NBA Outlook: The New Orleans Pelicans are Projected to Finish Ahead of the Kings and Behind the Suns in the West

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 200/1, 0.5% (#13). They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the West either at 100/1, 1%. They are projected to win 33 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 39. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 46 games, their expected win percentage is 41% based on the money line odds. At 17-29 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (707 units). They are not good against the spread (23-22-1) for a -120 loss. Their over-under record is 26-20. Based on computer simulations they only have a 45% chance to beat the Celtics in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
1/26 BOS45%0-30-32-1
1/28 CLE55%2-02-02-0
1/31 MEM37%3-23-21-4
2/2 HOU21%3-45-24-3
2/4 MIL24%0-31-23-0

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 56.1% (#17 in League). They average 115.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 114.6. On the road they average 115.8 (113.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115.2 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 57.3 true FG% (#22 in League). They allow 116.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 116. They are allowing 117.5 (117.7 expected) on the road, and at home 116 ppg (114.3 expected).

REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.4 per game (#17 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.3 per game (#26 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Brandon Ingram who is projected to be the #7 Forward the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Brandon Ingram1007Jimmy ButlerDomantas Sabonis
Jrue Holiday10015Zach LaVineJa Morant
Zion Williamson10015Kevin LovePascal Siakam
Lonzo Ball9932Will BartonTerry Rozier
Derrick Favors9435Carmelo AnthonyDavis Bertans
J.J. Redick6756Troy BrownShabazz Napier
Josh Hart3877Damion LeeIsh Smith
Jaxson Hayes3131Mitchell RobinsonAlex Len
E`Twaun Moore3100Kent BazemoreJustin Holiday
Nickeil Alexander-Walker12131Brandon KnightDamyean Dotson