NBA Futures: Lakers at the Top of the West

The percentage difference at the top of the conference is very large at 37.6%. The Boston Celtics at 15% trail the Milwaukee Bucks at 52.6%. The gap seems to be widening. The Celtics chances are down from 24.9 percent. There is a 9.58 difference in projected win total between the #6 best record and the #7 best record in the conference. This is a pretty significant difference even if it does not seem to be at first glance. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the conference with just 5 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.

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EAST FUTURESPROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN CONF ODDSWIN CONF SIM
Milwaukee Bucks65.4100.0%100.0%4/7 (63.6%)52.6%
Boston Celtics52.436.2%100.0%5/1 (16.7%)15.0%
Philadelphia 76ers51.629.3%100.0%5/1 (16.7%)10.3%
Toronto Raptors52.234.4%100.0%12/1 (7.7%)10.0%
Indiana Pacers49.10.0%99.9%30/1 (3.2%)5.2%
Miami Heat51.198.3%100.0%12/1 (7.7%)3.0%
Orlando Magic41.51.7%98.1%300/1 (0.3%)2.9%
Brooklyn Nets38.10.0%87.2%60/1 (1.6%)1.0%
Chicago Bulls31.30.0%5.2%500/1 (0.2%)--
Detroit Pistons32.00.0%8.2%500/1 (0.2%)--
Charlotte Hornets28.90.0%1.1%5000/1--
Washington Wizards26.40.0%0.2%5000/1--
Cleveland Cavaliers24.50.0%0.0%5000/1--
New York Knicks23.60.0%0.0%5000/1--
Atlanta Hawks23.10.0%0.0%5000/1--

There is a large 6% difference between the Lakers and the Clippers. The LA Clippers at 22.9% trail the LA Lakers at 28.9%. The difference between these teams seems to be shrinking. The Lakers chances are down from 44.2 percent. While 9.75 may not seem like a lot of wins, that amount of difference between the team with the #6 best record and the #7 best record is pretty large. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the conference with just 5 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.

WEST FUTURES PROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN CONF ODDSWIN CONF SIM
LA Lakers60.888.0%100.0%6/5 (45.5%)28.9%
LA Clippers55.512.0%100.0%7/4 (36.4%)22.9%
Denver Nuggets54.650.3%100.0%12/1 (7.7%)22.3%
Utah Jazz54.849.7%100.0%15/1 (6.2%)15.3%
Houston Rockets48.532.2%99.3%7/1 (12.5%)4.6%
Dallas Mavericks50.167.4%99.8%15/1 (6.2%)3.9%
Memphis Grizzlies40.40.4%52.0%500/1 (0.2%)1.2%
Portland Trail Blazers39.40.0%35.0%100/1 (1%)0.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder43.90.1%89.8%150/1 (0.7%)0.4%
San Antonio Spurs38.10.0%19.9%500/1 (0.2%)0.1%
New Orleans Pelicans33.70.0%1.6%100/1 (1%)--
Sacramento Kings31.10.0%0.2%500/1 (0.2%)--
Phoenix Suns34.60.0%2.4%1000/1 (0.1%)--
Minnesota Timberwolves30.90.0%0.1%1000/1 (0.1%)--
Golden State Warriors22.20.0%0.0%1000/1 (0.1%)--

Below are the latest NBA Futures for winning the Championship. At the top, the Bucks have a significant 17 percentage point lead over the Lakers. The separation between the team with the #6 highest chances vs the #8 highest is 2.8 percentage points.

CHAMPIONSHIP CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Milwaukee Bucks3/125.0%33.3%--
LA Lakers2/133.3%16.5%DOWN
LA Clippers3/125.0%11.7%--
Denver Nuggets25/13.8%10.8%UP
Utah Jazz30/13.2%7.8%UP
Boston Celtics20/14.8%6.2%DOWN
Toronto Raptors40/12.4%3.6%UP
Philadelphia 76ers20/14.8%3.4%DOWN
Houston Rockets14/16.7%1.9%DOWN
Indiana Pacers100/11.0%1.5%DOWN
Dallas Mavericks30/13.2%1.3%DOWN