NBA Daily Fantasy Review: Most Bang for Your Buck and Biggest Flops

We review past FanDuel and DraftKings performance to see what players are most likely to greatly exceed expectations (boom) or fall way short (bust). The average player boomed (greatly exceeded expectation) thirty percent of the time, busted thirty percent of the time, and delivered what was expected forty percent of the time. On DraftKings, Luka Doncic is the best forward in terms of highest boom rate. He greatly exceeded his salary based expectation in 40.2 percent of his games (average salary $9.3K). His 10.3% bust rate is also below average. On FanDuel, Daniel Theis is the #1 center with a boom rate of 43.8 percent. Carsen Edwards is the guard with the highest (worst) bust rate. His average salary is $3.9K and he busts 70% of the time. The tables below show the players with the five highest boom and bust rates by position on each platform.

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Jordan McLaughlin ($3.8K Avg Sal, 45% Boom, 35% Bust)Frank Mason III ($3.3K Avg Sal, 64.3% Bust, 14.3% Boom)
Trae Young ($8.3K Avg Sal, 41.4% Boom, 16.4% Bust)Ty Jerome ($3.1K Avg Sal, 63.2% Bust, 36.8% Boom)
Lonzo Ball ($6.1K Avg Sal, 41.3% Boom, 20.7% Bust)MarShon Brooks ($3.2K Avg Sal, 61.9% Bust, 9.5% Boom)
Shabazz Napier ($4.2K Avg Sal, 40.9% Boom, 23.9% Bust)Shaun Livingston ($3.1K Avg Sal, 61.6% Bust, 9.6% Boom)
Devonte Graham ($6K Avg Sal, 39.2% Boom, 23% Bust)Isaac Bonga ($3.3K Avg Sal, 61.5% Bust, 21.2% Boom)
Derrick White ($4.6K Avg Sal, 39.1% Boom, 29.7% Bust)Dante Exum ($3.4K Avg Sal, 60.9% Bust, 15.9% Boom)
Darren Collison ($5.3K Avg Sal, 38.7% Boom, 20% Bust)Brandon Goodwin ($3.3K Avg Sal, 60% Bust, 24% Boom)
Derrick Rose ($5.9K Avg Sal, 38.5% Boom, 20.8% Bust)Raul Neto ($3.3K Avg Sal, 58% Bust, 20% Boom)
J.J. Barea ($4.3K Avg Sal, 38% Boom, 32% Bust)Matthew Dellavedova ($3.2K Avg Sal, 57.9% Bust, 16.8% Boom)
Collin Sexton ($5.4K Avg Sal, 37.8% Boom, 13.3% Bust)Elie Okobo ($3.3K Avg Sal, 56.8% Bust, 23% Boom)
Luka Doncic ($9.3K Avg Sal, 40.2% Boom, 10.3% Bust)Abdel Nader ($3.2K Avg Sal, 63.3% Bust, 13.9% Boom)
Jabari Parker ($5.6K Avg Sal, 40.2% Boom, 22.8% Bust)Wesley Iwundu ($3.2K Avg Sal, 57.5% Bust, 12.6% Boom)
De`Andre Hunter ($4.6K Avg Sal, 39.7% Boom, 36.2% Bust)Alfonzo McKinnie ($3.2K Avg Sal, 57% Bust, 11.2% Boom)
Kelly Oubre ($5.7K Avg Sal, 39.2% Boom, 19.2% Bust)Mike Scott ($3.4K Avg Sal, 55.9% Bust, 15.7% Boom)
Terrence Ross ($4.8K Avg Sal, 38.7% Boom, 24.1% Bust)Anthony Tolliver ($3.2K Avg Sal, 55.8% Bust, 19.8% Boom)
Jae Crowder ($4.8K Avg Sal, 38.2% Boom, 25.7% Bust)Justin Jackson ($3.3K Avg Sal, 54.8% Bust, 17.5% Boom)
Larry Nance ($5.5K Avg Sal, 37.7% Boom, 25.4% Bust)Torrey Craig ($3.5K Avg Sal, 50.9% Bust, 26.4% Boom)
Bojan Bogdanovic ($5.7K Avg Sal, 37.4% Boom, 19.4% Bust)Vince Carter ($3.3K Avg Sal, 49.1% Bust, 23.3% Boom)
Domantas Sabonis ($7.3K Avg Sal, 37.1% Boom, 16.7% Bust)Mario Hezonja ($3.6K Avg Sal, 48.9% Bust, 27.8% Boom)
Robert Covington ($5.7K Avg Sal, 36.8% Boom, 18.4% Bust)Solomon Hill ($3.3K Avg Sal, 48.6% Bust, 17.6% Boom)
Jonas Valanciunas ($6.3K Avg Sal, 41.1% Boom, 22.4% Bust)Damian Jones ($3.5K Avg Sal, 50% Bust, 20% Boom)
Cody Zeller ($4.7K Avg Sal, 40.2% Boom, 20.6% Bust)Bismack Biyombo ($3.7K Avg Sal, 49.4% Bust, 28.2% Boom)
Tristan Thompson ($5.9K Avg Sal, 38.9% Boom, 25.6% Bust)Robin Lopez ($3.6K Avg Sal, 47.9% Bust, 26.1% Boom)
Jarrett Allen ($5.5K Avg Sal, 36.9% Boom, 20.8% Bust)Aron Baynes ($3.9K Avg Sal, 46.9% Bust, 19.8% Boom)
Hassan Whiteside ($7.3K Avg Sal, 36.4% Boom, 17.8% Bust)Khem Birch ($3.5K Avg Sal, 45.3% Bust, 18.8% Boom)
Dewayne Dedmon ($4.6K Avg Sal, 36.4% Boom, 33.3% Bust)Mike Muscala ($3.5K Avg Sal, 43.5% Bust, 31.8% Boom)
Jusuf Nurkic ($7.2K Avg Sal, 36.2% Boom, 11.6% Bust)Zach Collins ($3.6K Avg Sal, 39.8% Bust, 25% Boom)
Mitchell Robinson ($4.9K Avg Sal, 35.2% Boom, 24.1% Bust)Kelly Olynyk ($4.3K Avg Sal, 38.3% Bust, 32% Boom)
Enes Kanter ($5.5K Avg Sal, 35.1% Boom, 26.3% Bust)Nerlens Noel ($3.7K Avg Sal, 36.8% Bust, 24.8% Boom)
Andre Drummond ($9.1K Avg Sal, 34.7% Boom, 14.5% Bust)Kevon Looney ($3.6K Avg Sal, 36.1% Bust, 25.9% Boom)
Derrick Rose ($5.9K Avg Sal, 48.9% Boom, 14.9% Bust)Carsen Edwards ($3.9K Avg Sal, 70% Bust, 30% Boom)
Ty Jerome ($3.7K Avg Sal, 45.5% Boom, 36.4% Bust)Jaylen Adams ($3.5K Avg Sal, 62.5% Bust, 6.2% Boom)
Shabazz Napier ($4.4K Avg Sal, 45.1% Boom, 17.1% Bust)Shaun Livingston ($3.6K Avg Sal, 54.4% Bust, 8.8% Boom)
Michael Carter-Williams ($3.8K Avg Sal, 44.4% Boom, 16.7% Bust)Isaac Bonga ($3.7K Avg Sal, 53.3% Bust, 20% Boom)
Elfrid Payton ($6.2K Avg Sal, 44.4% Boom, 22.2% Bust)Matthew Dellavedova ($3.7K Avg Sal, 50.7% Bust, 19.7% Boom)
Shaquille Harrison ($4.1K Avg Sal, 44.2% Boom, 26.9% Bust)Chasson Randle ($3.5K Avg Sal, 48.5% Bust, 21.2% Boom)
Frank Mason III ($3.7K Avg Sal, 43.8% Boom, 37.5% Bust)Ryan Arcidiacono ($3.8K Avg Sal, 47% Bust, 22.2% Boom)
Collin Sexton ($5.5K Avg Sal, 43.4% Boom, 11.8% Bust)Raul Neto ($3.7K Avg Sal, 45.7% Bust, 20% Boom)
Fred VanVleet ($5.8K Avg Sal, 42.1% Boom, 18.4% Bust)Quinn Cook ($4K Avg Sal, 45.3% Bust, 23.4% Boom)
Devonte Graham ($6.1K Avg Sal, 41.7% Boom, 18.1% Bust)Dante Exum ($3.6K Avg Sal, 44.2% Bust, 23.1% Boom)
Christian Wood ($5.2K Avg Sal, 52.6% Boom, 17.5% Bust)Patrick Patterson ($3.5K Avg Sal, 58.6% Bust, 10% Boom)
Duncan Robinson ($4.1K Avg Sal, 48.3% Boom, 22.4% Bust)Anthony Tolliver ($3.6K Avg Sal, 54.9% Bust, 21.1% Boom)
De`Andre Hunter ($4.6K Avg Sal, 44.8% Boom, 34.5% Bust)Wesley Iwundu ($3.6K Avg Sal, 53.7% Bust, 12.2% Boom)
Derrick Jones Jr. ($4K Avg Sal, 44.7% Boom, 23.7% Bust)Mike Scott ($3.7K Avg Sal, 50% Bust, 13.4% Boom)
Terrence Ross ($4.9K Avg Sal, 44.6% Boom, 21.6% Bust)Doug McDermott ($3.6K Avg Sal, 49.2% Bust, 18.8% Boom)
T.J. Warren ($6K Avg Sal, 43.9% Boom, 19.4% Bust)Abdel Nader ($3.5K Avg Sal, 49.2% Bust, 18.5% Boom)
Bojan Bogdanovic ($5.7K Avg Sal, 43.9% Boom, 19.4% Bust)Solomon Hill ($3.7K Avg Sal, 47.9% Bust, 12.7% Boom)
Kelly Oubre ($6K Avg Sal, 42.5% Boom, 18.3% Bust)Mario Hezonja ($4K Avg Sal, 46.1% Bust, 30.3% Boom)
Marquese Chriss ($4.4K Avg Sal, 42.5% Boom, 23.3% Bust)Rodney McGruder ($4.1K Avg Sal, 43.2% Bust, 21% Boom)
Robert Covington ($6.1K Avg Sal, 42% Boom, 14.8% Bust)Justin Jackson ($3.7K Avg Sal, 43.1% Bust, 21.6% Boom)
Daniel Theis ($4.3K Avg Sal, 43.8% Boom, 18% Bust)Khem Birch ($4K Avg Sal, 44.1% Bust, 18.6% Boom)
Ivica Zubac ($4.5K Avg Sal, 40.4% Boom, 18.1% Bust)Zach Collins ($4K Avg Sal, 42.7% Bust, 23.2% Boom)
Alex Len ($4.6K Avg Sal, 40.4% Boom, 28.8% Bust)Damian Jones ($3.9K Avg Sal, 38.3% Bust, 26.7% Boom)
Brook Lopez ($5.6K Avg Sal, 39.3% Boom, 23% Bust)Aron Baynes ($4.3K Avg Sal, 36.6% Bust, 24.4% Boom)
Jonas Valanciunas ($6.7K Avg Sal, 38.3% Boom, 24.3% Bust)Thon Maker ($3.7K Avg Sal, 36.5% Bust, 32.4% Boom)
Kelly Olynyk ($4.5K Avg Sal, 38.3% Boom, 28.7% Bust)Robin Lopez ($4K Avg Sal, 34.3% Bust, 30.3% Boom)
Hassan Whiteside ($8.1K Avg Sal, 37.8% Boom, 21.3% Bust)Bismack Biyombo ($4K Avg Sal, 33.8% Bust, 30.9% Boom)
Nikola Vucevic ($9.1K Avg Sal, 37.2% Boom, 12.4% Bust)Mike Muscala ($3.7K Avg Sal, 33.3% Bust, 31.9% Boom)
Mitchell Robinson ($5.6K Avg Sal, 37.1% Boom, 20% Bust)Dewayne Dedmon ($5K Avg Sal, 32.6% Bust, 35.8% Boom)
Tristan Thompson ($6.1K Avg Sal, 36.7% Boom, 25.6% Bust)Kevon Looney ($4K Avg Sal, 30.2% Bust, 25% Boom)