NBA Outlook: The LA Lakers are Projected to Finish Ahead of the Clippers in the West

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Oddsmakers have the Lakers as the favorite to win the championship. They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 23.5% chance is #2 in the league. In simulations, they win the West 37.5% of the time and are not a good value at 6/5, 45.5%. They are projected to win 62 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 48.5. They are basically a lock to make the playoffs. Their chances of winning their division stand at 93.3%. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the West.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 45 games, their expected win percentage is 69% based on the money line odds. They are ahead of expectations with their 36-9 record. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up big (+840 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (24-20-1) for a 200 profit. Their under-over record is 23-22. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Philadelphia 76ers. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
1/25 PHI57%0-20-21-1
1/28 LAC72%2-42-42-4
1/31 POR65%4-25-14-2
2/1 SAC68%4-14-12-3
2/4 SA78%3-33-33-3

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 57.8% (#5 in League). They average 111.8 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.4. On the road they average 112.5 (112.4 expected), and at home 111 ppg (114.4 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): They are an above average defensive team holding opponents to 54.4 true FG% (#6 in League). They allow 113.5 pts per game vs an expected value of 114.3. They are allowing 115.8 (115 expected) on the road, and at home 111.2 ppg (113.6 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.3 per game (#4 in league).

TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.7 per game (#9 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by LeBron James who is projected to be the #2 Forward the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
LeBron James1002Luka DoncicGiannis Antetokounmpo
Anthony Davis1004Giannis AntetokounmpoKawhi Leonard
Kyle Kuzma8743RJ BarrettPaul Millsap
Rajon Rondo3475Luke KennardDamion Lee
Dwight Howard5827Daniel TheisJaVale McGee
Danny Green3184Bryn ForbesSvi Mykhailiuk
JaVale McGee2428Dwight HowardIvica Zubac
Avery Bradley493Ben McLemoreDelon Wright
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope995Delon WrightTerence Davis
Alex Caruso2117Michael Carter-WilliamsLandry Shamet