NBA Game Forecasts, Picks and Previews with Projected Scoreboard

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Phoenix Suns vs Cleveland Cavaliers

The Vegas lines have not posted yet which means there are some major unknown factors that could impact our forecast. But in the current simulations the Cavaliers are favored. The projected score is Cavaliers 109 and Suns 107, and Cleveland is winning 55% of the sims. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. In recent seasons this has been a lopsided matchup with the Cavaliers going 4-0. In these games the Cavaliers averaged 122 points per game and the Suns 105. The projection based point spread is CLE -2. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Cavaliers are 26-52-1. As an underdog, the Suns are 25-31-0. Their ATS record is similar to their straight up record against each other. The Cavaliers are 3-1-0 against the spread vs the Suns. The Cavaliers were favored by an average of -10.8 points in these games and they won by an average of 16.5 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Phoenix Suns----106.9--45%105.2 (0 Wins)
Cleveland Cavaliers----109.0--55%121.8 (4 Wins)

VEGAS is the expected score based on the point spread and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the money lines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups

Visit Sportsline to get the latest lines, updated projections, best values, and picks from some of the top Vegas handicappers. We also have the best player projections for Season Long and Daily Fantasy players.

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Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

When Vegas lines are not posted it means there are factors that need to be clarified before we can be 100% confident in any forecast. Currently, the 76ers are winning a majority of simulations. The projected score is 76ers 116 and Heat 110, and Philadelphia is winning 64% of the sims. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. In recent seasons this has been a lopsided matchup with the 76ers going 9-5. In these games the 76ers averaged 109 points per game and the Heat 107. The projection based point spread is PHI -5.5. The point spread is not posted, so consider this projected line to be tentative. The 76ers have a record of 21-21-0 as a favorite. The Heat have a record of 18-10-0 as an underdog. Their ATS history mirrors their straight up record against each other. The 76ers are 7-5-2 against the spread vs the Heat. The 76ers were favored by an average of -0.6 points in these games and they won by an average of 1.9 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Miami Heat----110.4--36%106.6 (5 Wins)
Philadelphia 76ers----115.9--64%108.6 (9 Wins)

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Portland Trail Blazers vs Brooklyn Nets

The Vegas lines have not posted yet which means there are some major unknown factors that could impact our forecast. But in the current simulations the Trail Blazers are favored. The projected score is Trail Blazers 116 and Nets 111, and Portland is winning 62% of simulations. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. The Trail Blazers have the recent head-to-head edge going 3-1. In these games, the Trail Blazers averaged 121 and the Nets 113 ppg. The computer would set the spread at POR -5.5. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Nets are 10-7-0. As an underdog, the Trail Blazers are 11-13-0. They both covered the spread 2 times in their last few matchups. The average point spread in these games was Trail Blazers -7 and they won by an average of 8 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Portland Trail Blazers----116.3--62%120.8 (3 Wins)
Brooklyn Nets----110.8--38%112.8 (1 Win)

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Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

The current simulations favor the Bucks, but Vegas lines are not posted which means there are things that could radically change the forecast. The projected score is Bucks 114 and Celtics 107, and Milwaukee is winning 71% of simulations. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. Head-to-head, the Celtics are 7-6. Both teams have averaged 104 points in these games. The computer would set the spread at MIL -8. The point spread is not posted, so consider this projected line to be tentative. The Bucks have a record of 29-20-2 as a favorite. The Celtics have a record of 27-17-0 as an underdog. Their ATS record is similar to their straight up record against each other. The Celtics have the ATS edge head to head going 9-4-0 vs the Bucks. The Bucks were favored by an average of -0.2 points in these games and the average margin of victory was zero points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Boston Celtics----106.7--29%103.8 (7 Wins)
Milwaukee Bucks----114.5--71%103.8 (6 Wins)

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Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

When Vegas lines are not posted it means there are factors that need to be clarified before we can be 100% confident in any forecast. Currently, the Warriors are winning a majority of simulations. The projected score is Warriors 119 and Kings 105, and Golden State is winning 81% of the sims. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. In recent seasons this has been a lopsided matchup with the Warriors going 5-2. In these games the Warriors averaged 115 points per game and the Kings 110. The computer would set the spread at GS -14.5. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Warriors are 22-29-1. As an underdog, the Kings are 21-20-1. While they may be 2-5 straight up vs the Warriors, the Kings have been better against the spread. The Kings are 5-2-0 against the spread vs the Warriors. The Warriors were favored by an average of -9.4 points in these games and they won by an average of 4.6 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Sacramento Kings----104.7--19%110.3 (2 Wins)
Golden State Warriors----119.3--81%114.9 (5 Wins)

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Houston Rockets vs LA Lakers

The Vegas lines have not posted yet which means there are some major unknown factors that could impact our forecast. But in the current simulations the Rockets are favored. The projected score is Rockets 119 and Lakers 116, with Houston winning 56% of the latest sims. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. In recent seasons this has been a lopsided matchup with the Rockets going 6-1. In these games, the Rockets averaged 125 and the Lakers 117 ppg. The computer would set the spread at HOU -3. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Lakers are 15-19-1. As an underdog, the Rockets are 7-6-0. While they may be 1-6 straight up in previous matchups, the Lakers have been better against the spread. The Lakers are 4-3-0 against the spread vs the Rockets. The average point spread in these games was Rockets -9.6 and they won by an average of 8.1 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Houston Rockets----118.6--56%125.0 (6 Wins)
LA Lakers----115.6--44%116.9 (1 Win)

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Friday, February 22, 2019

Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets

The Vegas lines have not posted yet which means there are some major unknown factors that could impact our forecast. But in the current simulations the Hornets are favored. The projected score is Hornets 119 and Wizards 113, and Charlotte is winning 65% of the sims. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. Head-to-head, the Wizards are 5-4. In these games the Hornets averaged 113 points per game and the Wizards 112. The computer would set the spread at CHA -6. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Hornets are 15-15-1. As an underdog, the Wizards are 13-18-0. Their straight up head-to-head record is the same as their ATS records. The Wizards have the ATS edge head to head going 5-4-0 vs the Hornets. The Hornets were favored by an average of -0.8 points in these games and they won by an average of 1.4 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Washington Wizards----113.4--35%111.6 (5 Wins)
Charlotte Hornets----119.2--65%113.0 (4 Wins)

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New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers

The current simulations favor the Pacers, but Vegas lines are not posted which means there are things that could radically change the forecast. The projected score is Pacers 113 and Pelicans 104, with Indiana winning 72% of the time. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. In their last 5 matchups the Pelicans are 3-2. In these games, the Pelicans averaged 103 and the Pacers 101 ppg. The projection based point spread is IND -9. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Pacers are 19-17-1. As an underdog, the Pelicans are 14-13-1. Their ATS record is similar to their straight up record against each other. The Pelicans are 5-0-0 against the spread vs the Pacers. The Pacers were favored by an average of -0.7 points in these games but the Pelicans won by an average of 2.2 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
New Orleans Pelicans----103.5--28%103.4 (3 Wins)
Indiana Pacers----112.6--72%101.2 (2 Wins)

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Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic

The Vegas lines have not posted yet which means there are some major unknown factors that could impact our forecast. But in the current simulations the Magic are favored. The projected score is Magic 106 and Bulls 102, and Orlando is winning 61% of the sims. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. The Bulls have been dominating this matchup recently with a 5-2 record. In these games, the Bulls averaged 97 and the Magic 93 ppg. The projection based point spread is ORL -4. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Magic are 9-8-1. As an underdog, the Bulls are 23-29-1. Their ATS history mirrors their straight up record against each other. The Bulls have the ATS edge head to head going 4-3-0 vs the Magic. The Magic were favored by an average of -2 points in these games but the Bulls won by an average of 4 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Chicago Bulls----102.2--39%96.7 (5 Wins)
Orlando Magic----106.3--61%92.7 (2 Wins)

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San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors

When Vegas lines are not posted it means there are factors that need to be clarified before we can be 100% confident in any forecast. Currently, the Raptors are winning a majority of simulations. The projected score is Raptors 120 and Spurs 106, and Toronto is winning 82% of the sims. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. The Spurs have been dominating this matchup recently with a 4-1 record. In these games, the Spurs averaged 105 and the Raptors 96 ppg. The projection based point spread is TOR -14. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Raptors are 18-28-1. As an underdog, the Spurs are 15-12-0. Their ATS record is similar to their straight up record against each other. The Spurs have the ATS edge head to head going 5-0-0 vs the Raptors. The average point spread in these games was Spurs -0.7 and they won by an average of 9.8 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
San Antonio Spurs----105.6--18%105.4 (4 Wins)
Toronto Raptors----119.8--82%95.6 (1 Win)

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Detroit Pistons vs Atlanta Hawks

The current simulations favor the Pistons, but Vegas lines are not posted which means there are things that could radically change the forecast. The projected score is Pistons 121 and Hawks 118, with Detroit being given a 57% chance of winning. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. The Pistons have the recent head-to-head edge going 4-2. In these games, the Pistons averaged 109 and the Hawks 103 ppg. The projection based point spread is DET -3. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Hawks are 6-10-0. As an underdog, the Pistons are 16-17-2. The Hawks have been better against the spread than straight up in previous matchups. The Hawks are 4-2-0 against the spread vs the Pistons. The average point spread in these games was Pistons -6.8 and they won by an average of 6 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Detroit Pistons----120.9--57%109.0 (4 Wins)
Atlanta Hawks----118.0--43%103.0 (2 Wins)

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks

When Vegas lines are not posted it means there are factors that need to be clarified before we can be 100% confident in any forecast. Currently, the Timberwolves are winning a majority of simulations. The projected score is Timberwolves 113 and Knicks 108, with Minnesota winning 63% of the latest sims. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. They both have 2 wins head-to-head in recent seasons. In these games, the Timberwolves averaged 111 and the Knicks 109 ppg. The computer would set the spread at MIN -5.5. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Knicks are 13-16-0. As an underdog, the Timberwolves are 15-13-0. The Knicks have the ATS edge head to head going 3-1-0 vs the Timberwolves. The average point spread in these games was Timberwolves -5 and they won by an average of 2 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Minnesota Timberwolves----113.4--63%111.0 (2 Wins)
New York Knicks----107.9--37%109.0 (2 Wins)

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LA Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies

The current simulations favor the Grizzlies, but Vegas lines are not posted which means there are things that could radically change the forecast. The projected score is Grizzlies 105 and Clippers 102, with Memphis winning 57% of the time. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. They both have 3 wins head-to-head in recent seasons. Both teams have averaged 106 points in these games. The computer would set the spread at MEM -3.5. The point spread is not posted, so consider this projected line to be tentative. The Grizzlies have a record of 11-11-0 as a favorite. The Clippers have a record of 11-17-1 as an underdog. They have the same ATS records as they do straight up head-to-head. Both have covered 3 times head-to-head. The average point spread in these games was Clippers -2.6 and the average margin of victory was zero points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
LA Clippers----101.8--43%106.0 (3 Wins)
Memphis Grizzlies----105.4--57%106.0 (3 Wins)

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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

When Vegas lines are not posted it means there are factors that need to be clarified before we can be 100% confident in any forecast. Currently, the Mavericks are winning a majority of simulations. The projected score is Mavericks 109 and Nuggets 105, with Dallas winning 59% of the time. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. In recent seasons this has been a lopsided matchup with the Nuggets going 6-3. In these games, the Nuggets averaged 107 and the Mavericks 105 ppg. The projection based point spread is DAL -3.5. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Mavericks are 12-10-1. As an underdog, the Nuggets are 7-8-0. The Mavericks have been better against the spread than straight up in previous matchups. The Mavericks are 5-4-0 against the spread vs the Nuggets. The average point spread in these games was Nuggets -3.7 and they won by an average of 1.8 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Denver Nuggets----105.3--41%106.9 (6 Wins)
Dallas Mavericks----108.9--59%105.1 (3 Wins)

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Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder

The Vegas lines have not posted yet which means there are some major unknown factors that could impact our forecast. But in the current simulations the Thunder are favored. The projected score is Thunder 120 and Jazz 114, and Oklahoma City is winning 64% of the sims. With no odds (and no line movement), we cannot determine where Vegas oddsmakers and the betting public action is going. In recent seasons this has been a lopsided matchup with the Thunder going 10-6. Both teams have averaged 102 points in these games. The projection based point spread is OKC -5.5. This is a tentative line with the betting line not even posted yet. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Thunder are 24-19-1. As an underdog, the Jazz are 8-7-0. Their straight up head-to-head record is the same as their ATS records. The Thunder are 10-6-0 against the spread vs the Jazz. The Thunder were favored by an average of -0.3 points in these games and they won by an average of 1 points.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Utah Jazz----114.3--36%101.5 (6 Wins)
Oklahoma City Thunder----119.8--64%102.5 (10 Wins)

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