NBA Championship and Conference Futures: Celtics Sitting at #3

There is a small 7% relative difference between the Bucks and the Celtics. The Milwaukee Bucks lead with a 25.8 percent chance of winning the East and the Boston Celtics are at 24.1%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Celtics chances are down from 39.2 percent. A difference of 2.68 wins may not sound like much but that much of a difference between the #6 best record and the #7 best record in the conference is considerable. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the conference with just 5 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.

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Milwaukee Bucks56.287.7%100.0%4/1 (20%)25.8%
Boston Celtics52.312.3%99.9%7/5 (41.7%)24.1%
Toronto Raptors57.180.5%100.0%3/2 (40%)21.3%
Philadelphia 76ers51.87.2%99.9%5/1 (16.7%)13.8%
Indiana Pacers51.212.3%99.9%25/1 (3.8%)12.2%
Miami Heat43.371.4%97.2%100/1 (1%)2.4%
Washington Wizards40.727.2%88.8%400/1 (0.2%)0.2%
Detroit Pistons35.80.0%31.6%200/1 (0.5%)0.1%
Brooklyn Nets37.40.0%54.5%200/1 (0.5%)0.1%
Charlotte Hornets34.61.2%21.4%100/1 (1%)--
Orlando Magic32.50.3%6.6%200/1 (0.5%)--
New York Knicks27.10.0%0.0%4000/1--
Atlanta Hawks24.50.0%0.0%4000/1--
Chicago Bulls23.40.0%0.0%4000/1--
Cleveland Cavaliers18.00.0%0.0%4000/1--

There is a huge 335% relative difference between conference leaders. The Golden State Warriors lead with a 59.2 percent chance of winning the West and the Houston Rockets are at 13.6%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Rockets chances are down from 26.4 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a very small difference in projected wins between the teams with the #5 best record and the team with the #7 best record. This is a top heavy conference with just 5 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

Golden State Warriors54.598.4%100.0%1/3 (75%)59.2%
Houston Rockets49.776.0%97.5%6/1 (14.3%)13.6%
Utah Jazz47.319.5%92.0%20/1 (4.8%)6.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder47.925.6%93.0%7/1 (12.5%)6.1%
LA Lakers44.81.5%72.0%12/1 (7.7%)5.8%
San Antonio Spurs46.922.5%92.2%30/1 (3.2%)3.7%
Denver Nuggets49.350.7%97.5%25/1 (3.8%)3.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves41.50.8%27.9%250/1 (0.4%)0.7%
Portland Trail Blazers44.63.3%67.2%100/1 (1%)0.7%
New Orleans Pelicans41.21.4%25.0%100/1 (1%)0.6%
LA Clippers41.30.1%23.7%100/1 (1%)0.1%
Sacramento Kings39.00.0%7.1%500/1 (0.2%)--
Memphis Grizzlies37.60.1%3.7%250/1 (0.4%)--
Dallas Mavericks36.10.0%0.9%250/1 (0.4%)--
Phoenix Suns22.50.0%0.0%5000/1--

Below are the latest NBA Futures for winning the Championship. At the top, the Warriors have a very large 34 percentage point lead over the Bucks. At the bottom of the contenders list, 0.8 percentage points separate the Jazz from the Lakers.

Golden State Warriors1/266.7%44.4%DOWN
Milwaukee Bucks14/16.7%10.0%UP
Boston Celtics6/114.3%9.5%DOWN
Toronto Raptors7/112.5%9.5%DOWN
Houston Rockets12/17.7%6.9%DOWN
Philadelphia 76ers16/15.9%5.1%DOWN
Indiana Pacers80/11.2%4.1%DOWN
Utah Jazz40/12.4%2.9%DOWN
Oklahoma City Thunder14/16.7%2.5%--
LA Lakers25/13.8%2.1%DOWN
San Antonio Spurs60/11.6%1.4%DOWN