NBA Outlook: The New York Knicks are Projected to Finish Ahead of the Pistons and Behind the Hawks in the East

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Knicks are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 25 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 27.5. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +700 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 0% at 500/1, 0.2%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the East.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 21.8-43.2. At 20-45 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (753 units). They are 34-30-1 against the spread for a 100 profit. Their under-over record is 34-30-1. In their next game vs the Hawks they are only winning 28% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/11 ATL28%4-24-1-13-3
3/13 MIA17%1-41-42-3
3/17 CHA39%1-52-43-3
3/18 BOS21%1-63-3-13-4
3/21 GS40%1-21-22-1

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): They are a bad shooting team with a true FG% of 52.9% (#30 in League). The team has improved to 56.5% in their last 7 games. They average 104.6 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 106. On the road they average 103.2 (105.3 expected), and at home 105.9 ppg (106.7 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 57.7 true FG% (#22 in League). They allow 113.8 pts per game vs an expected value of 113.4. They are allowing 113.8 (114.5 expected) on the road, and at home 113.8 ppg (112.3 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +2.5 per game (#8 in league).

TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.8 per game (#24 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Julius Randle who is projected to be the #18 Forward the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Julius Randle10018Tobias HarrisKhris Middleton
Elfrid Payton8841Markelle FultzMarcus Smart
RJ Barrett9245Kyle KuzmaWendell Carter Jr.
Mitchell Robinson8625Mason PlumleeJaVale McGee
Bobby Portis3170Rudy GayCedi Osman
Taj Gibson386Maximilian KleberReggie Bullock
Reggie Bullock187Taj GibsonKyle Anderson
Dennis Smith Jr.13104Tony SnellCory Joseph
Frank Ntilikina4125Ben McLemoreShaquille Harrison
Maurice Harkless4108Meyers LeonardGeorges Niang