Does Bradley's Latest FanDuel Projection Justify His $3.6K Salary?

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Avery Bradley is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 17.6 FD pts (#18 among shooting guards). At $3600 he is expected to be the #28 shooting guard. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $4.3K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Langston Galloway is also priced at $3600, and Bradley is a better option at this price. Andre Iguodala (13.9 FP), Garrett Temple (17.1 FP), Dion Waiters (13.5 FP), Reggie Bullock (17.1 FP), and Marco Belinelli (14.3 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Bradley but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 11.7 FPs, a value reached in 24 of 44 games (55%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shooting guards priced at $4.0K and above is 47%.

  • 1/18 MATCHUP: LAC vs GS, LAC Vegas Line Expectation 117.8 Points (#3 most points for the day)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 17.6 Fantasy Points (#18), 9.8 pts (#17), 3.1 reb (#13), 2 ast (#14), 0.8 stl (#13), 0.3 blk (#19), 1.2 3pt (#17), 1.3 turnovers (#14 most)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Bradley is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 18.7 DK pts (#14 among shooting guards). He is the #21 highest priced shooting guard ($3600). Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Bradley is worth $3.9K. Luke Kennard is also priced at $3600, and Bradley is a better option at this price. Andre Iguodala (14.1 FP), Garrett Temple (18 FP), E`Twaun Moore (18.1 FP), Reggie Bullock (18.6 FP), and Marco Belinelli (15.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Bradley but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 13.6 FPs, a value reached in 21 of 44 games (48%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shooting guards priced at $4.0K and above is 50%.

Bradley is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week, Avery Bradley could be someone to consider. He is projected to be the #39 guard the rest of week 14 and he is only starting in 7% of leagues. When compared to other guards in week 15 Shelvin Mack (64.8 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. Nicolas Batum (42.7 FP), Darren Collison (44.7 FP), Patty Mills (47.4 FP), Jeremy Lamb (39.9 FP), and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (55.6 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Bradley but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 7% of leagues he is expected to produce 49 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #77 guard of week 15. He is projected to be better than that (the #62 guard). His per game projected FP average is 15.7 which is better than his actual per game average (11.6). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing 4 games.

Lower Start%A. Bradley WK 15Higher Start%
S. Mack (65 FP)63 FPN. Batum (43 FP)
 
#77 GuardD. Collison (45 FP)
 
 
P. Mills (47 FP)
 
 
J. Lamb (40 FP)
 
 
K. Caldwell-Pope (56 FP)

He is projected for 63 fantasy points in week 15 (#62 G) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
63 (#62) 
Points 
37 (#54) 
Rebounds11.5 (#40) 
 
Assists 
 
7.4 (#81)
Steals 
2.7 (#56) 
Blocks1.2 (#43) 
 
3 PT Made 
4.6 (#57) 
Turnovers5.1 (#49) 
 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Avery Bradley is valued behind Beasley and above Bazemore but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 15.
  • Jan 22Jan 23Jan 25Jan 27
    15.1 FP @DAL15.1 FP @MIA15.9 FP @CHI16.9 FP vs SAC

    Avery Bradley last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/16 vs UTA18 FP, 18 FD, 21 DK25 Min, 15 Pts, 3 Reb, 1 Ast, 75 TS%, 20% USG
    1/14 vs NO19 FP, 16 FD, 20 DK30 Min, 9 Pts, 2 Reb, 5 Ast, 50 TS%, 16% USG
    1/12 vs DET7 FP, 6 FD, 6 DK22 Min, 3 Pts, 0 Reb, 2 Ast, 50 TS%, 6% USG
    1/10 @DEN10 FP, 13 FD, 12 DK26 Min, 2 Pts, 2 Reb, 2 Ast, 16.7 TS%, 10% USG
    1/8 vs CHA13 FP, 14 FD, 15 DK29 Min, 10 Pts, 1 Reb, 1 Ast, 50.6 TS%, 16% USG

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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    His latest projection based rank among guards is #69. Ranking by ownership percentage (19%), Avery Bradley is expected to be the #82 guard for the rest of the season. Our projections indicate that Avery Bradley is underrated by the market. There could be an opportunity to acquire him while the market is still not as high on them as the projections are. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better guard option available. He is projected for 606 fantasy points in 38 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#72) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Avery Bradley behind Mills and above Monk but the projections rank Avery Bradley over Mills. His strength is scoring, especially from three-point range. But he is not expected to pass very often.

    Lower Own%A. Bradley ROSHigher Own%
    I. Smith (622 FP)606 FPR. Rondo (585 FP)
     
    #82 GuardG. Hill (409 FP)
     
     
    D. Green (572 FP)
     
     
    P. Mills (557 FP)
     
     
    I. Thomas (547 FP)
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    606 (#69) 
    Points 
    364 (#64) 
    Rebounds112 (#49) 
     
    Assists 
     
    71.7 (#84)
    Steals 
    26 (#64) 
    Blocks10 (#48) 
     
    3 PT Made 
    45 (#62) 
    Turnovers50 (#59)