Must DFS Play (Deandre Ayton) and Fade (Gordon Hayward) Advice

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Deandre Ayton

Ayton is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 40.1 DK pts (#1 among centers). He is the #5 highest priced center ($6700). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $8.4K. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Enes Kanter (30.8 FP), Rudy Gobert (39 FP), Jusuf Nurkic (34.5 FP), and Clint N`Dumba-Capela (37 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 31.8 FPs, a value reached in 14 of 24 games (58%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 57%.

Projected for 36.5 FanDuel pts Deandre Ayton is the #2 ranked center. At $6700 he is expected to be the #6 center. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $8.7K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Al Horford (31.9 FP), Enes Kanter (27.5 FP), Jusuf Nurkic (32.6 FP), and Clint N`Dumba-Capela (35.6 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 28.1 FPs, a value reached in 14 of 24 games (58%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

Courtney Lee and Elie Okobo are also good values on both FanDuel and DraftKings on 12/6.

Gordon Hayward

Gordon Hayward is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 24 FD pts (#4 among small forwards). At $6400 he is expected to be the #1 small forward. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $5.7K. T.J. Warren is also priced at $6400 and is a better option at this price. These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Trevor Ariza (26.9 FP) and Joe Ingles (24.9 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 26.9 FPs, a value reached in 7 of 23 games (30%). The combined 'cover percentage' for small forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

Hayward is overrated on DraftKings with a projected 25.5 DK pts (#3 among shooting guards). He is the #2 highest priced shooting guard ($6100). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Hayward is worth $5.4K. Joe Ingles (26.4 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 28.9 FPs, a value reached in 4 of 23 games (17%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shooting guards priced at $4.0K and above is 43%.

Damyean Dotson and Kevin Knox are also bad values on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

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This information was last updated at 12/6/2018 3:11:52 PM. SportsLine has a Daily Fantasy Cheat Sheet and Optimal Lineups based on the latest computer projections. It also features lineups from DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine for more.

TODAY'S GAMES (AVG O/U 216.3) AND PROJECTED FANTASY LEADERS

NEW YORK KNICKS VS BOSTON CELTICS O/U 217.5

  • Kyrie Irving (PG) 39.8 FD $9K, 41.5 DK $9K
  • Al Horford (C FD, PF DK) 31.9 FD $6.9K, 32.9 DK $6.2K
  • Jayson Tatum (PF FD, SF DK) 29 FD $7.1K, 30.4 DK $7.1K
  • Enes Kanter (C) 27.5 FD $7.1K, 30.8 DK $6.8K
  • Tim Hardaway (SG) 26.9 FD $7.4K, 28.8 DK $6.6K

HOUSTON ROCKETS VS UTAH JAZZ O/U 216

  • James Harden (SG FD, PG DK) 47.7 FD $11.4K, 52.1 DK $10.8K
  • Chris Paul (PG) 37.9 FD $8.1K, 39.8 DK $7.7K
  • Rudy Gobert (C) 37 FD $9.8K, 39 DK $8.3K
  • Clint N`Dumba-Capela (C) 35.6 FD $9.1K, 37 DK $8K
  • Donovan Mitchell (SG FD, PG DK) 34.2 FD $8.5K, 35.8 DK $7.6K

PHOENIX SUNS VS PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS O/U 215.5

  • Damian Lillard (PG) 45 FD $10.5K, 48 DK $10.1K
  • Deandre Ayton (C) 36.5 FD $6.7K, 40.1 DK $6.7K
  • Jusuf Nurkic (C) 32.6 FD $8.5K, 34.5 DK $7.3K
  • C.J. McCollum (SG FD, PG DK) 29.4 FD $7.2K, 30.9 DK $7.4K
  • T.J. Warren (SF) 29 FD $6.4K, 29.8 DK $6K
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