NBA Outlook: Bet on the LA Clippers to Win the Championship at 3/1, 25%...Projected to Finish Ahead of Nuggets

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 3/1, 25% (#2). They win the championship in 32% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. They are also a good bet to win the West at 7/4, 36.4%. Their sim chance is 44.5%. They are projected to win 58 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 52.5. They are making the playoffs. Their chances of winning the division stand at 2.1%. They were a -2500 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 48.9% at 4/5, 55.6%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 64 games, their expected win percentage is 68% based on the money line odds. At 44-20 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (154 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (35-29) for a 310 profit. Their under-over record is 34-29-1. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Brooklyn Nets. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/13 BKN78%2-01-12-0
3/14 NO72%3-32-44-2
3/16 DAL68%4-24-22-4
3/18 DEN50%2-42-42-4
3/20 PHO71%6-15-23-4

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 57.4% (#9 in League). The team has improved to 61.1% in their last 7 games. They average 115.1 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.8. On the road they average 112.4 (112.3 expected), and at home 117.9 ppg (115.2 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.2 true FG% (#4 in League). They allow 114.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 113.2. They are allowing 114 (114.5 expected) on the road, and at home 114.6 ppg (111.9 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +2.5 per game (#5 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.4 per game (#18 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Kawhi Leonard who is projected to be the #5 Forward the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Kawhi Leonard1005Luka DoncicDomantas Sabonis
Paul George1007Domantas SabonisJayson Tatum
Montrezl Harrell996Deandre AytonAndre Drummond
Louis Williams9827Jaylen BrownCoby White
Marcus Morris7543Norman PowellKyle Kuzma
Patrick Beverley4455Jordan ClarksonDamion Lee
Reggie Jackson4370J.J. RedickAvery Bradley
Ivica Zubac2723Brook LopezMason Plumlee
JaMychal Green780Markieff MorrisMichael Porter Jr.
Landry Shamet1295Aaron HolidayBrandon Knight