Blossomgame ($3.7K) vs Layman ($4K): FD Projections Decide Who Is the Better Value

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Jaron Blossomgame is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 10.5 FD pts (#22 among small forwards). At $3700 he is expected to be the #26 small forward. Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Blossomgame is worth $2.6K. Jonathon Simmons is also priced at $3700, and Blossomgame is a better option at this price. Stanley Johnson (12.2 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Omri Casspi (5.4 FP) and Jake Layman (9.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 12.1 FPs, a value reached in 5 of 23 games (22%). The combined 'cover percentage' for small forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

  • 1/18 MATCHUP: CLE @ UTA, CLE Vegas Line Expectation 99.8 Points (#13 most points for the day)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 10.5 Fantasy Points (#22), 4 pts (#24), 4.1 reb (#11), 0.4 ast (#24), 0.4 stl (#21), 0.4 blk (#8), 0.5 3pt (#22), 0.5 turnovers (#21 most)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Blossomgame is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 11.3 DK pts (#22 among small forwards). At $3300 he is expected to be the #26 small forward. Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Blossomgame is worth $2.4K. Alfonzo McKinnie is also priced at $3300, and Blossomgame is a better option at this price. Anthony Tolliver (17.3 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Omri Casspi (5.8 FP), Treveon Graham (9.5 FP), Jake Layman (9.6 FP), and Darius Miller (9.5 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 12.2 FPs, a value reached in 6 of 23 games (26%). The combined 'cover percentage' for small forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

Blossomgame is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other forwards in week 15, Dante Cunningham (13.3 FP), Doug McDermott (15.7 FP), Marquese Chriss (21.6 FP), Jordan Bell (17.1 FP), and Miles Bridges (20.5 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Blossomgame but are starting in more leagues. He is starting in no leagues and with a projected forward rank of #114 in week 15 it makes sense.

He is projected for 27 fantasy points in week 15 (#114 F) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
27 (#114) 
Points 
12 (#117) 
Rebounds11.4 (#81) 
 
Assists 
 
1.2 (#135)
Steals 
1.2 (#112) 
Blocks1.3 (#62) 
 
3 PT Made 
1.3 (#109) 
Turnovers 
1.5 (#118) 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Jaron Blossomgame is valued behind Sefolosha and above Nader and the projections agree for this week.
  • Jan 21Jan 23Jan 25Jan 27
    7.3 FP vs CHI6.8 FP @BOS6.3 FP vs MIA7 FP @CHI

    Jaron Blossomgame last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/16 @POR22 FP, 26 FD, 26 DK29 Min, 8 Pts, 10 Reb, 1 Ast, 50 TS%, 13% USG
    1/13 @LAL5 FP, 5 FD, 6 DK9 Min, 2 Pts, 3 Reb, 0 Ast, 33.3 TS%, 15% USG
    1/11 @HOU3 FP, 3 FD, 3 DK5 Min, 2 Pts, 1 Reb, 0 Ast, 100 TS%, 8% USG
    1/9 @NO7 FP, 7 FD, 7 DK5 Min, 6 Pts, 1 Reb, 0 Ast, 100 TS%, 25% USG
    1/2 vs MIA1 FP, 1 FD, 2 DK3 Min, 0 Pts, 2 Reb, 0 Ast, 0 TS%, 17% USG

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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Based on ownership percentage (under 1%) and season fantasy rankings, Jaron Blossomgame has a market rank of #135 among forwards. With a lower market rank than projection rank, consider Jaron Blossomgame to be undervalued. His fantasy forward projection rank is #131. While not a great fantasy option, he may be good for a spot start if you are in bind and with a market ranking this low, there could be a clear opportunity to acquire him via trade or waiver wire pick up. Even though he is undervalued, he is not projected for more fantasy points than other forwards with a better market ranking. He is projected for 245 fantasy points in 37 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#146) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Jaron Blossomgame behind McKinnie and above Casspi but the projections rank Jaron Blossomgame over McKinnie. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly better in 3 categories (strengths) than his overall fantasy point ranking. With a better FP Total rank than Avg rank, his value will decrease once his remaining games evens out with other similarly rated players. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from inside the three-point arc. His strength is in defensive stats (steals, blocks).

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    245 (#131) 
    Points 
    114 (#136) 
    Rebounds103 (#100) 
     
    Assists 
     
    10.6 (#145)
    Steals 
    10 (#128) 
    Blocks10 (#89) 
     
    3PT Made11 (#118) 
     
    Turnovers 
    13 (#135)