NBA Outlook: The Golden State Warriors are Projected to Finish Behind the Pelicans in the West

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

There are 4 teams who have 1000/1, 0.1% odds to win the championship. They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the West either at 500/1, 0.2%. They are projected to win 27 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 47.5. Their playoff chances are under 1%. In simulations they finish last in the West based on projected wins.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 25 games, their expected win percentage is 31% based on the money line odds. At 5-20 they are short of expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (810 units). They are not good against the spread (11-13-1) for a -330 loss. Their under-over record is 13-12. Their 57-25 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 60.9-21.1. They were not good against the spread going 35-46-1 (-1560 loss). More of their games came in under (44) than went over (38). They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the New York Knicks. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
12/11 NY69%2-02-01-1
12/13 UTA18%2-31-43-2
12/15 SAC46%4-00-44-0
12/18 POR29%7-25-3-15-4
12/20 NO61%4-12-2-13-2

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 53.2% (#26 in League). They average 117.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 118.1. On the road they average 117.2 (116.8 expected), and at home 118.1 ppg (119.3 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 58.1 true FG% (#24 in League). They allow 111.2 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.1. They are allowing 110.9 (111.1 expected) on the road, and at home 111.5 ppg (109.1 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 2.4 per game (#23 in league).

TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.3 per game (#12 in league). Worst in their past 7 games with a turnover margin of -1.3.

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by D`Angelo Russell who is projected to be the #19 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
D`Angelo Russell10019Zach LaVineFred VanVleet
Draymond Green9625Kristaps PorzingisKelly Oubre
Eric Paschall9231Bojan BogdanovicLauri Markkanen
Alec Burks6956J.J. RedickJoe Harris
Willie Cauley-Stein5123Richaun HolmesEnes Kanter
Ky Bowman1969Troy BrownDanuel House
Glenn Robinson4779Dennis Smith Jr.Nicolas Batum
Kevon Looney2237Jaxson HayesKelly Olynyk
Stephen Curry93101E`Twaun MooreShabazz Napier
Damion Lee4108Austin RiversT.J. McConnell