NBA Outlook: The Charlotte Hornets are Projected to Finish Ahead of the Hawks and Behind the Bulls in the East

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Hornets are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 29 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 23. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the East.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 20.4-43.6. At 22-42 they are in line with these expectations. Money line betters would be up big taking them in every game (+546 units). They are 32-30-2 against the spread for a -100 loss. Their under-over record is 34-30. In their next game vs the Heat they are only winning 29% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/11 MIA29%2-32-33-2
3/13 CLE50%4-24-22-4
3/15 ORL41%2-42-44-2
3/17 NY61%5-14-23-3
3/19 PHI39%0-53-24-1

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 53.8% (#29 in League). The team has improved to 57.1% in their last 7 games. They average 110.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 111.3. On the road they average 108.3 (109.5 expected), and at home 113.1 ppg (113.1 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 57.3 true FG% (#20 in League). They allow 111.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 111.5. They are allowing 114.2 (113.1 expected) on the road, and at home 109.5 ppg (109.9 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 3.4 per game (#26 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.4 per game (#17 in league). Better in their last 7 games with a turnover margin of 0.3.

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Devonte Graham who is projected to be the #20 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Devonte Graham9920Lonzo BallJa Morant
Terry Rozier9830C.J. McCollumWill Barton
Miles Bridges8838Otto PorterJaren Jackson Jr.
PJ Washington8341Davis BertansNorman Powell
Cody Zeller4715Jusuf NurkicKarl-Anthony Towns
Malik Monk1875Jordan McLaughlinBryn Forbes
Cody Martin690Doug McDermottMoritz Wagner
Jalen McDaniels1122Gary Trent Jr.Terence Davis
Bismack Biyombo741Robert WilliamsZach Collins
Caleb Martin1127Shaquille HarrisonBrad Wanamaker