SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Hornets are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 29 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 23. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the East.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 20.4-43.6. At 22-42 they are in line with these expectations. Money line betters would be up big taking them in every game (+546 units). They are 32-30-2 against the spread for a -100 loss. Their under-over record is 34-30. In their next game vs the Heat they are only winning 29% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 53.8% (#29 in League). The team has improved to 57.1% in their last 7 games. They average 110.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 111.3. On the road they average 108.3 (109.5 expected), and at home 113.1 ppg (113.1 expected).
DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 57.3 true FG% (#20 in League). They allow 111.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 111.5. They are allowing 114.2 (113.1 expected) on the road, and at home 109.5 ppg (109.9 expected).
REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 3.4 per game (#26 in league).
TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.4 per game (#17 in league). Better in their last 7 games with a turnover margin of 0.3.
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Devonte Graham who is projected to be the #20 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Devonte Graham||99||20||Lonzo Ball||Ja Morant|
|Terry Rozier||98||30||C.J. McCollum||Will Barton|
|Miles Bridges||88||38||Otto Porter||Jaren Jackson Jr.|
|PJ Washington||83||41||Davis Bertans||Norman Powell|
|Cody Zeller||47||15||Jusuf Nurkic||Karl-Anthony Towns|
|Malik Monk||18||75||Jordan McLaughlin||Bryn Forbes|
|Cody Martin||6||90||Doug McDermott||Moritz Wagner|
|Jalen McDaniels||1||122||Gary Trent Jr.||Terence Davis|
|Bismack Biyombo||7||41||Robert Williams||Zach Collins|
|Caleb Martin||1||127||Shaquille Harrison||Brad Wanamaker|