44 FP, 46 FD, 46 DK40 Min, 30 Pts, 4 Reb, 5 Ast, 67 TS%, 29% USG
    1/14 @UTA29 FP, 31 FD, 34 DK36 Min, 19 Pts, 4 Reb, 4 Ast, 53.1 TS%, 28% USG
    1/12 @LAC62 FP, 68 FD, 70 DK40 Min, 44 Pts, 8 Reb, 5 Ast, 75.4 TS%, 36% USG
    1/9 @LAL25 FP, 24 FD, 26 DK37 Min, 16 Pts, 0 Reb, 6 Ast, 53.8 TS%, 24% USG
    1/7 vs SA49 FP, 45 FD, 48 DK37 Min, 34 Pts, 2 Reb, 8 Ast, 71.9 TS%, 34% USG

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (1/18): Based on a projected 39.7 FanDuel points, Griffin is fairly ranked. He is the #2 highest priced power forward ($9800). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Griffin is worth $9.7K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 40.2 FPs, a value reached in 23 of 43 games (53%). The combined 'cover percentage' for power forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 50%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Based on a projected 43.4 DraftKings points Griffin is fairly ranked. He is the #2 highest priced power forward ($8700). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Griffin is worth $9.1K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 41.5 FPs, a value reached in 28 of 43 games (65%). The combined 'cover percentage' for power forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 47%.

    Griffin is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

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    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    There are 17 forwards owned in 100% of leagues and Blake Griffin is projected to be the #5 among them. If you sort these 17 players based on their actual fantasy production and then by their current start percentage, he is the #6 rated player. Based on these projections, he is set to trend up slightly. He is projected for 1497 fantasy points in 37 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #4 highest average. The market ranks Blake Griffin behind Simmons and above James but the projections rank these players in reverse order. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 3 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. Scoring is his strength but he has areas he could improve on to become a more well-rounded fantasy forward.

    Lower Own%B. Griffin ROSHigher Own%
    L. James (1555 FP)1497 FPK. Durant (1467 FP)
    L. Doncic (1506 FP)#6 ForwardP. George (1401 FP)
     
     
    B. Simmons (1426 FP)
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    1497 (#5) 
    Points 
    903 (#4) 
    Rebounds 
    286 (#10) 
    Assists 
    192.8 (#7) 
    Steals 
     
    31 (#41)
    Blocks 
     
    18 (#45)
    3 PT Made 
    76 (#11) 
    Turnovers126 (#2)