Damian Lillard Is the #2 Fantasy Point Guard

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Damian Lillard is the #5 ranked fantasy player this season and the #2 point guard. His fantasy production did not rise or fall significantly as the season went on. If you break up his season into 3 equal segments (start, middle, end) his average started at 43.9 FPs, ended at 45 FPs, and was 40.5 FPs in between. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. Our projected ceiling for Lillard when he 'goes off' is 74 fantasy points (his average is 43.1FPs) with a floor of 19 points.

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

The table below shows his relatively steady fantasy production over the past 3 seasons. His minutes and usage have been stable season-to-season.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points345031493160
FP Average43.143.142.1
Regular Season GP807375
PTS25.826.927.0
REB4.64.54.9
AST6.96.65.8
STL1.11.10.9
BLK0.40.40.3
TO2.62.82.6
3P3.03.12.9
MIN35.536.635.9
USAGE29.330.631.7

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 133 fantasy points per week and had 8 weeks where he exceeded that by 20% and 7 'bad' weeks where he came up 20% short of his average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL133 FP per Week87
Week 190 (2 games 45 per game)-42.7
Week 2169 (3 games 56.3 per game)+36.3
Week 3177 (5 games 35.4 per game)+44.3
Week 4105 (3 games 35 per game)-27.7
Week 5143 (3 games 47.7 per game)
Week 6166 (4 games 41.5 per game)+33.3
Week 7148 (3 games 49.3 per game)
Week 8143 (3 games 47.7 per game)
Week 997 (3 games 32.3 per game)-35.7
Week 10167 (4 games 41.8 per game)+34.3
Week 11140 (4 games 35 per game)
Week 12120 (3 games 40 per game)
Week 13153 (4 games 38.2 per game)
Week 14134 (3 games 44.7 per game)
Week 15138 (3 games 46 per game)
Week 1665 (1 games)-67.7
Week 17120 (3 games 40 per game)
Week 1897 (2 games 48.5 per game)-35.7
Week 1977 (2 games 38.5 per game)-55.7
Week 20161 (4 games 40.2 per game)+28.3
Week 21149 (3 games 49.7 per game)
Week 22138 (3 games 46 per game)
Week 23171 (3 games 57 per game)+38.3
Week 24180 (4 games 45 per game)+47.3
Week 25161 (4 games 40.2 per game)+28.3
Week 2641 (1 games)-91.7

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 42.9 points and on DraftKings it was 45.6 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 29.8 and on FanDuel it was 27.5 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On Draftkings it was 61.5 and on FanDuel it was 58 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All42.9 ($9.7K)16 G, 17 B45.6 ($9K)14 G, 15 B
4/9 @LAL45 ($9.1K)--45 ($9.3K)--
4/7 DEN42.5 ($9.2K)--47 ($9.2K)--
4/5 @DEN28 ($9.4K)-14.930 ($9.5K)-15.6
4/3 MEM42 ($10.2K)--46.8 ($9.8K)--
4/1 @MIN33 ($10.5K)-9.939.8 ($10K)--
3/30 @DET38.5 ($10.7K)--41.5 ($10.1K)--
3/29 @ATL50.5 ($10.9K)--53.2 ($10.1K)--
3/27 @CHI26.5 ($11K)-16.429 ($10.3K)-16.6
3/25 BKN58 ($10.6K)+15.162 ($9.9K)+16.4
3/23 DET43.5 ($10.8K)--50 ($10.1K)--
3/20 DAL61 ($10.7K)+18.165.2 ($8.8K)+19.6
3/18 IND60.5 ($10K)+17.663.5 ($9K)+17.9
3/16 @SA49.5 ($9.9K)--52 ($8.8K)--
3/15 @NO42.5 ($9.9K)--44.5 ($9K)--
3/12 @LAC44 ($9.7K)--47.2 ($9.2K)--
3/9 PHO33.5 ($10.3K)-9.435 ($8.8K)-10.6
3/7 OKC75.5 ($9.8K)+32.676.8 ($8.1K)+31.2
3/5 @MEM33 ($9.4K)-9.937.5 ($8.1K)--
3/3 @CHA33--34.8--
3/1 @TOR40 ($9.4K)--44 ($8.4K)--
2/27 @BOS51 ($9K)--52.8 ($8.8K)--
2/25 @CLE39 ($10.1K)--41.5 ($9.2K)--
2/23 @PHI37--38.5--
2/21 @BKN38 ($10.1K)--39.5 ($8.6K)--
2/13 GS44 ($10.2K)--47.8 ($8.6K)--
2/11 @OKC52 ($10.2K)+9.154.2 ($8.6K)--
2/10 @DAL41.5--45.8--
2/7 SA52.5 ($9.6K)+9.649 ($8.6K)--
2/5 MIA30 ($9.9K)-12.934.2 ($8.9K)-11.4
1/30 UTA63.5 ($9.4K)+20.668 ($8.5K)+22.4
1/24 @PHO41.5 ($9.8K)--39.8 ($8.4K)--
1/22 @OKC61 ($9.3K)+18.160.8 ($8.1K)+15.2
1/21 @UTA44 ($9K)--47.5 ($8.3K)--
1/18 NO42 ($9.8K)--44.2 ($8.6K)--
1/16 CLE44 ($10.1K)--46.5 ($9K)--
1/14 @SAC42.5 ($9.4K)--47.2 ($8.8K)--
1/13 @DEN38.5 ($9.1K)--41.5 ($8.6K)--
1/11 CHA50.5 ($8.9K)--46.5 ($8.7K)--
1/9 CHI33 ($9.2K)-9.935.8 ($8.8K)-9.8
1/7 NY33.5 ($9.2K)-9.436.5 ($9K)-9.1
1/5 HOU42 ($9K)--45.8 ($8.6K)--
1/4 OKC37 ($8.8K)--37.5 ($8.6K)--
1/1 @SAC38 ($9.2K)--41.5 ($8.7K)--
12/30 PHI22.5 ($8.8K)-20.429.2 ($8.2K)-16.4
12/29 GS49.5 ($8.7K)--53.5 ($8.3K)--
12/27 @GS31.5 ($8.9K)-11.432.8 ($8.3K)-12.8
12/25 @UTA33 ($9.3K)-9.934.8 ($7.8K)-10.8
12/23 DAL46.5 ($9.4K)--48 ($8.7K)--
12/21 UTA37 ($9.4K)--37 ($8.5K)--
12/19 MEM43 ($9.2K)--44.8 ($9K)--
12/17 @LAC55 ($8.8K)+12.157.8 ($8.8K)+12.2
12/14 TOR37 ($8.9K)--37.5 ($8.5K)--
12/12 @MEM27.5 ($9.7K)-15.429.8 ($9.2K)-15.8
12/11 @HOU36 ($10.2K)--40 ($9.7K)--
12/8 MIN45 ($10.6K)--49.5 ($9.4K)--
12/6 PHO44 ($10.5K)--46.8 ($10.1K)--
12/4 @DAL53 ($9.9K)+10.157 ($9.8K)+11.4
12/2 @SA59 ($9.6K)+16.161 ($9.4K)+15.4
11/30 DEN27 ($9.5K)-15.929.2 ($9.5K)-16.4
11/28 ORL61 ($9.5K)+18.166.5 ($9K)+20.9
11/25 LAC39 ($9.3K)--43.5 ($9.6K)--
11/23 @GS44 ($9.4K)--44 ($9K)--
11/21 @MIL35.5 ($9.4K)--37 ($9.2K)--
11/20 @NY49 ($9.6K)--52 ($9.7K)--
11/18 @WAS55.5 ($9.4K)+12.658 ($9.3K)+12.4
11/16 @MIN24.5 ($9.4K)-18.429 ($9.1K)-16.6
11/14 @LAL56.5 ($9.3K)+13.661.5 ($8.8K)+15.9
11/11 BOS38 ($9.6K)--43.8 ($8.3K)--
11/8 LAC39 ($9.8K)--40.5 ($9.1K)--
11/6 MIL24.5 ($10.1K)-18.427.5 ($9.6K)-18.1
11/4 MIN33.5 ($9.7K)-9.434.2 ($9.2K)-11.4
11/3 LAL49 ($9.7K)--48 ($9.9K)--
11/1 NO41 ($9.6K)--45.8 ($9.9K)--
10/30 @HOU35.5 ($10.4K)--37.2 ($9.6K)--
10/29 @IND20 ($10.2K)-22.921.8 ($9.4K)-23.8
10/27 @MIA57 ($9.9K)+14.161.8 ($8.9K)+16.2
10/25 @ORL59 ($9.8K)+16.162.8 ($8.7K)+17.2
10/22 WAS47 ($10K)--51.5 ($8.6K)--
10/20 SA44.5 ($10K)--46.5 ($8.2K)--
10/18 LAL43 ($9.9K)--45 ($8.6K)--