NBA Futures: Bucks Sitting at #3

The percentage difference at the top of the conference is very large at 14.8%. The Philadelphia 76ers at 18.6% trail the Milwaukee Bucks at 33.4%. The difference between these teams is widening as the 76ers chances are down from 31.4 percent. While 4.17 may not seem like a lot of wins, that amount of difference between the team with the #6 best record and the #7 best record is pretty large. There are 6 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning the conference.

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EAST FUTURESPROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN CONF ODDSWIN CONF SIM
Milwaukee Bucks56.382.4%100.0%3/2 (40%)33.4%
Philadelphia 76ers51.120.4%99.5%8/5 (38.5%)18.6%
Boston Celtics53.644.9%99.9%5/1 (16.7%)14.7%
Toronto Raptors52.733.8%99.9%15/1 (6.2%)11.6%
Indiana Pacers51.217.5%99.7%30/1 (3.2%)10.3%
Miami Heat47.981.9%97.7%15/1 (6.2%)5.6%
Brooklyn Nets43.70.9%86.0%30/1 (3.2%)2.7%
Orlando Magic42.417.9%78.7%100/1 (1%)2.6%
Detroit Pistons38.50.0%33.9%150/1 (0.7%)0.5%
Chicago Bulls30.20.0%1.0%100/1 (1%)--
Atlanta Hawks28.90.0%0.5%100/1 (1%)--
Washington Wizards31.20.1%2.1%1000/1 (0.1%)--
Charlotte Hornets29.10.0%0.5%1000/1 (0.1%)--
Cleveland Cavaliers29.00.0%0.4%1000/1 (0.1%)--
New York Knicks18.80.0%0.0%1000/1 (0.1%)--

There is a 3.7% difference between conference leaders. The LA Lakers lead with a 36.2 percent chance of winning the West and the LA Clippers are at 32.5%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Clippers chances are down from 44 percent. While 0.57 may not seem like a lot of wins, that amount of difference between the team with the #6 best record and the #7 best record is pretty large. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the conference with just 5 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.

WEST FUTURES PROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN CONF ODDSWIN CONF SIM
LA Lakers55.061.5%100.0%8/5 (38.5%)36.2%
LA Clippers53.338.4%99.9%8/5 (38.5%)32.5%
Utah Jazz53.976.5%100.0%9/1 (10%)13.0%
Denver Nuggets49.420.5%99.1%9/1 (10%)7.2%
Houston Rockets49.882.9%99.4%7/1 (12.5%)5.2%
Portland Trail Blazers44.73.0%91.5%50/1 (2%)3.8%
Dallas Mavericks44.116.9%87.8%50/1 (2%)1.7%
Phoenix Suns37.10.0%27.4%120/1 (0.8%)0.1%
San Antonio Spurs34.50.1%11.5%50/1 (2%)--
Sacramento Kings36.30.0%21.2%200/1 (0.5%)--
Oklahoma City Thunder37.00.0%26.3%300/1 (0.3%)--
New Orleans Pelicans32.30.0%4.4%300/1 (0.3%)--
Minnesota Timberwolves36.20.0%20.3%200/1 (0.5%)--
Memphis Grizzlies34.90.1%11.0%1200/1 (0.1%)--
Golden State Warriors27.00.0%0.0%500/1 (0.2%)--

Getting into the playoffs will be the peak of the season for 2 teams. There are only 10 winning it all in at least two percent of simulations. At the top, the Lakers have a 3 percentage point lead over the Clippers. At the bottom of the contenders list, 1 percentage points separate the Nuggets from the Rockets.

CHAMPIONSHIP CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
LA Lakers5/228.6%25.4%UP
LA Clippers5/228.6%22.4%DOWN
Milwaukee Bucks13/213.3%15.3%DOWN
Philadelphia 76ers7/112.5%7.7%DOWN
Utah Jazz16/15.9%7.3%DOWN
Boston Celtics25/13.8%5.9%DOWN
Toronto Raptors60/11.6%3.6%DOWN
Denver Nuggets16/15.9%3.1%DOWN
Indiana Pacers100/11.0%3.0%DOWN
Houston Rockets12/17.7%2.2%DOWN
Portland Trail Blazers80/11.2%1.3%DOWN
Miami Heat60/11.6%1.0%DOWN