SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 50/1, 2% (#12). They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the West either at 25/1, 3.8%. They are projected to win 38 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 39. Their playoff chances stand at 23.7% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the West.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
After 64 games, their expected win percentage is 45% based on the money line odds. At 28-36 they are short of expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (799 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (33-29-2) for a 110 profit. Their over-under record is 36-28. Their next game vs the Kings should be close. The Pelicans are winning 49 percent of computer simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 56.7% (#13 in League). They average 115.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 114.6. On the road they average 115.8 (113.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115.2 expected).
DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.8 true FG% (#18 in League). They allow 116.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 116. They are allowing 117.5 (117.7 expected) on the road, and at home 116 ppg (114.3 expected).
REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They are outrebounding opponents by 1.9 per game (#9 in league).
TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.9 per game (#27 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jrue Holiday who is projected to be the #11 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Jrue Holiday||100||11||Damian Lillard||De`Aaron Fox|
|Brandon Ingram||100||10||Jimmy Butler||Bam Adebayo|
|Zion Williamson||100||12||Bam Adebayo||Pascal Siakam|
|Lonzo Ball||99||19||Kemba Walker||Devonte Graham|
|Derrick Favors||84||49||Paul Millsap||Mikal Bridges|
|Josh Hart||45||62||Luke Kennard||Josh Okogie|
|J.J. Redick||52||69||Monte Morris||Reggie Jackson|
|Nicolo Melli||4||39||Tony Bradley||Robert Williams|
|Jaxson Hayes||14||50||Jakob Poeltl||Anzejs Pasecniks|
|Frank Jackson||1||145||Dante Exum||Treveon Graham|