SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 3/1, 25% (#3). Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 10.5% chance is #3 in the league. In simulations, they win the West 21.1% of the time and are not a good value at 7/4, 36.4%. They are projected to win 54 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 52.5. They are making the playoffs. Their chances of winning the division stand at 2.2%. They were a -2500 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 48.9% at 4/5, 55.6%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
After 55 games, their expected win percentage is 67% based on the money line odds. At 37-18 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (192 units). They are 29-26 against the spread for a 40 profit. Their under-over record is 28-26-1. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Sacramento Kings. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 57% (#10 in League). They average 115.1 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.8. On the road they average 112.4 (112.3 expected), and at home 117.9 ppg (115.2 expected).
DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.3 true FG% (#4 in League). They allow 114.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 113.2. They are allowing 114 (114.5 expected) on the road, and at home 114.6 ppg (111.9 expected).
REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +2.4 per game (#6 in league).
TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.4 per game (#20 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Kawhi Leonard who is projected to be the #6 Forward the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Kawhi Leonard||100||6||Jimmy Butler||Brandon Ingram|
|Paul George||100||11||Zion Williamson||LaMarcus Aldridge|
|Louis Williams||99||22||Lonzo Ball||Shai Gilgeous-Alexander|
|Montrezl Harrell||99||11||Jonas Valanciunas||Clint N`Dumba-Capela|
|Patrick Beverley||53||53||J.J. Redick||Eric Gordon|
|Marcus Morris||91||50||Wendell Carter Jr.||PJ Washington|
|Ivica Zubac||25||30||JaVale McGee||Dewayne Dedmon|
|Reggie Jackson||72||94||Furkan Korkmaz||De'Anthony Melton|
|JaMychal Green||8||96||Meyers Leonard||Derrick Jones Jr.|
|Landry Shamet||20||114||Austin Rivers||Michael Carter-Williams|