SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Timberwolves are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 26 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 35.5. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +350 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 0% at 40/1, 2.4%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the West.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 26.4-37.6. At 19-45 they are short of expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (1255 units). They are not good against the spread (23-39-2) for a -1990 loss. Their over-under record is 36-28. In their next game vs the Thunder they are only winning 33% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 55.1% (#24 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (112.5) than expected (111.9). On the road they average 110.3 (110.3 expected), and at home 114.6 ppg (113.5 expected).
DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): They are not a good defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 57.9 true FG% (#24 in League). They allow 114 pts per game vs an expected value of 113.1. They are allowing 116.2 (113.8 expected) on the road, and at home 111.8 ppg (112.3 expected).
REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 2.5 per game (#25 in league).
TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.1 per game (#16 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by D`Angelo Russell who is projected to be the #5 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|D`Angelo Russell||100||5||Trae Young||Devin Booker|
|Malik Beasley||86||37||Fred VanVleet||Dennis Schroder|
|Naz Reid||64||31||Lauri Markkanen||Rui Hachimura|
|Karl-Anthony Towns||98||16||Cody Zeller||Marc Gasol|
|Josh Okogie||15||63||Josh Hart||Rajon Rondo|
|Jordan McLaughlin||9||74||Derrick Rose||Malik Monk|
|Juan Hernangomez||43||67||Garrett Temple||James Johnson|
|James Johnson||32||68||Juan Hernangomez||Rudy Gay|
|Jarrett Culver||26||75||Gorgui Dieng||Brandon Clarke|
|Kelan Martin||0||103||Rondae Hollis-Jefferson||Wesley Iwundu|