NBA Outlook: Bet on the Indiana Pacers to Win the East at 35/1, 2.8%...Projected to Finish Ahead of Magic

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their championship odds are 100/1, 1% (#13 best). Their simulation based win percentage (0.9%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. They are a good bet to win the East at 35/1, 2.8%. Their sim chance is 5%. They are projected to win 49 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 46.5. They are basically a lock to make the playoffs even without winning their division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the East.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 36.8-28.2. At 39-26 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down 134 units. They are one of the best teams against the spread (33-27-5) for a 330 profit. Their over-under record is 34-29 with 2 pushes. Their next game vs the 76ers should be close. The Pacers are winning 48 percent of computer simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/14 PHI48%3-44-31-5-1
3/18 GS73%1-21-22-1
3/20 MIA72%3-24-13-2
3/21 CLE80%5-22-3-23-4
3/23 PHO60%3-03-01-2

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 56.5% (#16 in League). They average 108 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 108.1. On the road they average 107.3 (106.5 expected), and at home 108.7 ppg (109.8 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 55 true FG% (#8 in League). They allow 104.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 106.4. They are allowing 108.3 (107.7 expected) on the road, and at home 101 ppg (105.2 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1.9 per game (#22 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.2 per game (#6 in league). Worst in their past 7 games with a turnover margin of -0.6.

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Domantas Sabonis who is projected to be the #6 Forward the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Domantas Sabonis1006Kawhi LeonardPaul George
Victor Oladipo9832Will BartonEric Bledsoe
Malcolm Brogdon9335Collin SextonFred VanVleet
T.J. Warren9829Bojan BogdanovicLauri Markkanen
Myles Turner9512Al HorfordSteven Adams
Justin Holiday1792Shake MiltonPatty Mills
Aaron Holiday1494Patty MillsLandry Shamet
Doug McDermott389Kyle AndersonCody Martin
T.J. McConnell4112Isaac BongaDelon Wright
JaKarr Sampson0147Treveon GrahamTerrance Ferguson