Is Beverley Worth More than Beasley in Fantasy?

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Based on ownership percentage (14%), Patrick Beverley has a market rank of #86 among guards. Patrick Beverley's projection rank is better than their market rank. His fantasy guard projection rank is #73. There could be a nice opportunity to acquire him before the market realizes he is undervalued. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better guard option available. He is projected for 577 fantasy points in 38 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#78) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Patrick Beverley behind Beasley and above Smith but the projections rank these players in reverse order. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly better in 3 categories (strengths) than his overall fantasy point ranking. With a better FP Total rank than Avg rank, his value will decrease once his remaining games evens out with other similarly rated players. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from inside the three-point arc. But sharing the ball and accumulating defensive stats are strengths.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
577 (#73) 
Points 
 
219 (#101)
Rebounds139 (#28) 
 
Assists108.8 (#53) 
 
Steals26 (#64) 
 
Blocks14 (#24) 
 
3 PT Made 
39 (#72) 
Turnovers 
38 (#76) 

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week, Patrick Beverley could be someone to consider. He is projected to be the #49 guard the rest of week 14 and he is only starting in 6% of leagues. When compared to other guards in week 15 Shelvin Mack (64.8 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. Nicolas Batum (42.7 FP), Darren Collison (44.7 FP), Patty Mills (47.4 FP), Jeremy Lamb (39.9 FP), and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (55.6 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Beverley but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 6% of leagues he is expected to produce 47.9 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #80 guard of week 15. He is projected to be better than that (the #64 guard). Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing 4 games.

Lower Start%P. Beverley WK 15Higher Start%
S. Mack (65 FP)60 FPN. Batum (43 FP)
 
#80 GuardD. Collison (45 FP)
 
 
P. Mills (47 FP)
 
 
J. Lamb (40 FP)
 
 
K. Caldwell-Pope (56 FP)

He is projected for 59 fantasy points in week 15 (#64 G) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
59 (#64) 
Points 
 
23 (#89)
Rebounds14.3 (#24) 
 
Assists11.5 (#42) 
 
Steals 
2.5 (#60) 
Blocks1.6 (#17) 
 
3 PT Made 
4.1 (#66) 
Turnovers 
3.9 (#71) 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Patrick Beverley is valued behind Lin and above Hill but the projections rank Patrick Beverley over Lin in week 15.
  • Jan 22Jan 23Jan 25Jan 27
    14.3 FP @DAL14.1 FP @MIA15.4 FP @CHI16.4 FP vs SAC

    Patrick Beverley last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/16 vs UTA10 FP, 12 FD, 12 DK25 Min, 0 Pts, 3 Reb, 3 Ast, 0 TS%, 7% USG
    1/14 vs NO29 FP, 32 FD, 33 DK25 Min, 3 Pts, 11 Reb, 7 Ast, 50 TS%, 9% USG
    1/12 vs DET11 FP, 12 FD, 12 DK34 Min, 3 Pts, 3 Reb, 2 Ast, 75 TS%, 3% USG
    1/10 @DEN15 FP, 19 FD, 17 DK23 Min, 2 Pts, 3 Reb, 4 Ast, 33.3 TS%, 8% USG
    1/8 vs CHA13 FP, 12 FD, 15 DK22 Min, 6 Pts, 5 Reb, 2 Ast, 75 TS%, 12% USG

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE (1/18): There are 3 other options at $3900 (Patty Mills, Tyus Jones, Tyler Johnson) and Beverley is the best option of these 4. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (18.8 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Shabazz Napier (16.1 FP) and Bryn Forbes (16.3 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 15 FPs, a value reached in 31 of 44 games (70%). The combined 'cover percentage' for point guards priced at $4.0K and above is 48%.

    FANDUEL VALUE: Patrick Beverley is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 16.5 FD pts (#16 among point guards). He is the #19 highest priced point guard ($4300). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $4K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Patty Mills is also priced at $4300, and Beverley is a better option at this price. These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Tyler Johnson (16.5 FP) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (18.7 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 14.6 FPs, a value reached in 28 of 44 games (64%). The combined 'cover percentage' for point guards priced at $4.0K and above is 48%.

    Beverley is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.