NBA Outlook: Bet on the Oklahoma City Thunder to Win More Than 31 Games...Projected to Finish Ahead of Grizzlies

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Thunder are not contenders to win the championship at 1000/1, 0.1%. They are one of 8 teams with these odds (#23 in the league). They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the West either at 600/1, 0.2%. The Thunder are averaging 35 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 31 games. At +900 the Thunder are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 5.2% chance. They have less than 1% chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 62% of their games last season so their 49-33 met expectations. They went 42-39-1 against the spread (-90 loss). They went over 39 times and came in under 41 times. In their next game vs the Jazz they are only winning 29% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
10/23 UTA29%4-03-12-2
10/25 WAS74%1-11-11-1
10/27 GS34%1-22-10-3
10/28 HOU29%3-13-10-3-1
10/30 POR50%5-46-34-5

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 54.8% (#24 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (114.5) than expected (114.4). On the road they average 114.5 (113.6 expected), and at home 114.5 ppg (115.2 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.9 true FG% (#16 in League). They allow 111.1 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.4. They are allowing 112.5 (112.3 expected) on the road, and at home 109.6 ppg (108.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +2.2 per game (#6 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.1 per game (#2 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Steven Adams who is projected to be the #12 Center. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Steven Adams9812Hassan WhitesideEnes Kanter
Danilo Gallinari9816Julius RandleKhris Middleton
Chris Paul9921Buddy HieldTerry Rozier
Dennis Schroder8931Lonzo BallGoran Dragic
Mike Muscala333Zach CollinsJakob Poeltl
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander6437Josh RichardsonIsh Smith
Nerlens Noel1340Frank KaminskyWilly Hernangomez
Andre Roberson177DeMarre CarrollTaj Gibson
Terrance Ferguson2132Kevin Porter Jr.Jordan Poole
Abdel Nader0134Jake LaymanT.J. Leaf