NBA Outlook: The Minnesota Timberwolves are Projected to Finish Ahead of the Warriors and Behind the Suns in the West

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Timberwolves are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 26 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 35.5. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +350 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 0% at 40/1, 2.4%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 26.4-37.6. At 19-45 they are short of expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (1255 units). They are not good against the spread (23-39-2) for a -1990 loss. Their over-under record is 36-28. In their next game vs the Thunder they are only winning 33% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/13 OKC33%3-44-36-1
3/14 SA29%3-33-35-1
3/17 POR30%2-42-3-11-5
3/18 PHO38%2-31-42-3
3/20 UTA25%2-53-43-4

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 55.1% (#24 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (112.5) than expected (111.9). On the road they average 110.3 (110.3 expected), and at home 114.6 ppg (113.5 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 57.9 true FG% (#24 in League). They allow 114 pts per game vs an expected value of 113.1. They are allowing 116.2 (113.8 expected) on the road, and at home 111.8 ppg (112.3 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 2.5 per game (#25 in league).

TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.1 per game (#16 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by D`Angelo Russell who is projected to be the #5 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
D`Angelo Russell1005Trae YoungDevin Booker
Malik Beasley8637Fred VanVleetDennis Schroder
Naz Reid6431Lauri MarkkanenRui Hachimura
Karl-Anthony Towns9816Cody ZellerMarc Gasol
Josh Okogie1563Josh HartRajon Rondo
Jordan McLaughlin974Derrick RoseMalik Monk
Juan Hernangomez4367Garrett TempleJames Johnson
James Johnson3268Juan HernangomezRudy Gay
Jarrett Culver2675Gorgui DiengBrandon Clarke
Kelan Martin0103Rondae Hollis-JeffersonWesley Iwundu