NBA Futures: Celtics Chances are Falling

There is a huge 12% difference between the Bucks and the Raptors. The Milwaukee Bucks lead with a 40.5 percent chance of winning the East and the Toronto Raptors are at 28.5%. The gap seems to be widening. The Raptors chances are down from 36.6 percent. The playoff race should be a tight one with only -0.6 wins separate the 3 teams projected for the #5, #6 and #7 best conference record. This is a top heavy conference with just 5 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

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EAST FUTURESPROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN CONF ODDSWIN CONF SIM
Milwaukee Bucks60.799.2%100.0%9/4 (30.8%)40.5%
Toronto Raptors59.599.5%100.0%9/4 (30.8%)28.5%
Indiana Pacers52.60.8%99.9%100/1 (1%)13.4%
Philadelphia 76ers51.40.4%99.9%9/4 (30.8%)10.8%
Boston Celtics49.40.1%99.9%9/4 (30.8%)4.7%
Miami Heat38.328.3%50.6%200/1 (0.5%)0.7%
Detroit Pistons38.90.0%62.3%400/1 (0.2%)0.7%
Washington Wizards39.147.5%68.0%1000/1 (0.1%)0.5%
Orlando Magic35.95.9%15.9%400/1 (0.2%)0.2%
Brooklyn Nets38.80.0%64.7%200/1 (0.5%)--
Charlotte Hornets37.117.8%38.1%200/1 (0.5%)--
Atlanta Hawks28.20.0%0.0%4000/1--
Chicago Bulls22.40.0%0.0%----
Cleveland Cavaliers19.80.0%0.0%----
New York Knicks19.20.0%0.0%----

There is a very large 80.8% difference between conference leaders. The Houston Rockets at 5.8% trail the Golden State Warriors at 86.6%. The gap seems to be widening. The Rockets chances are down from 14.2 percent. There is a 2.53 difference in projected win total between the #6 best record and the #7 best record in the conference. This is a pretty significant difference even if it does not seem to be at first glance. This is a very top heavy conference with just 2 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

WEST FUTURES PROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN CONF ODDSWIN CONF SIM
Golden State Warriors61.5100.0%100.0%4/15 (78.9%)86.6%
Houston Rockets49.691.9%99.8%6/1 (14.3%)5.8%
Denver Nuggets51.962.6%99.9%15/1 (6.2%)2.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder50.727.4%99.9%8/1 (11.1%)1.6%
Portland Trail Blazers48.55.7%99.2%100/1 (1%)1.4%
Utah Jazz47.54.2%98.5%20/1 (4.8%)1.0%
San Antonio Spurs45.07.9%92.2%30/1 (3.2%)0.6%
LA Clippers42.30.0%54.0%500/1 (0.2%)--
LA Lakers41.10.0%34.3%20/1 (4.8%)--
Dallas Mavericks39.10.2%9.1%500/1 (0.2%)--
New Orleans Pelicans36.80.0%1.7%250/1 (0.4%)--
Minnesota Timberwolves35.60.0%0.4%250/1 (0.4%)--
Sacramento Kings39.60.0%10.7%500/1 (0.2%)--
Memphis Grizzlies32.80.0%0.0%5000/1--
Phoenix Suns17.10.0%0.0%----

Below are the latest NBA Futures for winning the Championship. At #2, the Bucks have an 8 percent chance of winning the championship, which is 71 percentage points behind the Warriors.

CHAMPIONSHIP CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Golden State Warriors2/571.4%78.6%UP
Milwaukee Bucks10/19.1%7.7%DOWN
Toronto Raptors10/19.1%4.6%DOWN
Houston Rockets12/17.7%3.3%DOWN
Indiana Pacers300/10.3%1.7%DOWN
Philadelphia 76ers10/19.1%1.2%DOWN
Denver Nuggets30/13.2%1.0%--