SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their championship odds are 100/1, 1% (#13 best). Their simulation based win percentage (0.9%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. They are a good bet to win the East at 35/1, 2.8%. Their sim chance is 5%. They are projected to win 49 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 46.5. They are basically a lock to make the playoffs even without winning their division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the East.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 36.8-28.2. At 39-26 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down 134 units. They are one of the best teams against the spread (33-27-5) for a 330 profit. Their over-under record is 34-29 with 2 pushes. Their next game vs the 76ers should be close. The Pacers are winning 48 percent of computer simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 56.5% (#16 in League). They average 108 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 108.1. On the road they average 107.3 (106.5 expected), and at home 108.7 ppg (109.8 expected).
DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55 true FG% (#8 in League). They allow 104.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 106.4. They are allowing 108.3 (107.7 expected) on the road, and at home 101 ppg (105.2 expected).
REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1.9 per game (#22 in league).
TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.2 per game (#6 in league). Worst in their past 7 games with a turnover margin of -0.6.
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Domantas Sabonis who is projected to be the #6 Forward the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Domantas Sabonis||100||6||Kawhi Leonard||Paul George|
|Victor Oladipo||98||32||Will Barton||Eric Bledsoe|
|Malcolm Brogdon||93||35||Collin Sexton||Fred VanVleet|
|T.J. Warren||98||29||Bojan Bogdanovic||Lauri Markkanen|
|Myles Turner||95||12||Al Horford||Steven Adams|
|Justin Holiday||17||92||Shake Milton||Patty Mills|
|Aaron Holiday||14||94||Patty Mills||Landry Shamet|
|Doug McDermott||3||89||Kyle Anderson||Cody Martin|
|T.J. McConnell||4||112||Isaac Bonga||Delon Wright|
|JaKarr Sampson||0||147||Treveon Graham||Terrance Ferguson|