There is a huge 28.6% difference between conference leaders. The Milwaukee Bucks lead with a 46.6 percent chance of winning the East and the Toronto Raptors are at 17.9%. The gap seems to be widening. The Raptors chances are down from 26.7 percent. A difference of 9.92 wins may not sound like much but that much of a difference between the #6 best record and the #7 best record in the conference is considerable. There are 6 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning the conference.
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| EAST FUTURES | PROJ WINS | WIN DIV | PLAYOFF | WIN CONF ODDS | WIN CONF SIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 65.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2/5 (71.4%) | 46.6% |
| Toronto Raptors | 57.4 | 84.4% | 100.0% | 6/1 (14.3%) | 17.9% |
| Boston Celtics | 54.2 | 15.5% | 100.0% | 6/1 (14.3%) | 16.3% |
| Miami Heat | 51.3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 12/1 (7.7%) | 5.7% |
| Indiana Pacers | 49.0 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 35/1 (2.8%) | 5.0% |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 49.3 | 0.2% | 100.0% | 12/1 (7.7%) | 5.0% |
| Orlando Magic | 39.4 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 1000/1 (0.1%) | 2.1% |
| Brooklyn Nets | 38.3 | 0.0% | 99.9% | 500/1 (0.2%) | 1.3% |
| Washington Wizards | 29.2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 5000/1 | -- |
| Chicago Bulls | 28.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
| Charlotte Hornets | 28.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
| Atlanta Hawks | 26.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
| New York Knicks | 24.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
| Detroit Pistons | 24.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 24.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
There is a large 5.7% difference between the Clippers and the Lakers. The LA Clippers lead with a 44.5 percent chance of winning the West and the LA Lakers are at 38.8%. The gap seems to be widening. The Lakers chances are down from 45.8 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a small difference in projected wins between the teams with the #5 best record and the team with the #7 best record. This is a very top heavy conference with just 4 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.
| WEST FUTURES | PROJ WINS | WIN DIV | PLAYOFF | WIN CONF ODDS | WIN CONF SIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers | 58.2 | 2.1% | 100.0% | 7/4 (36.4%) | 44.5% |
| LA Lakers | 64.3 | 97.9% | 100.0% | 11/10 (47.6%) | 38.8% |
| Denver Nuggets | 53.9 | 77.2% | 100.0% | 12/1 (7.7%) | 7.5% |
| Utah Jazz | 52.1 | 21.0% | 100.0% | 20/1 (4.8%) | 5.4% |
| Houston Rockets | 49.1 | 70.1% | 100.0% | 10/1 (9.1%) | 2.5% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 47.2 | 29.9% | 100.0% | 20/1 (4.8%) | 0.6% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 48.5 | 1.7% | 100.0% | 50/1 (2%) | 0.3% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 39.5 | 0.0% | 47.0% | 250/1 (0.4%) | 0.2% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 37.8 | 0.0% | 23.7% | 25/1 (3.8%) | -- |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 37.6 | 0.0% | 12.8% | 50/1 (2%) | -- |
| Sacramento Kings | 37.0 | 0.0% | 11.0% | 1000/1 (0.1%) | -- |
| San Antonio Spurs | 36.0 | 0.0% | 4.7% | 1000/1 (0.1%) | -- |
| Phoenix Suns | 33.9 | 0.0% | 0.3% | -- | -- |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 25.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
| Golden State Warriors | 21.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
All playoff teams may think they have a shot at winning the championship, but only 7 really do with at least a two percent chance. At #2, the Lakers have a 27 percent chance of winning the championship, which is 5 percentage points behind the Clippers. At the bottom of the contenders list, 2 percentage points separate the Celtics from the Jazz.
| CHAMPIONSHIP CONTENDERS | ODDS | ODDS% | SIM% | TREND |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers | 3/1 | 25.0% | 32.0% | -- |
| LA Lakers | 9/5 | 35.7% | 26.7% | -- |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 3/1 | 25.0% | 21.4% | DOWN |
| Toronto Raptors | 20/1 | 4.8% | 5.4% | DOWN |
| Boston Celtics | 20/1 | 4.8% | 4.4% | DOWN |
| Denver Nuggets | 25/1 | 3.8% | 3.6% | DOWN |
| Utah Jazz | 40/1 | 2.4% | 2.4% | DOWN |