NBA Futures: Smart to Bet on Warriors or Bucks to Win it All

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There is a very large 36.1% difference between the Bucks and the Raptors. The Toronto Raptors at 16.4% trail the Milwaukee Bucks at 52.5%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Raptors chances are down from 36.6 percent. A difference of 1.04 wins may not sound like much but that much of a difference between the #6 best record and the #7 best record in the conference is considerable. This is a top heavy conference with just 5 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

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EAST FUTURESPROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN CONF ODDSWIN CONF SIM
Milwaukee Bucks61.9100.0%100.0%2/1 (33.3%)52.5%
Toronto Raptors59.599.4%100.0%2/1 (33.3%)16.4%
Philadelphia 76ers51.30.3%100.0%9/4 (30.8%)13.0%
Indiana Pacers51.80.0%100.0%40/1 (2.4%)10.0%
Boston Celtics50.20.3%100.0%3/1 (25%)6.0%
Detroit Pistons38.70.0%63.9%800/1 (0.1%)0.7%
Miami Heat37.622.6%42.1%400/1 (0.2%)0.5%
Charlotte Hornets37.934.9%55.9%400/1 (0.2%)0.3%
Orlando Magic37.622.9%43.6%400/1 (0.2%)0.3%
Brooklyn Nets38.20.0%59.4%400/1 (0.2%)--
Washington Wizards37.019.4%34.7%1000/1 (0.1%)--
Atlanta Hawks29.20.0%0.0%4000/1--
Chicago Bulls22.90.0%0.0%----
Cleveland Cavaliers20.60.0%0.0%----
New York Knicks17.70.0%0.0%----

There is a huge 85% difference between conference leaders. The Golden State Warriors lead with a 88.3 percent chance of winning the West and the Houston Rockets are at 3.3%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Rockets chances are down from 8.8 percent. A difference of 1.76 wins may not sound like much but that much of a difference between the #6 best record and the #7 best record in the conference is considerable. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the conference with just 1 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.

WEST FUTURES PROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN CONF ODDSWIN CONF SIM
Golden State Warriors60.6100.0%100.0%4/15 (78.9%)88.3%
Houston Rockets48.584.1%99.8%7/1 (12.5%)3.3%
Denver Nuggets52.064.7%100.0%15/1 (6.2%)2.4%
Portland Trail Blazers49.39.7%99.9%100/1 (1%)2.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder50.222.3%99.9%7/1 (12.5%)2.0%
Utah Jazz47.23.2%98.5%20/1 (4.8%)1.1%
San Antonio Spurs45.415.8%96.0%40/1 (2.4%)0.7%
LA Clippers42.30.0%56.9%500/1 (0.2%)--
LA Lakers40.10.0%22.4%15/1 (6.2%)--
Sacramento Kings39.90.0%13.9%500/1 (0.2%)--
Dallas Mavericks37.50.0%3.2%500/1 (0.2%)--
New Orleans Pelicans37.30.0%3.0%500/1 (0.2%)--
Minnesota Timberwolves38.40.0%6.4%1000/1 (0.1%)--
Memphis Grizzlies32.10.0%0.0%5000/1--
Phoenix Suns17.00.0%0.0%----

Below are the latest NBA Futures for winning the Championship. At #2, the Bucks have a 13 percent chance of winning the championship, which is 64 percentage points behind the Warriors.

CHAMPIONSHIP CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Golden State Warriors2/571.4%76.9%--
Milwaukee Bucks8/111.1%12.9%UP
Toronto Raptors8/111.1%2.4%DOWN
Philadelphia 76ers10/19.1%2.0%DOWN
Houston Rockets14/16.7%1.5%DOWN
Indiana Pacers200/10.5%1.1%DOWN