NBA Outlook: The New Orleans Pelicans are Projected to Finish Ahead of the Trail Blazers and Behind the Grizzlies in the West

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 50/1, 2% (#12). They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the West either at 25/1, 3.8%. They are projected to win 38 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 39. Their playoff chances stand at 23.7% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 64 games, their expected win percentage is 45% based on the money line odds. At 28-36 they are short of expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (799 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (33-29-2) for a 110 profit. Their over-under record is 36-28. Their next game vs the Kings should be close. The Pelicans are winning 49 percent of computer simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/11 SAC49%4-14-15-0
3/13 UTA38%2-43-34-2
3/14 LAC28%3-34-24-2
3/16 ATL77%0-20-22-0
3/18 SA63%1-42-33-2

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 56.7% (#13 in League). They average 115.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 114.6. On the road they average 115.8 (113.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115.2 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.8 true FG% (#18 in League). They allow 116.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 116. They are allowing 117.5 (117.7 expected) on the road, and at home 116 ppg (114.3 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They are outrebounding opponents by 1.9 per game (#9 in league).

TURNOVERS (WEAKNESS): Their average turnover margin is -1.9 per game (#27 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jrue Holiday who is projected to be the #11 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Jrue Holiday10011Damian LillardDe`Aaron Fox
Brandon Ingram10010Jimmy ButlerBam Adebayo
Zion Williamson10012Bam AdebayoPascal Siakam
Lonzo Ball9919Kemba WalkerDevonte Graham
Derrick Favors8449Paul MillsapMikal Bridges
Josh Hart4562Luke KennardJosh Okogie
J.J. Redick5269Monte MorrisReggie Jackson
Nicolo Melli439Tony BradleyRobert Williams
Jaxson Hayes1450Jakob PoeltlAnzejs Pasecniks
Frank Jackson1145Dante ExumTreveon Graham