NBA Futures: Lakers Chances are Off Peak

There is a 31% relative difference between conference leaders. The Toronto Raptors lead with a 34.1 percent chance of winning the East and the Boston Celtics are at 26.1%. The gap seems to be widening. The Celtics chances are down from 39 percent. There is a 0.84 difference in projected win total between the #6 best record and the #7 best record in the conference. This is a pretty significant difference even if it does not seem to be at first glance. This is a top heavy conference with just 5 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

Visit Sportsline to get the latest game forecasts, picks against the spread, totals and moneylines by the computer and top Vegas handicappers. We also have the best player projections for Season Long and Daily Fantasy players.

Stream basketball games with SlingTV

EAST FUTURESPROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN CONF ODDSWIN CONF SIM
Toronto Raptors60.889.0%100.0%6/5 (45.5%)34.1%
Boston Celtics54.210.5%99.9%6/5 (45.5%)26.1%
Milwaukee Bucks53.377.8%99.9%6/1 (14.3%)15.3%
Philadelphia 76ers48.90.5%99.1%7/1 (12.5%)9.4%
Indiana Pacers49.022.1%99.1%40/1 (2.4%)8.0%
Charlotte Hornets45.859.1%95.6%120/1 (0.8%)3.7%
Miami Heat45.040.7%92.8%100/1 (1%)2.6%
New York Knicks38.60.0%43.8%2000/10.3%
Brooklyn Nets38.30.0%39.7%200/1 (0.5%)0.3%
Detroit Pistons36.80.0%25.9%120/1 (0.8%)0.1%
Washington Wizards32.00.2%3.8%80/1 (1.2%)--
Orlando Magic27.10.0%0.2%300/1 (0.3%)--
Atlanta Hawks27.80.0%0.2%2000/1--
Chicago Bulls22.00.0%0.0%2000/1--
Cleveland Cavaliers19.90.0%0.0%2000/1--

The relative percentage difference at the top of the conference is very large at 1255%. The LA Lakers at 5.9% trail the Golden State Warriors at 79.7%. The gap seems to be widening. The Lakers chances are down from 46.5 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a very small difference in projected wins between the teams with the #6 best record and the team with the #7 best record. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the conference with just 3 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.

WEST FUTURES PROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN CONF ODDSWIN CONF SIM
Golden State Warriors68.599.9%100.0%1/4 (80%)79.7%
LA Lakers47.00.0%91.5%20/1 (4.8%)5.9%
Portland Trail Blazers49.738.5%98.2%50/1 (2%)4.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder48.931.0%96.5%20/1 (4.8%)2.9%
Denver Nuggets48.526.1%95.6%25/1 (3.8%)2.6%
Houston Rockets43.126.6%65.4%6/1 (14.3%)1.5%
Utah Jazz43.74.2%72.2%15/1 (6.2%)1.2%
San Antonio Spurs44.340.4%77.5%50/1 (2%)1.1%
New Orleans Pelicans43.631.0%71.0%25/1 (3.8%)0.9%
LA Clippers36.20.0%9.1%100/1 (1%)--
Minnesota Timberwolves36.60.1%10.0%100/1 (1%)--
Memphis Grizzlies36.71.9%11.7%100/1 (1%)--
Dallas Mavericks32.20.1%1.1%250/1 (0.4%)--
Sacramento Kings27.90.0%0.0%250/1 (0.4%)--
Phoenix Suns23.60.0%0.0%5000/1--

There may be 12 playoff teams but there are only 5 true championship contenders (at least a 2% chance). At the top, the Warriors have a very large 59 percentage point lead over the Raptors. The separation between the team with the #3 highest chances vs the #5 highest is 3.2 percentage points.

CHAMPIONSHIP CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Golden State Warriors2/571.4%69.3%UP
Toronto Raptors6/114.3%10.7%DOWN
Boston Celtics6/114.3%5.8%DOWN
Milwaukee Bucks25/13.8%3.2%--
LA Lakers40/12.4%2.6%DOWN
Portland Trail Blazers100/11.0%1.6%--
Philadelphia 76ers30/13.2%1.4%DOWN
Indiana Pacers100/11.0%1.4%DOWN
Oklahoma City Thunder40/12.4%1.2%--
Watch Live NBA Games
Stream Live NBA Games on any device on Sling TV
Watch Now