Critical Start/Sit Advice for Harris in Week 15


His market rank based on start percentage among forwards for the rest of week 14 is #7, which is better than his market rank of #11. these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Paul George (154.2 FP), Jimmy Butler (110.9 FP), Kawhi Leonard (156 FP), Giannis Antetokounmpo (139.3 FP), and Otto Porter (110.7 FP). Starting in 97% of leagues he is expected to produce 154.2 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #4 forward of the week, but he is projected to be the #15 forward. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 44.7 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 27.4 which is less than his actual per game average (32.5).

He is projected for 110 fantasy points in week 15 (#13 F) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
110 (#13) 
67 (#10) 
25.3 (#22)
8.3 (#24)
2.9 (#37)
1.7 (#47)
3 PT Made 
7.2 (#14) 
5.9 (#25)

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Tobias Harris is valued behind Griffin and above Aldridge but the projections rank Aldridge over Tobias Harris in week 15.
  • Jan 22Jan 23Jan 25Jan 27
    25.9 FP @DAL26 FP @MIA28 FP @CHI29.5 FP vs SAC

    Tobias Harris last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    1/16 vs UTA31 FP, 34 FD, 34 DK32 Min, 17 Pts, 6 Reb, 3 Ast, 57.1 TS%, 19% USG
    1/14 vs NO33 FP, 34 FD, 37 DK36 Min, 21 Pts, 6 Reb, 3 Ast, 85.2 TS%, 16% USG
    1/12 vs DET25 FP, 30 FD, 34 DK37 Min, 11 Pts, 10 Reb, 2 Ast, 55.7 TS%, 16% USG
    1/10 @DEN38 FP, 38 FD, 41 DK31 Min, 18 Pts, 11 Reb, 4 Ast, 53.7 TS%, 23% USG
    1/8 vs CHA34 FP, 32 FD, 36 DK32 Min, 23 Pts, 6 Reb, 3 Ast, 62.4 TS%, 26% USG


    FANDUEL VALUE (1/18): Projected for 30.1 FanDuel pts Tobias Harris is the #6 ranked power forward. At $7800 he is expected to be the #5 power forward. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $7.3K. These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Derrick Favors (31.1 FP) and Draymond Green (32.5 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 32 FPs, a value reached in 26 of 44 games (59%). The combined 'cover percentage' for power forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 50%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Based on a projected 32.4 DraftKings points Harris is fairly ranked. He is the #2 highest priced small forward ($7100). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $6.8K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 33.8 FPs, a value reached in 29 of 44 games (66%). The combined 'cover percentage' for small forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

    Harris is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

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    His latest projection based rank among forwards is #18. As of 1/18, Tobias Harris is the #11 ranked forward based on ownership percentage (100%) and fantasy rankings. The market is higher on Tobias Harris than the projections are so we consider him to be overvalued. Of the 17 100% owned forwards, he is ranked #16. There are 17 forwards that are owned in all leagues and Tobias Harris is projected to be the least productive for the rest of the season. He can be considered overvalued and expect his ranking among 100% owned forwards to go down. He is projected for 1054 fantasy points in 38 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#20) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Tobias Harris behind Randle and above Leonard but the projections rank Leonard over Tobias Harris. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 3 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. His strength is scoring. But sharing the ball and accumulating defensive stats need improvement.

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    1054 (#18) 
    662 (#14) 
    244 (#22) 
    79.7 (#32)
    29 (#43)
    16 (#62)
    3 PT Made 
    71 (#15) 
    57 (#27)