NBA Outlook: The Chicago Bulls are Projected to Finish Ahead of the Hornets and Behind the Wizards in the East

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Bulls are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 29 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 34. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the East.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 28.4-36.6. They are coming up short of expectations at 22-43. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (2360 units). They are not good against the spread (29-33-3) for a -730 loss. Their over-under record is 34-31. Based on computer simulations they only have a 37% chance to beat the Magic in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/12 ORL37%2-32-31-4
3/14 MIA26%1-42-33-2
3/15 BOS31%1-41-42-3
3/18 MIA55%1-42-33-2
3/20 SA40%2-12-11-1-1

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 54.7% (#26 in League). They average 104.9 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 105.8. On the road they average 106.3 (104.9 expected), and at home 103.6 ppg (106.7 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 58.5 true FG% (#27 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 62.2% in their last 7 games. They allow 113.4 pts per game vs an expected value of 112.1. They are allowing 113.3 (113.2 expected) on the road, and at home 113.4 ppg (111 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 3.6 per game (#28 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.9 per game (#1 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Zach LaVine who is projected to be the #9 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Zach LaVine1009DeMar DeRozanDamian Lillard
Coby White9228Louis WilliamsC.J. McCollum
Lauri Markkanen9330T.J. WarrenNaz Reid
Otto Porter7337Harrison BarnesMiles Bridges
Tomas Satoransky6648Bogdan BogdanovicEvan Fournier
Wendell Carter Jr.8546RJ BarrettTaurean Waller-Prince
Thaddeus Young6453Carmelo AnthonyLarry Nance
Denzel Valentine2114Delon WrightGlenn Robinson
Shaquille Harrison10126Frank NtilikinaCaleb Martin
Ryan Arcidiacono0132Pat ConnaughtonKyle Korver