SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Thunder are not contenders to win the championship at 1000/1, 0.1%. They are one of 8 teams with these odds (#23 in the league). They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the West either at 600/1, 0.2%. The Thunder are averaging 35 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 31 games. At +900 the Thunder are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 5.2% chance. They have less than 1% chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
They were expected to win 62% of their games last season so their 49-33 met expectations. They went 42-39-1 against the spread (-90 loss). They went over 39 times and came in under 41 times. In their next game vs the Jazz they are only winning 29% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 54.8% (#24 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (114.5) than expected (114.4). On the road they average 114.5 (113.6 expected), and at home 114.5 ppg (115.2 expected).
DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.9 true FG% (#16 in League). They allow 111.1 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.4. They are allowing 112.5 (112.3 expected) on the road, and at home 109.6 ppg (108.5 expected).
REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +2.2 per game (#6 in league).
TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.1 per game (#2 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Steven Adams who is projected to be the #12 Center. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Steven Adams||98||12||Hassan Whiteside||Enes Kanter|
|Danilo Gallinari||98||16||Julius Randle||Khris Middleton|
|Chris Paul||99||21||Buddy Hield||Terry Rozier|
|Dennis Schroder||89||31||Lonzo Ball||Goran Dragic|
|Mike Muscala||3||33||Zach Collins||Jakob Poeltl|
|Shai Gilgeous-Alexander||64||37||Josh Richardson||Ish Smith|
|Nerlens Noel||13||40||Frank Kaminsky||Willy Hernangomez|
|Andre Roberson||1||77||DeMarre Carroll||Taj Gibson|
|Terrance Ferguson||2||132||Kevin Porter Jr.||Jordan Poole|
|Abdel Nader||0||134||Jake Layman||T.J. Leaf|