Kawhi Leonard Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.


There are 18 forwards owned in 100% of leagues and Kawhi Leonard is projected to be the #6 among them. His market rank among all forwards is #18 but that rank is clearly impacted by the significant time he missed. Our projections show his value is rising. He is projected for 2771 fantasy points in 67 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Kawhi Leonard behind Tatum and above Wiggins but the projections rank Kawhi Leonard over Tatum. Scoring is his strength but he has areas he could improve on to become a more well-rounded fantasy forward.

Stream basketball games with SlingTV

Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
2771 (#6) 
1774 (#5) 
482 (#22)
253.9 (#11) 
107 (#11) 
45 (#35)
3 PT Made 
159 (#5) 
144 (#20)


If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Kawhi Leonard is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #18 while his projection (rest of week 4) rank is #29. When compared to other forwards in week 5, Blake Griffin (39.2 FP), Paul George (109.7 FP), Jimmy Butler (155.3 FP), Tobias Harris (87.7 FP), and Draymond Green (165.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Leonard but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 88% of leagues he is expected to produce 107 fantasy points (WK 5). It should be a very good week 5 as he is projected to be the #3 forward. His per game projected FP average is 41.6 which is better than his actual per game average (27.1). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing 4 games.

He is projected for 166 fantasy points in week 5 (#3 F) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
166 (#3) 
Points106 (#3) 
30.1 (#10) 
15.1 (#6) 
5.9 (#6) 
2.9 (#18)
3 PT Made 
9 (#4) 
8.5 (#9) 

  • Based on 11/8 start percentages, Kawhi Leonard is valued behind Green and above Middleton but the projections rank Kawhi Leonard over Green in week 5.
  • Nov 12Nov 14Nov 16Nov 17
    43.3 FP vs NO41.5 FP vs DET39.3 FP @BOS42.3 FP @CHI

    Kawhi Leonard last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    11/7 @SAC35 FP, 34 FD, 42 DK31 Min, 25 Pts, 11 Reb, 2 Ast, 59.6 TS%, 34% USG
    11/2 @PHO36 FP, 40 FD, 40 DK30 Min, 19 Pts, 6 Reb, 5 Ast, 57.1 TS%, 29% USG
    10/30 vs PHI50 FP, 56 FD, 55 DK34 Min, 31 Pts, 7 Reb, 4 Ast, 66.2 TS%, 28% USG
    10/26 vs DAL44 FP, 50 FD, 48 DK35 Min, 21 Pts, 9 Reb, 5 Ast, 56.3 TS%, 23% USG
    10/24 vs MIN45 FP, 52 FD, 52 DK35 Min, 35 Pts, 5 Reb, 2 Ast, 70.7 TS%, 35% USG

    Leonard is not in the 11/8 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline projection model FanDuel optimal lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings is T.J. Warren.


    • 25 pts, 11 reb, 2 ast
    • FanDuel: $10100, 34 FPs (-$1805 value, -7.4 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $9400, 41.8 FPs (-$241 value, -1.1 FPs)
    Watch Live NBA Games
    Stream Live NBA Games on any device on Sling TV
    Watch Now