Is Smith Worth More than Beverley in Fantasy?

REST OF SEASON VALUE

His latest projection based rank among guards is #68. Ranking by ownership percentage (14%), Ish Smith is expected to be the #87 guard for the rest of the season. Our projections indicate that Ish Smith is underrated by the market. There could be a nice opportunity to acquire him before the market realizes he is undervalued. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better guard option available. He is projected for 622 fantasy points in 39 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#71) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Ish Smith behind Beverley and above Jones but the projections rank Ish Smith over Beverley. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 4 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from three-point range. But sharing the ball is a strength.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
622 (#68) 
Points 
 
300 (#79)
Rebounds 
 
78 (#88)
Assists126.2 (#46) 
 
Steals 
 
21 (#83)
Blocks12 (#38) 
 
3PT Made 
 
23 (#107)
Turnovers 
42 (#70) 

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week, Ish Smith could be someone to consider. He is projected to be the #45 guard the rest of week 14 and he is only starting in 3% of leagues. When compared to other guards in week 15 he is projected for more points than 3 other guards starting in more leagues: Jeremy Lamb (39.9 FP), Malik Beasley (28.5 FP), and Monte Morris (39.6 FP). Starting in 3% of leagues he is expected to produce 44.7 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #89 guard of week 15. He is projected to be better than that (the #83 guard). His per game projected FP average is 15.7 which is better than his actual per game average (9.2).

He is projected for 47 fantasy points in week 15 (#83 G) in 3 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
47 (#83) 
Points 
23 (#89) 
Rebounds 
 
5.6 (#104)
Assists9.7 (#56) 
 
Steals 
 
1.8 (#95)
Blocks0.9 (#54) 
 
3PT Made 
 
1.9 (#119)
Turnovers 
3.4 (#82) 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Ish Smith is valued behind Rondo and above Waiters but the projections rank Ish Smith over Rondo in week 15.
  • Jan 21Jan 23Jan 25
    15.7 FP @WAS16.3 FP @NO15.2 FP @DAL

    Ish Smith last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/16 vs ORL13 FP, 12 FD, 13 DK22 Min, 6 Pts, 2 Reb, 3 Ast, 34.2 TS%, 21% USG
    1/14 @UTA15 FP, 18 FD, 17 DK19 Min, 8 Pts, 1 Reb, 2 Ast, 40.5 TS%, 24% USG
    12/5 @MIL-1 FP, -1 FD, 0 DK15 Min, 0 Pts, 1 Reb, 0 Ast, 0 TS%, 13% USG
    12/3 vs OKC9 FP, 12 FD, 12 DK21 Min, 4 Pts, 1 Reb, 2 Ast, 34 TS%, 15% USG
    12/1 vs GS16 FP, 15 FD, 16 DK22 Min, 11 Pts, 1 Reb, 2 Ast, 50 TS%, 21% USG

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE (1/18): Projected for 14.6 DraftKings pts Smith is the #31 ranked point guard. He is the #38 highest priced point guard ($3600). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $3.1K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is also priced at $3600 and is a better option at this price. Based on salary, he is expected to have 13.6 FPs, a value reached in 20 of 43 games (47%). The combined 'cover percentage' for point guards priced at $4.0K and above is 48%.

    FANDUEL VALUE: Ish Smith is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 14.2 FD pts (#21 among point guards). At $3900 he is expected to be the #22 point guard. Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Smith is worth $3.5K. Tyler Johnson is also priced at $3900 and is a better option at this price. Instead of Smith consider these better options at lower salaries: Shabazz Napier (15.3 FP) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (18.7 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 12.9 FPs, a value reached in 19 of 43 games (44%). The combined 'cover percentage' for point guards priced at $4.0K and above is 48%.

    Smith is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.