Is Paul Worth More than Williams in Fantasy?

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

REST OF SEASON VALUE

As of 1/18, Chris Paul is the #25 ranked guard based on ownership percentage (99%). Chris Paul's projection rank is better than their market rank. His fantasy guard projection rank is #19. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better guard option available. He is projected for 1111 fantasy points in 32 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #12 highest average. The market ranks Chris Paul behind Young and above Williams and the projections agree. With a better FP Avg rank than Total rank, his value will increase once his remaining games evens out with other similarly rated players. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from inside the three-point arc. But sharing the ball is a strength.

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**These projections are based on him returning 1/25.

Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
1111 (#19) 
Points 
 
527 (#32)
Rebounds 
148 (#17) 
Assists226.2 (#10) 
 
Steals60 (#5) 
 
Blocks 
 
9 (#61)
3 PT Made 
73 (#26) 
Turnovers 
85 (#21) 

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other guards in week 15, Nicolas Batum (42.7 FP), Danny Green (65.8 FP), Darren Collison (44.7 FP), E`Twaun Moore (66.4 FP), and Kemba Walker (67.3 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Paul but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 9% of leagues he is expected to produce 53.4 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #74 guard of week 15. He is projected to be better than that (the #53 guard). His per game projected FP average is 33.8 which is better than his actual per game average (20.7).

He is projected for 68 fantasy points in week 15 (#53 G) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
68 (#53) 
Points 
 
32 (#67)
Rebounds 
10.2 (#57) 
Assists13 (#36) 
 
Steals3.5 (#36) 
 
Blocks 
 
0.6 (#90)
3 PT Made 
4.7 (#55) 
Turnovers 
4.8 (#54) 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Chris Paul is valued behind Morris and above Mills but the projections rank Chris Paul over Morris in week 15.
  • Jan 21Jan 23Jan 25Jan 27
    0 FP @PHI0 FP @NY33.7 FP vs TOR34.1 FP vs ORL

    Paul is not in the 1/18 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline FanDuel optimal lineup is Derrick Rose, and D`Angelo Russell is in the DraftKings optimal lineup.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 12/19 VS WAS

    • 21 pts, 2 reb, 8 ast, 1 blk, 2 stl
    • FanDuel: $8200, 41 FPs (+$1245 value, +5.4 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $8300, 42.5 FPs (+$367 value, +1.8 FPs)