Johnson FanDuel Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

There are 4 other options at $3500 (Jared Dudley, Dante Cunningham, Wesley Iwundu, Semi Ojeleye) and Johnson is the best option of these 5. Omri Casspi (5.4 FP), Jonathon Simmons (7 FP), Jake Layman (9.1 FP), Davis Bertans (11.2 FP), and Derrick Jones Jr. (12.1 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Johnson but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 9.2 FPs, a value reached in 31 of 43 games (72%). The combined 'cover percentage' for small forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

  • 1/18 MATCHUP: DET vs MIA, DET Vegas Line Expectation 104.8 Points (#11 most points for the day)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 12.2 Fantasy Points (#19), 5.6 pts (#20), 2.7 reb (#20), 1 ast (#17), 0.9 stl (#6), 0.2 blk (#17), 0.7 3pt (#19), 0.9 turnovers (#15 most)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Johnson is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 12.6 DK pts (#19 among small forwards). He is the #24 highest priced small forward ($3400). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Johnson is worth $2.6K. Darius Miller is also priced at $3400, and Johnson is a better option at this price. Anthony Tolliver (17.3 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Omri Casspi (5.8 FP), Treveon Graham (9.5 FP), Jake Layman (9.6 FP), Davis Bertans (12.1 FP), and Derrick Jones Jr. (12 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Johnson but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 12.6 FPs, a value reached in 21 of 43 games (49%). The combined 'cover percentage' for small forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

Johnson is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

instead of Johnson consider these better options at lower start percentages: Meyers Leonard (38.5 FP), Sam Dekker (50 FP), James Ennis (37.4 FP), and Dorian Finney-Smith (40.4 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 other forwards starting in more leagues: Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (25.7 FP), Kevon Looney (26.1 FP), and Miles Bridges (20.5 FP). He is starting in just 2% of leagues and with a projected forward rank of #106 in week 15 it makes sense that he is not starting in many leagues.

Lower Start%S. Johnson WK 15Higher Start%
M. Leonard (38 FP)30 FPM. Kidd-Gilchrist (26 FP)
S. Dekker (50 FP)#99 ForwardK. Looney (26 FP)
J. Ennis (37 FP) 
M. Bridges (20 FP)
D. Finney-Smith (40 FP) 
 

He is projected for 30 fantasy points in week 15 (#103 F) in 3 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
30 (#103) 
Points 
18 (#96) 
Rebounds 
 
7 (#122)
Assists3.1 (#90) 
 
Steals2.7 (#39) 
 
Blocks 
 
0.6 (#116)
3PT Made2.4 (#76) 
 
Turnovers3.1 (#76) 
 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Stanley Johnson is valued behind Harkless and above Stephenson and the projections agree for this week.
  • Jan 21Jan 23Jan 25
    10.1 FP @WAS10.1 FP @NO9.9 FP @DAL

    Stanley Johnson last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/16 vs ORL8 FP, 12 FD, 11 DK13 Min, 3 Pts, 3 Reb, 0 Ast, 39.9 TS%, 14% USG
    1/14 @UTA11 FP, 14 FD, 14 DK12 Min, 3 Pts, 4 Reb, 1 Ast, 30 TS%, 19% USG
    1/12 @LAC9 FP, 12 FD, 11 DK11 Min, 2 Pts, 2 Reb, 2 Ast, 33.3 TS%, 16% USG
    1/10 @SAC19 FP, 20 FD, 22 DK23 Min, 16 Pts, 2 Reb, 1 Ast, 68 TS%, 26% USG
    1/9 @LAL16 FP, 21 FD, 18 DK18 Min, 9 Pts, 0 Reb, 2 Ast, 64.3 TS%, 18% USG

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    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    His latest projection based rank among forwards is #87. Ranking by ownership percentage (6%), Stanley Johnson is expected to be the #101 forward for the rest of the season. Our projections indicate that Stanley Johnson is underrated by the market. There could be a nice opportunity to acquire him before the market realizes he is undervalued. Unless someone offers an even better forward value, we advise you to hold on to him. He is projected for 405 fantasy points in 39 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#93) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Stanley Johnson behind Iguodala and above Spellman and the projections agree. With a better FP Total rank than Avg rank, his value will decrease once his remaining games evens out with other similarly rated players.

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    405 (#87) 
    Points 
    221 (#87) 
    Rebounds 
     
    101 (#103)
    Assists 
    40.2 (#79) 
    Steals33 (#32) 
     
    Blocks 
     
    8 (#106)
    3PT Made29 (#64) 
     
    Turnovers38 (#66)